Brest vs Lens Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Fri, 24 Apr - 6:45 PM
Ligue 1
Brest
B29
Lens
LEN
KICKOFF :
Fri, 24 Apr - 6:45 PM
Round 31 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 17
CONTEXT
Brest host Lens in Ligue 1 (Regular Season) at Stade Francis-Le Ble. Domestically, Brest sit 11th in the table while Lens are 2th. Power ranking favours Lens by 6.5 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Lens enjoys a 6.5-point power advantage over Brest at Stade Francis-Le Ble in Ligue 1.
-
Form: Brest's form score stands at 9.72, trailing Lens's superior 14.44.
-
Squad: Power scores highlight Lens's stronger squad at 27.8 versus Brest's 21.28.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
-
Transition: Transition play data absent from current analysis.
-
Set pieces: Set piece performance relies on low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
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xVariable: Brest 20.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.9% (Δ+0%) | Lens 54.3% (Δ+0%).
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Market: Brest 20.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.9% (Δ+0%) | Lens 54.3% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
E. Roy
VS
P. Sage
1.33
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
2.1
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nantes
Rank:
D
Rennes
Rank:
L
Auxerre
Rank:
L
Monaco
Rank:
L
Le Havre
Rank:
W
Metz
Rank:
W
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Toulouse
Rank:
D
LOSC Lille
Rank:
L
Angers SCO
Rank:
W
Lorient
Rank:
L
Metz
Rank:
W
Strasbourg
Rank:
D
4
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 3 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Brest
20.76%
Draw
24.92%
Lens
54.32%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.28
27.8
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Brest
Lens
Power Score
21.28
27.8
League Position
11
2
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Brest
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Lens
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Brest Lens
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Brest
B29
Home
13
matches
Lens
LEN
Away
Match Record
4
Wins
6
3
Draws
3
6
Losses
4
Goals
20
Goals Scored
20
20
Goals Conceded
20
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-17T02:06:48+00:00
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 24, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade Francis-Le Ble
Capacity
15097
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Brest
vs
Nantes
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 3:15 PM
Venue: Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Lens
vs
Toulouse
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Fri, 17 Apr - 6:45 PM
Venue: Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Squad
Manager ▼
E. Roy
Coach
Squad ▼
1
Radosław Majecki
Goalkeeper
30
Grégoire Coudert
Goalkeeper
50
Noah Jauny
Goalkeeper
77
Kenny Lala
Defender
5
Brendan Chardonnet
Defender
44
Soumaula Coulibaly
Defender
2
Bradley Locko
Defender
27
Daouda Guindo
Defender
4
Michel Junior Diaz
Defender
12
Tolikpaley Luc Evrad Zogbe
Defender
71
Raphaël Marc Le Guen
Defender
24
Lucas Tousart
Midfielder
8
Hugo Magnetti
Midfielder
7
Eric Junior Dina Ebimbe
Midfielder
13
Joris Chotard
Midfielder
23
Kamory Doumbia
Midfielder
33
Hamidou Makalou
Midfielder
10
Romain Del Castillo
Attacker
19
Ludovic Ajorque
Attacker
17
Mama Samba Baldé
Attacker
14
Rémy Labeau Lascary
Attacker
99
Pathé Mboup
Attacker
29
Serigne Diop
Attacker
Manager ▼
P. Sage
Coach
Squad ▼
16
Mathieu Gorgelin
Goalkeeper
1
Régis Gurtner
Goalkeeper
40
Robin Risser
Goalkeeper
60
Ilan Jourdren
Goalkeeper
27
Arthur Masuaku
Defender
14
Matthieu Udol
Defender
20
Malang Sarr
Defender
24
Jonathan Gradit
Defender
2
Ruben Aguilar
Defender
23
Saud Abdullah Abdul Hamid
Defender
6
Samson Baidoo
Defender
25
Pierre Ismaelo Ganiou
Defender
4
Nidal Čelik
Defender
32
Kyllian Antonio
Defender
21
Amadou Haidara
Midfielder
28
Adrien Thomasson
Midfielder
8
Mamadou Sangare
Midfielder
5
Andrija Bulatović
Midfielder
18
Fodé Sylla
Midfielder
31
Alpha Diallo
Midfielder
10
Florian Tristán Mariano Thauvin
Attacker
9
Allan Saint-Maximin
Attacker
22
Wesley Saïd
Attacker
11
Odsonne Édouard
Attacker
7
Florian Sotoca
Attacker
19
Abdallah Dipo Sima
Attacker
26
Anthony Bermont
Attacker
38
Rayan Fofana
Attacker
34
Erawan Garnier
Attacker
CONCLUSION
Lens approaches this fixture as favorites, fortified by their 2nd-place standing and elevated form score that eclipses Brest's mid-table efforts. The 6.5-point power edge positions the visitors to exploit any home vulnerabilities at Stade Francis-Le Ble. Without granular insights into set pieces or efficiency, the matchup hinges on Lens's overall dominance and Brest's capacity for an upset. Expect the guests to control proceedings, leveraging superior squad depth for a likely triumph in this 2025/2026 Ligue 1 clash.