Zorya Luhansk vs SK Poltava Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev)) Sun, 8 Mar - 11:00 AM
Premier League
Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk
4 Winner 0
SK Poltava SK Poltava
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 11:00 AM
Nemanja Anđušić - 2', 13', 51'
Pylyp Budkivskyi - 59'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Zorya Luhansk 4–0 SK Poltava. The result saw Zorya Luhansk take the points. Zorya Luhansk showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 70%–30%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Zorya Luhansk showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Prychyna
S. Prychyna
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Mykhaylyuk
A. Mykhaylyuk
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Klymenko
T. Klymenko
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Petrakov
E. Petrakov
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 6.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0.88
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.13
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Zorya Luhansk V. Skripnik
V. Skripnik
VS
SK Poltava P. Matviychenko
P. Matviychenko
1.21
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.43
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: L
Kudrivka Rank: D
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
Karpaty Rank: W
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
Oleksandria Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kudrivka Rank: L
Veres Rank: L
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: W
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zorya Luhansk
68.98%
Draw
19.94%
Away SK Poltava
11.08%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.37
23.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
Power Score
47.37
23.48
League Position
8
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Zorya Luhansk — Opponent-weighted form score
SK Poltava — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zorya Luhansk SK Poltava

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Zorya Luhansk

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SK Poltava

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Zorya Luhansk ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SK Poltava
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.79
10.17
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.17
20.79
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Zorya Luhansk +1.07 Efficiency Index
vs
SK Poltava -1.07 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Zorya Luhansk ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SK Poltava
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Zorya Luhansk SK Poltava
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Zorya Luhansk SK Poltava
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Zorya Luhansk
SK Poltava
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk Home
1 matches
SK Poltava SK Poltava Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
4
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:02:39+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 11:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadium
Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev))
Capacity
16873
Pitch Surface
N/A
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sofia Prychyna
Artem Mykhaylyuk
Taras Klymenko
Evgen Petrakov

Statistics

Possession
Zorya Luhansk
61%
SK Poltava
39%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
6 Shots 1
31 Dangerous attacks 21
70 Possession 30
1 Corners 2

Match Overview

2 Assists 0
4 Goal Kicks 8
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

88 Attacks 75

Defensive

1 Saves 3

Discipline

10 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 0

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Dmytro Plakhtyr → Vladyslav Danylenko
10th Substitution
Event
Gabriel Eskinja → Andrija Janjić
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Fedir Zadorozhnyi
Var
86'
Event
Fedir Zadorozhnyi → Pylyp Budkivskyi
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Reynaldiño Verley → Artem Slesar
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Domagoj Jelavic → Roman Vantukh
5th Substitution
68'
Event
Navin Malysh → Juninho
6th Substitution
68'
64'
Event
Ilya Ukhan → Igor Kotsyumaka
4th Substitution
Event
Pylyp Budkivskyi
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
59'
56'
Event
Oleksandr Vivdych → Denys Galenkov
3rd Substitution
55'
Event
Vadim Pidlepych → Oleg Veremiyenko
2nd Substitution
55'
Event
Maksym Marusych → O. Piatov
1st Substitution
Event
Nemanja Anđušić
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
51'
1ST-HALF
Event
Nemanja Anđušić
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
13'
Event
Nemanja Anđušić
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
2'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Zorya Luhansk exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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