Widzew Lodz vs Górnik Zabrze Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź Sun, 22 Mar - 4:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz
0 – 0
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 4:30 PM
Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished, with Widzew Lodz and Górnik Zabrze playing out a 0-0 draw. The teams were deadlocked at half-time, and neither side could break the parity in the second half. Heading into the fixture, the pre-match market favored Widzew Lodz with a 40.2% probability of victory, while the draw and a Górnik Zabrze win were both rated at 29.9%. Ultimately, the stalemate meant the final outcome did not align with the pre-match market. This resulted in a significant deviation level of 70.1%, notably reflecting positively on Górnik Zabrze as they held off the favored home side. On the pitch, Górnik Zabrze controlled a slight majority of the ball, finishing with 54% possession compared to 46% for Widzew Lodz. Because expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, it cannot be determined if the scoreless outcome was consistent with the teams' underlying chance creation. However, the teams' efficiency shift remained strictly in line with mathematical expectations. Finally, the match was played without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither side received a red card to alter the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Górnik Zabrze showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Widzew Lodz A. Vukovic
A. Vukovic
VS
Górnik Zabrze M. Gašparík
M. Gašparík
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.25
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arka Gdynia Rank: 56 D
Lech Poznań Rank: 69 W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 62 L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 62 D
Wisła Płock Rank: 57 W
Katowice Rank: 64 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 70 W
Motor Lublin Rank: 59 D
Katowice Rank: 64 L
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 62 L
Nieciecza Rank: 52 D
Lech Poznań Rank: 70 L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 6 - 8
8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Widzew Lodz
40.16%
Draw
29.92%
Away Górnik Zabrze
29.92%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.88
64.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Widzew Lodz
Górnik Zabrze
Power Score
58.88
64.84
League Position
17
4
Global Rank
521
330

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Widzew Lodz — Opponent-weighted form score
Górnik Zabrze — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Widzew Lodz Górnik Zabrze

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Widzew Lodz

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Górnik Zabrze

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Widzew Lodz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Górnik Zabrze
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
16.74
19.81
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
19.81
16.74
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Widzew Lodz -0.28 Efficiency Index
vs
Górnik Zabrze +0.28 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Widzew Lodz
Górnik Zabrze
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Widzew Lodz ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Górnik Zabrze
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Widzew Lodz Górnik Zabrze
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Widzew Lodz Górnik Zabrze
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Widzew Lodz
Górnik Zabrze
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Home
19 matches
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze Away
Match Record
5
Wins
8
6
Draws
6
8
Losses
5
Goals
24
Goals Scored
31
31
Goals Conceded
24
-7
Goal Difference
+7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:25:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
B. Drągowski
Poland
1 B. Drągowski
M. Żyro
Poland
4 (C) M. Żyro
P. Wisniewski
Poland
25 P. Wisniewski
S. Kapuadi
France
53 S. Kapuadi
M. Krajewski
Substitution
Poland
91 M. Krajewski
L. Lerager
Substitution
Denmark
21 L. Lerager
J. Shehu
Albania
6 J. Shehu
C. Cheng
Substitution
Norway
17 C. Cheng
E. Kornvig
Denmark
8 E. Kornvig
S. Bergier
Substitution
Poland
99 S. Bergier
F. Alvarez Rodríguez
Substitution
Spain
10 F. Alvarez Rodríguez
M. Łubik
Poland
1 M. Łubik
E. Janža
Slovenia
64 (C) E. Janža
J. Sánchez Guillén
Substitution
Spain
20 J. Sánchez Guillén
R. Janicki
Poland
26 R. Janicki
P. Olkowski
Poland
16 P. Olkowski
L. Ambros
Czech Republic
18 L. Ambros
P. Hellebrand
Czech Republic
8 P. Hellebrand
L. Sadílek
Substitution
Czech Republic
13 L. Sadílek
O. Zmrzlý
Substitution
Czech Republic
67 O. Zmrzlý
S. Liseth
Norway
23 S. Liseth
M. Khlan
Substitution
Ukraine
33 M. Khlan

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 22, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski Widzewa Łódź
Capacity
18018
Attendance
16923
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Karol Arys
Arkadiusz Wójcik
Pawel Pskit
Marek Arys

Statistics

Possession
Widzew Lodz
46%
Górnik Zabrze
54%

Top Statistics

1 Shots 4
54 Dangerous attacks 54
46 Possession 54
1 Corners 2
9 Free kicks 17
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

79 Ball Safe 90
6 Successful Dribbles 10
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
34 Throwins 29
5 Substitutions 4
10 Goal Kicks 3
1 Injuries 0
1 Goal Attempts 5
21 Dribble Attempts 25

Attacking

111 Attacks 101

Possession

259 Successful Passes 339
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
58 Long Passes 78
25 Successful Long Passes 32
0 Key Passes 6
70 Successful Passes Percentage 77
372 Passes 441

Defensive

24 Tackles 32
2 Saves 0
11 Interceptions 8

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 12
1 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

16 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Karol Arys

Starting XI ▼

1
Bartlomiej Dragowski
Bartlomiej Dragowski Goalkeeper
7.21
4
Mateusz Zyro
Mateusz Zyro (C) Defender
7.1
25
Przemysław Wiśniewski
Przemysław Wiśniewski Defender
6.97
53
Steve Kapuadi
Steve Kapuadi Defender
6.81
6
Juljan Shehu
Juljan Shehu Midfielder
7.02
17
Christopher Cheng
Christopher Cheng Midfielder
6.21
3
Samuel Kozlovský
Samuel Kozlovský
Defender28'
6.4
21
Lukas Lerager
Lukas Lerager Midfielder
6.56
18
Lindon Selahi
Lindon Selahi
Midfielder46'
6.92
91
Marcel Krajewski
Marcel Krajewski Midfielder
6.33
2
Carlos Isaac
Carlos Isaac
Defender64'
6.47
8
Emil Kornvig
Emil Kornvig Attacker
6.68
10
Fran Álvarez
Fran Álvarez Attacker
6.51
19
Bartlomiej Pawlowski
Bartlomiej Pawlowski
Midfielder83'
6.57
99
Sebastian Bergier
Sebastian Bergier Attacker
6.31
9
Andi Zeqiri
Andi Zeqiri
Attacker64'
6.26
Referee : Karol Arys

Starting XI ▼

1
Marcel Lubik
Marcel Lubik Goalkeeper
6.56
16
Pawel Olkowski
Pawel Olkowski Defender
7.16
20
Josema
Josema Defender
7.12
4
Pawel Bochniewicz
Pawel Bochniewicz
Defender82'
6.85
26
Rafal Janicki
Rafal Janicki Defender
6.92
64
Erik Janza
Erik Janza (C) Defender
7.73
8
Patrik Hellebrand
Patrik Hellebrand Midfielder
7.67
13
Lukas Sadilek
Lukas Sadilek Midfielder
6.88
14
Jaroslaw Kubicki
Jaroslaw Kubicki
Midfielder76'
6.45
18
Lukas Ambros
Lukas Ambros Midfielder
6.54
23
Sondre Liseth
Sondre Liseth Attacker
6.31
33
Maksym Khlan
Maksym Khlan Attacker
7.16
11
Brandon Dominguès
Brandon Dominguès
Midfielder81'
6.66
67
Ondrej Zmrzly
Ondrej Zmrzly Attacker
6.82
7
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Midfielder66'
6.37

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Bartlomiej Pawlowski → Fran Álvarez
9th Substitution
83'
82'
Event
Pawel Bochniewicz → Josema
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Brandon Dominguès → Maksym Khlan
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Jaroslaw Kubicki → Lukas Sadilek
6th Substitution
66'
Event
Yvan Ikia Dimi → Ondrej Zmrzly
5th Substitution
Event
Carlos Isaac → Marcel Krajewski
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Andi Zeqiri → Sebastian Bergier
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Lindon Selahi → Lukas Lerager
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Samuel Kozlovský → Christopher Cheng
1st Substitution
28'
Event
Ricardo Visus
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
24'
24'
Event
Lukas Sadilek
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Górnik Zabrze exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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