Cagliari vs Atalanta Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Sardegna Arena Mon, 27 Apr - 4:30 PM
Serie A
Cagliari CAG
Versus
Atalanta ATA
KICKOFF : Mon, 27 Apr - 4:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Cagliari host Atalanta in Serie A (Regular Season) at Sardegna Arena. Domestically, Cagliari sit 16th in the table while Atalanta are 7th. Power ranking favours Atalanta by 12.1 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Atalanta enjoy a 12.1-point power advantage over Cagliari, who sit 16th versus the visitors' 7th in Serie A.
  • Form: Atalanta's form score of 17.78 dwarfs Cagliari's 4.72.
  • Squad: Atalanta's squad power rates at 26.24, far ahead of Cagliari's 14.12.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available.
  • Transition: No transition data available.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG.
  • xVariable: No xG variable data provided.
  • Market: Baseline split: Cagliari 18.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.6% (Δ+0%) | Atalanta 54.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Cagliari F. Pisacane
F. Pisacane
VS
Atalanta R. Palladino
R. Palladino
0.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.68
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter Rank: L
Cremonese Rank: W
Sassuolo Rank: L
Napoli Rank: L
Pisa Rank: L
Como Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Roma Rank: D
Juventus Rank: L
Lecce Rank: W
Hellas Verona Rank: W
Inter Rank: D
Udinese Rank: D
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 5 - 18
18
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Cagliari
18.62%
Draw
26.6%
Away Atalanta
54.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.12
26.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Cagliari
Atalanta
Power Score
14.12
26.24
League Position
16
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Cagliari Opponent-weighted form score
Atalanta Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Cagliari Atalanta

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Cagliari CAG Home
35 matches
Atalanta ATA Away
Match Record
12
Wins
18
5
Draws
5
18
Losses
12
Goals
38
Goals Scored
44
44
Goals Conceded
38
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T02:04:19+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Sardegna Arena
Capacity
16416
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

12
Alen Sherri
Alen Sherri Goalkeeper
1
Elia Caprile
Elia Caprile Goalkeeper
24
Giuseppe Ciocci
Giuseppe Ciocci Goalkeeper
22
Alberto Dossena
Alberto Dossena Defender
26
Yerry Fernando Mina González
Yerry Fernando Mina González Defender
32
José Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
José Pedro da Silva Figueiredo Freitas Defender
28
Gabriele Zappa
Gabriele Zappa Defender
33
Adam Obert
Adam Obert Defender
3
Riyad Idrissi
Riyad Idrissi Defender
2
Marco Palestra
Marco Palestra Defender
15
Juan Martín Rodríguez Camejo
Juan Martín Rodríguez Camejo Defender
18
Othniël Raterink
Othniël Raterink Defender
14
Alessandro Deiola
Alessandro Deiola Midfielder
4
Luca Mazzitelli
Luca Mazzitelli Midfielder
90
Michael Ijemuan Folorunsho
Michael Ijemuan Folorunsho Midfielder
10
Gianluca Gaetano
Gianluca Gaetano Midfielder
8
Michel Ndary Adopo
Michel Ndary Adopo Midfielder
25
Ibrahim Sulemana
Ibrahim Sulemana Midfielder
27
Joseph Liteta
Joseph Liteta Midfielder
19
Andrea Belotti
Andrea Belotti Attacker
30
Leonardo Pavoletti
Leonardo Pavoletti Attacker
94
Sebastiano Esposito
Sebastiano Esposito Attacker
17
Mattia Felici
Mattia Felici Attacker
29
Gennaro Borrelli
Gennaro Borrelli Attacker
9
Semih Kılıçsoy
Semih Kılıçsoy Attacker
20
Agustín Albarracín Basil
Agustín Albarracín Basil Attacker
37
Yael Trepy
Yael Trepy Attacker

Squad

57
Marco Sportiello
Marco Sportiello Goalkeeper
31
Francesco Rossi
Francesco Rossi Goalkeeper
29
Marco Carnesecchi
Marco Carnesecchi Goalkeeper
23
Sead Kolašinac
Sead Kolašinac Defender
19
Berat Djimsiti
Berat Djimsiti Defender
5
Mitchel Bakker
Mitchel Bakker Defender
4
Isak Hien
Isak Hien Defender
3
Kossonou Odilon
Kossonou Odilon Defender
42
Giorgio Scalvini
Giorgio Scalvini Defender
69
Honest Ahanor
Honest Ahanor Defender
15
Marten de Roon
Marten de Roon Midfielder
8
Mario Pašalić
Mario Pašalić Midfielder
77
Davide Zappacosta
Davide Zappacosta Midfielder
13
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva
Éderson José dos Santos Lourenço da Silva Midfielder
16
Raoul Bellanova
Raoul Bellanova Midfielder
17
Charles De Ketelaere
Charles De Ketelaere Midfielder
59
Nicola Zalewski
Nicola Zalewski Midfielder
10
Lazar Samardžić
Lazar Samardžić Midfielder
6
Yunus Musah
Yunus Musah Midfielder
47
Lorenzo Bernasconi
Lorenzo Bernasconi Midfielder
9
Gianluca Scamacca
Gianluca Scamacca Attacker
90
Nikola Krstović
Nikola Krstović Attacker
18
Giacomo Raspadori
Giacomo Raspadori Attacker
7
Kamal Deen Sulemana
Kamal Deen Sulemana Attacker

CONCLUSION

Atalanta arrive as overwhelming favorites, leveraging superior power, form, and league standing to target an away win at Sardegna Arena. Cagliari's home turf offers faint hope, but their lowly position and weak metrics point to struggles. Without key advanced stats, the focus remains on Atalanta's edge in a fixture tilted decisively their way. Expect the visitors to control proceedings and secure points in this Serie A encounter.