İstanbul Başakşehir vs Kasımpaşa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu Fri, 24 Apr - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
İstanbul Başakşehir IBA
Versus
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa
KICKOFF : Fri, 24 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

İstanbul Başakşehir host Kasımpaşa at Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu in a Super Lig regular season encounter for the 2025/2026 campaign. The fifth-placed hosts wield a clear structural upper hand, boasting a power score of 28.83 to the visitors' 18.99, yielding a 9.8-point advantage that marks them as the stronger side. Form metrics reinforce this, with Başakşehir's 21.89 edging Kasımpaşa’s 15.89 amid a 5th versus 13th league standings gap. Recent outings remain undocumented, while set piece evaluations rely on low-confidence proxies without xG detail. Efficiency and transition insights are absent, leaving focus on raw power disparity. This setup hints at home dominance in a fixture blending mid-table ambition with survival stakes.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Başakşehir holds a 9.8-point power advantage at 28.83 versus Kasımpaşa’s 18.99, sitting 5th to their 13th.
  • Form: Hosts lead form scores 21.89 to 15.89.
  • Squad: Squad details unavailable in current data.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics not provided.
  • Transition: Transition play data absent.
  • Set pieces: Set pieces use low-confidence proxy metrics without xG for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on disabled.
  • Market: İstanbul Başakşehir 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Kasımpaşa 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
İstanbul Başakşehir Ç. Atan
Ç. Atan
VS
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa
Kasımpaşa
1.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Trabzonspor Rank: D
Gençlerbirliği Rank: W
Kocaelispor Rank: D
Antalyaspor Rank: D
Galatasaray Rank: L
Göztepe Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Alanyaspor Rank: D
Göztepe Rank: D
Kayserispor Rank: W
Beşiktaş Rank: L
Eyüpspor Rank: W
Konyaspor Rank: D
21
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
21 - 4 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home İstanbul Başakşehir
0%
Draw
0%
Away Kasımpaşa
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.83
18.99
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
İstanbul Başakşehir
Kasımpaşa
Power Score
28.83
18.99
League Position
5
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
İstanbul Başakşehir — Opponent-weighted form score
Kasımpaşa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) İstanbul Başakşehir Kasımpaşa

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

İstanbul Başakşehir IBA Home
31 matches
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa Away
Match Record
21
Wins
6
4
Draws
4
6
Losses
21
Goals
69
Goals Scored
37
37
Goals Conceded
69
+32
Goal Difference
-32
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T02:06:12+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 24, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Capacity
17156
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Volkan Babacan
Volkan Babacan Goalkeeper
16
Muhammed Şengezer
Muhammed Şengezer Goalkeeper
80
Doğan Alemdar
Doğan Alemdar Goalkeeper
78
Lucas Stancic
Lucas Stancic Goalkeeper
6
Onur Bulut
Onur Bulut Defender
21
Christopher Operi
Christopher Operi Defender
42
Ömer Ali Şahiner
Ömer Ali Şahiner Defender
5
Leonardo Duarte da Silva
Leonardo Duarte da Silva Defender
3
Jerome Opoku
Jerome Opoku Defender
27
Ousseynou Ba
Ousseynou Ba Defender
36
Festy Ebosele
Festy Ebosele Defender
88
Kazımcan Karataş
Kazımcan Karataş Defender
15
Hamza Güreler
Hamza Güreler Defender
8
Olivier Michel Kemen
Olivier Michel Kemen Midfielder
4
Onur Ergün
Onur Ergün Midfielder
2
Berat Ayberk Özdemir
Berat Ayberk Özdemir Midfielder
13
Miguel Crespo da Silva
Miguel Crespo da Silva Midfielder
20
Umut Güneş
Umut Güneş Midfielder
18
Jakub Kałuziński
Jakub Kałuziński Midfielder
9
Davie Selke
Davie Selke Attacker
25
Amine Harit
Amine Harit Attacker
10
Nuno Miguel da Costa Jóia
Nuno Miguel da Costa Jóia Attacker
14
Eldor Shomurodov
Eldor Shomurodov Attacker
7
Yusuf Sari
Yusuf Sari Attacker
77
Ivan Brnić
Ivan Brnić Attacker
91
Bertuğ Özgür Yıldırım
Bertuğ Özgür Yıldırım Attacker
11
Abbosbek Fayzullayev
Abbosbek Fayzullayev Attacker
45
Berkay Aslan
Berkay Aslan Attacker

Squad ▼

1
Andreas Gianniotis
Andreas Gianniotis Goalkeeper
25
Ali Emre Yanar
Ali Emre Yanar Goalkeeper
61
Ege Albayrak
Ege Albayrak Goalkeeper
98
Sant Kazanci
Sant Kazanci Goalkeeper
2
Cláudio Winck Neto
Cláudio Winck Neto Defender
22
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi
Kamil Ahmet Çörekçi Defender
33
Emre Taşdemir
Emre Taşdemir Defender
50
Rodrigo Nascimiento Franca
Rodrigo Nascimiento Franca Defender
20
Nicholas Opoku
Nicholas Opoku Defender
21
Godfried Ayesu Owusu Frimpong
Godfried Ayesu Owusu Frimpong Defender
29
Taylan Utku Aydın
Taylan Utku Aydın Defender
30
Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı
Ahmet Taha Dağbaşı Defender
4
Adam Arous
Adam Arous Defender
47
Berkay Muratoglu
Berkay Muratoglu Defender
26
Kerem Demirbay
Kerem Demirbay Midfielder
10
Haris Hajradinović
Haris Hajradinović Midfielder
8
Carlos Miguel Ribeiro Dias
Carlos Miguel Ribeiro Dias Midfielder
16
Andri Fannar Baldursson
Andri Fannar Baldursson Midfielder
5
Eyüp Aydin
Eyüp Aydin Midfielder
6
Burak Gültekin
Burak Gültekin Midfielder
23
Cenk Tosun
Cenk Tosun Attacker
34
Fousseni Diabaté
Fousseni Diabaté Attacker
71
İrfan Can Kahveci
İrfan Can Kahveci Attacker
17
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş
Kubilay Kanatsızkuş Attacker
12
Mortadha Ben Ouannes
Mortadha Ben Ouannes Attacker
18
Jim Allevinah
Jim Allevinah Attacker
11
Ali Yavuz Kol
Ali Yavuz Kol Attacker
19
Adrian Benedyczak
Adrian Benedyczak Attacker
77
Pape Habib Guèye
Pape Habib Guèye Attacker
9
Yusuf Barasi
Yusuf Barasi Attacker
80
Erdem Çetinkaya
Erdem Çetinkaya Attacker

CONCLUSION

Başakşehir’s superior power, form, and position make them favorites to control this home fixture against lower-table Kasımpaşa. The 9.8-point edge suggests structured possession and chance creation from the hosts, though absent set piece and efficiency data tempers deeper tactical reads. Visitors must disrupt transitions to counter, but raw metrics favor a Başakşehir victory. Expect the hosts to leverage venue familiarity for a professional win, extending their top-half push while Kasımpaşa battles relegation shadows.

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