Zagłębie Lubin vs Nieciecza Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Zagłębia Lubin Fri, 24 Apr - 4:00 PM
Ekstraklasa
Zagłębie Lubin Zagłębie Lubin
Versus
Nieciecza Nieciecza
KICKOFF : Fri, 24 Apr - 4:00 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Zagłębie Lubin host Nieciecza at Stadion Zagłębia Lubin in a key Ekstraklasa regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts sit comfortably in 2nd place, leveraging a robust power score of 24.83 against the visitors' 18.5, translating to a clear 6.3-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Form metrics further tilt the scales, with Lubin's 15.89 rating outpacing Nieciecza's 9.72, signaling momentum in their favor as they aim to solidify top-tier status. Nieciecza, languishing in 18th, face an uphill battle against a side primed for dominance at home. Limited advanced metrics like set-piece efficiency provide scant insight due to unavailable xG data, but positional disparity and power ratings paint a straightforward picture of Lubin's edge. This matchup pits ambition against survival instincts.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Zagłębie Lubin enjoy structural superiority, ranked 2nd versus Nieciecza's 18th with a 6.3-point power advantage.
  • Form: Home team leads in form with a 15.89 score against Nieciecza's 9.72.
  • Squad: Squad quality aligns with power scores, favoring Zagłębie Lubin significantly.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data not available in current analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low-confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for assessment.
  • Market: Projection split: Zagłębie Lubin 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Nieciecza 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Zagłębie Lubin Zagłębie Lubin
Zagłębie Lubin
VS
Nieciecza Nieciecza
Nieciecza
1.61
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Legia Warszawa Rank: D
Radomiak Radom Rank: W
Arka Gdynia Rank: L
Motor Lublin Rank: L
Lech Poznań Rank: L
Piast Gliwice Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Wisła Płock Rank: D
Widzew Lodz Rank: L
Piast Gliwice Rank: W
Lech Poznań Rank: L
Motor Lublin Rank: L
Korona Kielce Rank: L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 2 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Zagłębie Lubin
0%
Draw
0%
Away Nieciecza
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.83
18.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Zagłębie Lubin
Nieciecza
Power Score
24.83
18.5
League Position
2
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Zagłębie Lubin Opponent-weighted form score
Nieciecza Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Zagłębie Lubin Nieciecza

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Zagłębie Lubin Zagłębie Lubin Home
9 matches
Nieciecza Nieciecza Away
Match Record
6
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
6
Goals
15
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
15
+9
Goal Difference
-9
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T02:06:09+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 24, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Zagłębia Lubin
Capacity
16068
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

12
Rafał Gikiewicz
Rafał Gikiewicz Goalkeeper
1
Jasmin Burić
Jasmin Burić Goalkeeper
30
Dominik Hładun
Dominik Hładun Goalkeeper
22
Adam Matysek
Adam Matysek Goalkeeper
25
Michał Nalepa
Michał Nalepa Defender
4
Damian Michalski
Damian Michalski Defender
3
Roman Yakuba
Roman Yakuba Defender
5
Aleks Ławniczak
Aleks Ławniczak Defender
94
Maciej Urbański
Maciej Urbański Defender
16
Josip Čorluka
Josip Čorluka Midfielder
35
Luka Lučić
Luka Lučić Midfielder
11
Arkadiusz Woźniak
Arkadiusz Woźniak Midfielder
8
Damian Dąbrowski
Damian Dąbrowski Midfielder
7
Sebastian Kowalczyk
Sebastian Kowalczyk Midfielder
13
Mateusz Grzybek
Mateusz Grzybek Midfielder
18
Adam Radwański
Adam Radwański Midfielder
6
Tomasz Makowski
Tomasz Makowski Midfielder
27
Jesús Antonio Díaz Gómez
Jesús Antonio Díaz Gómez Midfielder
19
Jakub Sypek
Jakub Sypek Midfielder
39
Filip Kocaba
Filip Kocaba Midfielder
26
Jakub Kolan
Jakub Kolan Midfielder
31
Igor Orlikowski
Igor Orlikowski Midfielder
99
Cyprian Popielec
Cyprian Popielec Midfielder
20
Mateusz Dziewiatowski
Mateusz Dziewiatowski Midfielder
44
Marcel Wojciech Reguła
Marcel Wojciech Reguła Midfielder
21
Seweryn Marek
Seweryn Marek Midfielder
84
Jakub Ligocki
Jakub Ligocki Midfielder
17
Levente Szabo
Levente Szabo Attacker
88
Mihael Mlinarić
Mihael Mlinarić Attacker
9
Michalis Kosidis
Michalis Kosidis Attacker

Squad

99
Milosz Mleczko
Milosz Mleczko Goalkeeper
1
Adrián Chovan
Adrián Chovan Goalkeeper
2
Bartosz Kopacz
Bartosz Kopacz Defender
77
Artem Putivtsev
Artem Putivtsev Defender
3
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz
Arkadiusz Kasperkiewicz Defender
27
Radu Ștefăniță Boboc
Radu Ștefăniță Boboc Defender
5
Lucas Gabriel Masoero Masi
Lucas Gabriel Masoero Masi Defender
29
Gabriel Isik
Gabriel Isik Defender
32
M. Matysik
M. Matysik Defender
8
Rafał Maciej Kurzawa
Rafał Maciej Kurzawa Midfielder
28
Maciej Ambrosiewicz
Maciej Ambrosiewicz Midfielder
6
Maciej Wolski
Maciej Wolski Midfielder
53
Andrzej Trubeha
Andrzej Trubeha Midfielder
13
Krzysztof Kubica
Krzysztof Kubica Midfielder
7
Morgan Faßbender
Morgan Faßbender Midfielder
21
Damian Hilbrycht
Damian Hilbrycht Midfielder
23
Sergio Guerrero Romero
Sergio Guerrero Romero Midfielder
17
Dominik Paniek
Dominik Paniek Midfielder
22
Noah Mrosek
Noah Mrosek Midfielder
86
Igor Strzałek
Igor Strzałek Midfielder
26
Wojciech Jakubik
Wojciech Jakubik Midfielder
25
Kamil Zapolnik
Kamil Zapolnik Attacker
9
Jesús Jiménez Núñez
Jesús Jiménez Núñez Attacker
19
Ivan Durdov
Ivan Durdov Attacker

CONCLUSION

Zagłębie Lubin enter this home fixture as overwhelming favorites, buoyed by their 2nd-place standing, superior power rating, and stronger form against a struggling Nieciecza side rooted at the foot of the Ekstraklasa table. The 6.3-point power edge suggests control in possession and chance creation, while the venue advantage at Stadion Zagłębia Lubin amplifies their threat. Nieciecza's woes in form and position hint at defensive vulnerabilities ripe for exploitation. Absent detailed set-piece or efficiency stats, the narrative leans heavily toward a convincing home victory, potentially extending Lubin's push for title contention while deepening the visitors' relegation fight.