Southampton vs Ipswich Town Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Championship, England

St. Mary's Stadium Tue, 28 Apr - 6:45 PM

Championship

Southampton SOU

Ipswich Town IPS

KICKOFF : Tue, 28 Apr - 6:45 PM

Round 40 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Southampton host Ipswich Town at St. Mary's Stadium in a pivotal Championship regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The Saints, perched in 4th place, confront 2nd-placed Tractor Boys amid a tight promotion race. Southampton wield a decisive 9.7-point power advantage, their 40.1 score eclipsing Ipswich's 30.41, marking them as the structurally superior side. Form metrics reinforce this, with Saints at 38.89 versus Ipswich's 22.72, hinting at sharper recent momentum for the hosts. No last outings are detailed. Set piece analysis draws on low-confidence proxies sans xG data, limiting insights into dead-ball prowess. Squad depths align with standings, pitting Southampton's home fortitude against Ipswich's lofty position. Projections reflect equilibrium across outcomes.

TL;DR

Structural: Southampton hold a 9.7-point power advantage as the stronger team with 40.1 rating over Ipswich's 30.41.
Form: Southampton's form score of 38.89 exceeds Ipswich Town's 22.72.
Squad: Southampton occupy 4th place while Ipswich Town sit 2nd in the Championship.
Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: Transition metrics are not provided in available data.
Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG data for either team.
xVariable: xG data unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
Market: Projection split: Southampton 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Ipswich Town 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

Tonda Eckert

K. McKenna

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.88

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

7 - 8 - 7

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Southampton

Draw

Ipswich Town

Team Power Ranking

40.1

30.41

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Southampton

Ipswich Town

Power Score

40.1

30.41

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Southampton — Opponent-weighted form score

Ipswich Town — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Southampton Ipswich Town

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Southampton SOU Home

22 matches

Ipswich Town IPS Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T02:03:36+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 28, 2026, 06:45 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 40 · Regular Season

Stadium

St. Mary's Stadium

Capacity

32384

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

Tonda Eckert Coach

Squad ▼

Alex McCarthy Goalkeeper

Jamie Jones Goalkeeper

George Long Goalkeeper

Daniel Peretz Goalkeeper

Jack Stephens Defender

James Bree Defender

Ryan Manning Defender

Mads Roerslev Rasmussen Defender

Nathan Wood-Gordon Defender

Taylor Harwood-Bellis Defender

Welington Damascena Santos Defender

Joshua Quarshie Defender

Elias Jelert Kristensen Defender

Joachim Kayi Sanda Defender

Oriol Romeu Vidal Midfielder

Flynn Downes Midfielder

Finn Azaz Midfielder

Tom Fellows Midfielder

Shea Charles Midfielder

Caspar Jander Midfielder

Leonardo Weschenfelder-Scienza Midfielder

Kuryu Matsuki Midfielder

Ross Stewart Attacker

Cyle Larin Attacker

Cameron Archer Attacker

Samuel Edozie Attacker

Jay Robinson Attacker

Manager ▼

K. McKenna Coach

Squad ▼

David Button Goalkeeper

Christian Walton Goalkeeper

Alex Palmer Goalkeeper

Ashley Young Defender

Darnell Furlong Defender

Conor Townsend Defender

Cedric Kipre Defender

Dara O'Shea Defender

Benjamin Johnson Defender

Leif Davis Defender

Jacob Greaves Defender

Elkan Baggott Defender

Wes Burns Midfielder

Jack Taylor Midfielder

Azor Matusiwa Midfielder

Jens-Lys Michel Cajuste Midfielder

Daniel Neill Midfielder

Anis Mehmeti Midfielder

Kasey McAteer Midfielder

Marcelino Ignacio Nuñez Espinoza Midfielder

Chuba Akpom Attacker

George Hirst Attacker

Jack Clarke Attacker

Jaden Philogene-Bidace Attacker

Ivan Azón Monzón Attacker

Sindre Walle Egeli Attacker

CONCLUSION

Southampton's power and form edges position them to exploit home soil against higher-ranked Ipswich Town. The Saints' 9.7-point superiority and sharper recent showings could disrupt Tractor Boys' top-two push at St. Mary's. Lacking granular set piece or efficiency intel, focus shifts to structural strengths and league context. Ipswich's standing demands respect, yet Southampton's metrics suggest a competitive edge in possession and chance creation. Anticipate a cagey affair where home resilience tips the scales, potentially yielding vital points in the promotion hunt.

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STANDINGS

CONTEXT