Alverca vs Arouca Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal

Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM

Liga Portugal

Alverca Alverca

Arouca Arouca

KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM

Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Alverca hosts Arouca at Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca in a Liga Portugal regular season matchup during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side occupies 10th place with a power score of 21.28, giving them a 1.3-point edge over 12th-placed Arouca's 20.01, positioning Alverca as the stronger team overall. Form scores reveal a tighter contest, with Arouca at 15.78 slightly ahead of Alverca's 14.89, hinting at visitors' recent momentum. No last outings are recorded, adding unpredictability to this mid-table scrap. Set piece data draws from low-confidence proxies without xG availability, limiting insights into dead-ball threats for both attacks and defenses. Alverca seeks to harness home advantage in a fixture where fine margins could define the outcome.

TL;DR

Structural: Alverca possesses a 1.3-point power advantage as the stronger team.
Form: Arouca leads form scores at 15.78 versus Alverca's 14.89.
Squad: Alverca ranks 10th and Arouca 12th in Liga Portugal standings.
Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
Transition: Transition metrics not available in current dataset.
Set pieces: Set pieces rely on low-confidence proxies with no xG data.
xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
Market: Projection split: Alverca 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Arouca 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

C. Dias de Castro

V. Freire De Seabra

1.19

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.14

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

0 - 0 - 1

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Alverca

Draw

Arouca

Team Power Ranking

21.28

20.01

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Alverca

Arouca

Power Score

21.28

20.01

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Alverca — Opponent-weighted form score

Arouca — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Alverca Arouca

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Alverca Alverca Home

1 matches

Arouca Arouca Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-1

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T02:04:47+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 26, 2026, 12:00 AM

Competition

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season

Stadium

Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca

Capacity

7705

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

C. Dias de Castro Coach

Squad ▼

André Nogueira Gomes Goalkeeper

Matheus Mendes Werneck de Oliveira Goalkeeper

Mateus Oliveira Mende Goalkeeper

Sergi Gómez Solà Defender

Diogo Filipe Spencer Marques Defender

Kaiky Marques Naves Defender

Steven Baseya Defender

Ndemeni Bastien Chefren Meupiyou Menadjou Defender

Isaac James Defender

Jose Julian Martinez Crisanto Defender

Francisco Rodrigues Defender

Lincoln Henrique Oliveira dos Santos Midfielder

Nabil Zoubdi Touaizi Midfielder

Rhaldney Norberto Simião Gomes Midfielder

Sabit Abdulai Midfielder

Vasco Silva Moreira Midfielder

Tomás Alage Mendes Mendes Midfielder

Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui Midfielder

—

Zakaria Kessary Midfielder

Stéphane Diarra Attacker

Sandro César Cordovil de Lima Attacker

Francisco Jorge Tavares Oliveira Attacker

Mathis Clairicia Attacker

Lucas Figueiredo dos Santos Attacker

Marko Milovanović Attacker

Cédric Nuozzi Attacker

Fabrício Garcia Andrade Attacker

Felipe de Almeida Lima Attacker

Manager ▼

V. Freire De Seabra Coach

Squad ▼

Ignacio De Arruabarrena Fernández Goalkeeper

João Nuno Figueiredo Valido Goalkeeper

Jakub Vinarčík Goalkeeper

Bas Edo Kuipers Defender

Tiago Alexandre Sousa Esgaio Defender

Boris Popović Defender

Javier Sánchez de Felipe Defender

José Manuel Fontán Mondragón Defender

Amadou Dante Defender

Matías Emiliano Rocha Calderón Defender

D. Pinheiro Monteiro Defender

Omar Fayed Defender

José Augusto Silva Defender

Pablo Gozalbez Gilabert Midfielder

Taichi Fukui Midfielder

Pedro Carvalho Santos Midfielder

Hyun-ju Lee Midfielder

Jesús Santiago Midfielder

Mateo Flores Lozano Midfielder

Espen van Ee Midfielder

Naïs Djouahra Attacker

Iván Martínez Gonzálvez Attacker

Miguel Puche García Attacker

Alfonso Trezza Hernández Attacker

Brian Mansilla Attacker

Fally Mayulu Attacker

Dylan Alenxader Nandín Berrutti Attacker

CONCLUSION

This Liga Portugal encounter pits Alverca's power edge and home venue against Arouca's nuanced form superiority in a battle of mid-table sides at 10th and 12th. With scant details on recent results or advanced metrics like efficiency and transitions, execution in open play will dominate. Set piece proxies offer little clarity amid absent xG. Alverca's 1.3-point structural lead suggests they can grind out a result, but Arouca's form hints at counterpunching threat. A cagey affair looms, favoring the hosts narrowly on balance.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT