Gorica vs Istra 1961 Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia

ŠRC Velika Gorica Mon, 27 Apr - 4:00 PM

1. HNL

Gorica Gorica

Istra 1961 Istra 1961

KICKOFF : Mon, 27 Apr - 4:00 PM

Round 32 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Gorica host Istra 1961 in 1. HNL (Regular Season) at ŠRC Velika Gorica. Domestically, Gorica sit 8th in the table while Istra 1961 are 7th. Power ranking favours Istra 1961 by 5 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

Structural: Istra 1961 possesses a five-point power advantage over Gorica with scores of 23.9 to 18.9.
Form: Recent form favors Istra 1961 at 20.28 versus Gorica's 13.72.
Squad: Istra 1961 occupies seventh in the league, just ahead of eighth-placed Gorica.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both Gorica and Istra 1961.
Transition: Transition play data absent, with reliance on power and form indicators.
Set pieces: Set piece stats exhibit low confidence using proxy data without xG for either team.
xVariable: xG variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
Market: Baseline split: Gorica 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Istra 1961 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

M. Carević

O. Riera Magem

1.1

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.1

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

14 - 10 - 7

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Gorica

Draw

Istra 1961

Team Power Ranking

18.9

23.9

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Gorica

Istra 1961

Power Score

18.9

23.9

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Gorica — Opponent-weighted form score

Istra 1961 — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Gorica Istra 1961

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Gorica Gorica Home

31 matches

Istra 1961 Istra 1961 Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+15

Goal Difference

-15

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-20T02:04:13+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 27, 2026, 04:00 PM

Competition

2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 32 · Regular Season

Stadium

ŠRC Velika Gorica

Capacity

8000

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

M. Carević Coach

Squad ▼

Darijan Radelić Žarkov Goalkeeper

Davor Matijaš Goalkeeper

Muhamed Šahinović Goalkeeper

Tin Došen Goalkeeper

Stefan Peric Defender

Jakov Filipović Defender

Marijan Čabraja Defender

Žan Trontelj Defender

Mateo Leš Defender

Elvir Duraković Defender

Hadji Issa Moustapha Defender

Lovro Dukić Defender

Domagoj Pavičić Midfielder

Ivan Fiolić Midfielder

Iker Pozo La Rosa Midfielder

Jurica Pršir Midfielder

Ognjen Bakić Midfielder

Ante Kavelj Midfielder

Stjepan Kučiš Midfielder

Ante Erceg Attacker

Bruno Bogojević Attacker

Theo Epailly Attacker

Medin Gashi Attacker

Sule Wisdom Aondowase Attacker

Luka Vrzić Attacker

Manager ▼

O. Riera Magem Coach

Squad ▼

Franko Kolić Goalkeeper

Jan Paus-Kunšt Goalkeeper

Marcel Heister Defender

Advan Kadušić Defender

Samuli Miettinen Defender

Mohamed Nasraoui Defender

Rene Hrvatin Defender

—

Diego Rossi Defender

Niko Šepić Defender

Filip Taraba Defender

Raul Kumar Defender

Josip Radošević Midfielder

Leo Štulac Midfielder

Stjepan Lončar Midfielder

Antonio Mauric Midfielder

Gustavo Albarracín Midfielder

Dukan Ahmeti Midfielder

Israel Isaac Ayuma Midfielder

Smail Prevljak Attacker

Silvio Goričan Attacker

Emil Frederiksen Attacker

Vinko Rozić Attacker

Allen Obando Attacker

Charles Adah Agada Attacker

Dominik Celija Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Istra 1961 holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Istra 1961 a 5-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT