Monza vs Modena Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
U-Power Stadium Fri, 24 Apr - 5:00 PM
Serie B
Monza MON
Versus
Modena MOD
KICKOFF : Fri, 24 Apr - 5:00 PM
Round 36 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Monza hosts Modena at U-Power Stadium in a Serie B regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. Positioned third in the standings, Monza boasts a power score of 33.26, significantly outpacing Modena's 24.71 and securing an 8.6-point advantage as the clearly stronger side. Form metrics further favor the home team with a 27.06 rating against the visitors' 20.39. Modena sits sixth, aiming to disrupt Monza's solid placement. Lacking recent outing details, analysis hinges on these core indicators. Set piece evaluations remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxy data and absent xG figures, limiting insights into dead-ball scenarios. Monza's overall superiority positions them to control proceedings in this mid-table encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Monza holds a clear structural upper hand via 8.6-point power advantage and third-place standing over Modena's sixth.
  • Form: Home side's form score reaches 27.06, exceeding Modena's mark of 20.39.
  • Squad: Power ratings underscore Monza's squad depth at 33.26 versus Modena's 24.71.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both Monza and Modena.
  • Transition: Transition metrics absent from available fixture details.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable with low confidence and proxy reliance for each team.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables not accessible due to disabled add-on.
  • Market: Projection split: Monza 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Modena 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Monza P. Bianco
P. Bianco
VS
Modena A. Sottil
A. Sottil
2.07
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.3
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sampdoria Rank: D
Bari 1908 Rank: W
Catanzaro Rank: D
Venezia Rank: D
Reggiana Rank: D
Palermo Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Frosinone Rank: D
Catanzaro Rank: D
Südtirol Rank: D
Bari 1908 Rank: L
Mantova Rank: W
Spezia Rank: W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Monza
0%
Draw
0%
Away Modena
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.26
24.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Monza
Modena
Power Score
33.26
24.71
League Position
3
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Monza Opponent-weighted form score
Modena Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Monza Modena

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Monza MON Home
2 matches
Modena MOD Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T02:06:18+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 24, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season
Stadium
U-Power Stadium
Capacity
18568
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

20
Demba Thiam
Demba Thiam Goalkeeper
1
Semuel Pizzignacco
Semuel Pizzignacco Goalkeeper
43
Aljaž Strajnar
Aljaž Strajnar Goalkeeper
19
Samuele Birindelli
Samuele Birindelli Defender
13
Luca Ravanelli
Luca Ravanelli Defender
15
Filippo Delli Carri
Filippo Delli Carri Defender
2
Arvid Brorsson
Arvid Brorsson Defender
6
Valentin Ivaylov Antov
Valentin Ivaylov Antov Defender
44
Andrea Carboni
Andrea Carboni Defender
33
Saverio Domanico
Saverio Domanico Defender
3
Lorenzo Lucchesi
Lorenzo Lucchesi Defender
24
Adam Bakoune
Adam Bakoune Defender
27
Samuele Capolupo
Samuele Capolupo Defender
14
Pedro Mba Obiang Avomo
Pedro Mba Obiang Avomo Midfielder
26
Patrick Ciurria
Patrick Ciurria Midfielder
7
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi Midfielder
8
Hernani Azevedo Júnior
Hernani Azevedo Júnior Midfielder
32
Matteo Pessina
Matteo Pessina Midfielder
28
Andrea Colpani
Andrea Colpani Midfielder
30
Giuseppe Caso
Giuseppe Caso Midfielder
23
Nicolas Galazzi
Nicolas Galazzi Midfielder
21
Leonardo Colombo
Leonardo Colombo Midfielder
9
Mirko Marić
Mirko Marić Attacker
17
Keita Baldé Diao
Keita Baldé Diao Attacker
37
Andrea Petagna
Andrea Petagna Attacker
47
Dany Mota Carvalho
Dany Mota Carvalho Attacker
10
Patrick Cutrone
Patrick Cutrone Attacker
11
Omari Forson
Omari Forson Attacker
25
Agustín Álvarez Martínez
Agustín Álvarez Martínez Attacker

Squad

1
Leandro Chichizola
Leandro Chichizola Goalkeeper
78
Fabrizio Bagheria
Fabrizio Bagheria Goalkeeper
13
Abdullah Laidani
Abdullah Laidani Goalkeeper
22
Michele Pezzolato
Michele Pezzolato Goalkeeper
29
Matteo Cotali
Matteo Cotali Defender
28
Davide Adorni
Davide Adorni Defender
33
Cristian Cauz
Cristian Cauz Defender
77
Daniel Tonoli
Daniel Tonoli Defender
19
Steven Folly Nador
Steven Folly Nador Defender
25
Alessandro Dellavalle
Alessandro Dellavalle Defender
20
Bryant Nieling
Bryant Nieling Defender
2
Gady-Pierre Beyuku Bowutankoyi
Gady-Pierre Beyuku Bowutankoyi Defender
7
Francesco Zampano
Francesco Zampano Midfielder
16
Fabio Gerli
Fabio Gerli Midfielder
8
Simone Santoro
Simone Santoro Midfielder
5
Alessandro Sersanti
Alessandro Sersanti Midfielder
18
Niklas Pyyhtiä
Niklas Pyyhtiä Midfielder
17
Yanis Massolin
Yanis Massolin Midfielder
90
Antonio Imputato
Antonio Imputato Midfielder
80
Ousmane Niang
Ousmane Niang Midfielder
71
Samuel Wiafe
Samuel Wiafe Midfielder
9
Ettore Gliozzi
Ettore Gliozzi Attacker
92
Gregoire Defrel
Gregoire Defrel Attacker
98
Luca Zanimacchia
Luca Zanimacchia Attacker
99
Manuel De Luca
Manuel De Luca Attacker
32
Luca Strizzolo
Luca Strizzolo Attacker
11
Pedro Manuel Lobo Peixoto Mineiro Mendes
Pedro Manuel Lobo Peixoto Mineiro Mendes Attacker
10
Giuseppe Ambrosino
Giuseppe Ambrosino Attacker

CONCLUSION

Monza enters as favorites leveraging superior power and form edges to target victory at U-Power Stadium. Their third-place perch amplifies motivation against sixth-placed Modena, whose lower metrics suggest a tough challenge. Without set piece or efficiency breakdowns, emphasis falls on Monza's 8.6-point lead driving dominance. Expect the hosts to dictate tempo and capitalize on advantages for a convincing result in this Serie B matchup.