Benfica vs Moreirense Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM
Liga Portugal
Benfica SLB
Versus
Moreirense MOE
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Benfica host Moreirense at Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica in the Liga Portugal regular season clash of the 2025/2026 campaign. Sitting third in the standings, Benfica enter with a commanding power score of 39.11, dwarfing Moreirense's 15.9 and creating a 23.2-point advantage that underscores their structural superiority. Form metrics further highlight the gap, with Benfica's 29.72 rating towering over the visitors' meager 7.11, signaling sustained momentum for the home side. Moreirense languish in ninth place, facing an uphill battle against a Benfica team primed to leverage home advantage. Data on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces remains sparse, with low-confidence proxies and no xG availability limiting deeper insights into specialized areas. Nonetheless, Benfica's overall dominance positions them to control proceedings from the outset.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Benfica enjoys a 23.2-point power advantage over Moreirense.
  • Form: Benfica's form score stands at 29.72, far ahead of Moreirense's 7.11.
  • Squad: Benfica occupies 3rd in the league table, with Moreirense in 9th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition data not provided in available metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis uses low-confidence proxy data with no xG available for either team.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to data limitations.
  • Market: Benfica 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Moreirense 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Benfica José Mourinho
José Mourinho
VS
Moreirense V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
2.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting CP Rank: D
Nacional Rank: W
Casa Pia Rank: D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: W
Arouca Rank: W
Porto Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estoril Rank: D
Famalicão Rank: D
Sporting Braga Rank: L
Arouca Rank: L
Porto Rank: L
Nacional Rank: D
17
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
17 - 5 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Benfica
0%
Draw
0%
Away Moreirense
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
39.11
15.9
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Benfica
Moreirense
Power Score
39.11
15.9
League Position
3
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Benfica Opponent-weighted form score
Moreirense Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Benfica Moreirense

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Benfica SLB Home
23 matches
Moreirense MOE Away
Match Record
17
Wins
1
5
Draws
5
1
Losses
17
Goals
50
Goals Scored
17
17
Goals Conceded
50
+33
Goal Difference
-33
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T02:04:56+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Capacity
68100
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Anatolii Trubin
Anatolii Trubin Goalkeeper
24
Samuel Jumpe Soares
Samuel Jumpe Soares Goalkeeper
30
Nicolás Hernán Otamendi
Nicolás Hernán Otamendi Defender
6
Alexander Hartmann Bah
Alexander Hartmann Bah Defender
17
Amar Dedić
Amar Dedić Defender
44
Tomás Lemos Araújo
Tomás Lemos Araújo Defender
26
Samuel Dahl
Samuel Dahl Defender
4
António João Pereira Albuquerque Tavares Silva
António João Pereira Albuquerque Tavares Silva Defender
15
Sidny Lopes Cabral
Sidny Lopes Cabral Defender
58
Daniel Armando Fonseca da Silva Banjaqui
Daniel Armando Fonseca da Silva Banjaqui Defender
62
José Pedro Formoso Neto
José Pedro Formoso Neto Defender
8
Fredrik Aursnes
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder
18
Leandro Barreiro Martins
Leandro Barreiro Martins Midfielder
10
Heorhii Sudakov
Heorhii Sudakov Midfielder
5
Enzo Barrenechea
Enzo Barrenechea Midfielder
20
Richard Rios Montoya
Richard Rios Montoya Midfielder
16
Manuel Jorge Silva
Manuel Jorge Silva Midfielder
68
João Miguel Fins Veloso
João Miguel Fins Veloso Midfielder
84
João Pedro Seno Luis Rêgo
João Pedro Seno Luis Rêgo Midfielder
14
Vangelis Pavlidis
Vangelis Pavlidis Attacker
11
Dodi Lukebakio
Dodi Lukebakio Attacker
27
Rafael Alexandre Fernandes Ferreira da Silva
Rafael Alexandre Fernandes Ferreira da Silva Attacker
7
Armindo Tué Na Bangna
Armindo Tué Na Bangna Attacker
39
Henrique Pereira Araújo
Henrique Pereira Araújo Attacker
9
Franjo Ivanović
Franjo Ivanović Attacker
21
Andreas Schjelderup
Andreas Schjelderup Attacker
25
Gianluca Prestianni Gross
Gianluca Prestianni Gross Attacker
72
Anísio Cláudio Fernandes Reis Cabral
Anísio Cláudio Fernandes Reis Cabral Attacker

Squad

16
Michael Simões Domingues
Michael Simões Domingues Goalkeeper
22
Caio Gobbo Secco
Caio Gobbo Secco Goalkeeper
13
André Filipe Magalhães Ribeiro Ferreira
André Filipe Magalhães Ribeiro Ferreira Goalkeeper
26
Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga
Jóbson de Brito Gonzaga Defender
Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva
Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva Defender
76
Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges Pinto
Dinis Lourenço Casals Namura Borges Pinto Defender
3
Michel Augusto Modesto Rafael dos Santos
Michel Augusto Modesto Rafael dos Santos Defender
17
Álvaro Martínez Navarro
Álvaro Martínez Navarro Defender
66
Gilberto Dambi Batista
Gilberto Dambi Batista Defender
2
Diogo Martins Travassos
Diogo Martins Travassos Defender
27
Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues
Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues Defender
71
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos
Leandro Henrique Sousa Santos Defender
4
Kevyn Henrique Monteiro de Souza
Kevyn Henrique Monteiro de Souza Defender
11
Alan de Souza Guimarães
Alan de Souza Guimarães Midfielder
23
Nile John
Nile John Midfielder
15
Vasco José Cardoso Sousa
Vasco José Cardoso Sousa Midfielder
30
Jimi Gower
Jimi Gower Midfielder
21
Rodrigo Alonso Martín
Rodrigo Alonso Martín Midfielder
8
Mateja Stjepanovic
Mateja Stjepanovic Midfielder
25
Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida
Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida Midfielder
6
Miguel Andrade Silva
Miguel Andrade Silva Midfielder
10
Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso Attacker
7
Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi
Cedric Wilfried Teguia Noubi Attacker
99
Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa
Yan Lincon Farias de Sousa Attacker
9
Luís Hemir Silva Semedo
Luís Hemir Silva Semedo Attacker
78
Landerson Costa Araujo
Landerson Costa Araujo Attacker

CONCLUSION

Benfica's overwhelming power and form edges make them clear frontrunners against Moreirense at home. The 23.2-point gulf in strength, coupled with superior league standing, suggests a routine victory for the hosts in this Liga Portugal encounter. While data gaps on set pieces and efficiency temper granular previews, the broader metrics paint a picture of Benfica dictating play and exploiting transitions effectively. Moreirense's mid-table status offers little resistance, likely resulting in a comfortable home win that bolsters Benfica's top-three push.