Watford vs Leicester City Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Championship, England
Vicarage Road Sat, 21 Mar - 3:00 PM
Championship
Watford WAT
0 – 0
Leicester City LEI
Full Time Sat, 21 Mar 3:00 PM
Round 39 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The match between Watford and Leicester City has finished in a 0-0 draw, with the two sides remaining scoreless at both halftime and the final whistle. This result represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, which favored the home side, Watford. Before kickoff, the market gave Watford a 47.8% probability of victory, compared to just 26.0% for Leicester City and 26.2% for a draw. Consequently, the final outcome did not align with the pre-match market predictions. Despite the scoreless final result, the underlying statistics heavily favored the visitors. Leicester City controlled the flow of the game, holding 55% possession to Watford's 45%. The away side also dominated the expected goals (xG) battle, generating a commanding 1.88 xG against a mere 0.33 xG for Watford. Because Leicester failed to convert their superior chances, the drawn outcome was ultimately not consistent with the xG data. Both sides finished the match with all eleven players on the pitch, as no red cards were issued to impact the tactical dynamics of the game. Furthermore, the overall efficiency shift throughout the fixture remained in line with standard expectations, even as the pre-match favorites were held to a frustrating stalemate.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Watford showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Watford E. Still
E. Still
VS
Leicester City G. Rowett
G. Rowett
1.58
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Swansea City Rank: 68 L
Blackburn Rovers Rank: 67 D
Portsmouth Rank: 65 D
Millwall Rank: 75 L
Birmingham City Rank: 70 W
Norwich City Rank: 72 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Charlton Athletic Rank: 68 L
Oxford United Rank: 65 L
Wrexham Rank: 75 D
Coventry City Rank: 77 L
West Bromwich Albion Rank: 66 W
Sheffield United Rank: 71 L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 4 - 18
18

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Watford
47.79%
Draw
26.2%
Away Leicester City
26.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.72
62.3
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Watford
Leicester City
Power Score
68.72
62.3
League Position
9
22
Global Rank
226
244

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Watford — Opponent-weighted form score
Leicester City — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Watford Leicester City

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Watford

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Leicester City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Watford ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Leicester City
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
19.22
31.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.55
19.22
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Watford -1.16 Efficiency Index
vs
Leicester City +1.16 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Watford
Leicester City
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Watford
vs
Leicester City
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Watford Leicester City
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Watford Leicester City
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Watford
Leicester City
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 32 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Watford WAT Home
32 matches
Leicester City LEI Away
Match Record
10
Wins
18
4
Draws
4
18
Losses
10
Goals
41
Goals Scored
68
68
Goals Conceded
41
-27
Goal Difference
+27
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:22:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
E. Selvik
Norway
1 E. Selvik
J. Abankwah
Republic of Ireland
25 J. Abankwah
M. Pollock
England
6 M. Pollock
F. Mendy
Substitution
Senegal
27 F. Mendy
M. Bola
England
16 M. Bola
N. Irankunda
Australia
66 N. Irankunda
I. Louza
Substitution
Morocco
10 (C) I. Louza
P. Ekwah Elimby
Substitution
France
17 P. Ekwah Elimby
G. Chakvetadze
Substitution
Georgia
8 G. Chakvetadze
L. Kjerrumgaard
Substitution
Denmark
9 L. Kjerrumgaard
E. Kayembe
DR Congo
39 E. Kayembe
J. Stolarczyk
Poland
1 J. Stolarczyk
L. Thomas
England
33 L. Thomas
J. Lascelles
Substitution
England
24 J. Lascelles
M. Okoli
Italy
5 M. Okoli
R. Barbosa Pereira
Portugal
21 (C) R. Barbosa Pereira
H. Winks
England
8 H. Winks
O. Skipp
Substitution
England
22 O. Skipp
S. Mavididi
Substitution
England
10 S. Mavididi
J. James
Substitution
Wales
6 J. James
A. Issahaku
Ghana
7 A. Issahaku
P. Daka
Substitution
Zambia
20 P. Daka

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 21, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Championship, England · Round 39 · Regular Season
Stadium
Vicarage Road
Capacity
21400
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Joshua Smith
Lee Venamore
Hristo Karaivanov
Ross Martin

Statistics

Possession
WAT
46%
LEI
54%

Top Statistics

0 Big Chances Created 4
2 Shots 6
53 Dangerous attacks 47
45 Possession 55
7 Corners 4
8 Free kicks 12
3 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

25 Throwins 30
12 Dribble Attempts 16
1 Injuries 2
63 Ball Safe 80
7 Goal Kicks 8
23 Successful Headers 22
0 Penalties 1
2 Successful Dribbles 6
0 Hit Woodwork 1
17 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
5 Goal Attempts 8
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

92 Attacks 103
0 Big Chances Missed 4

Possession

75 Successful Passes Percentage 80
250 Successful Passes 325
64 Long Passes 59
3 Key Passes 8
334 Passes 408
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
32 Successful Long Passes 18

Defensive

11 Interceptions 10
11 Tackles 21
5 Saves 2

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 19
2 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

13 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Joshua Smith

Starting XI ▼

1
Egil Selvik
Egil Selvik Goalkeeper
8.5
6
Mattie Pollock
Mattie Pollock Defender
7.12
16
Marc Bola
Marc Bola Defender
6.87
25
James Abankwah
James Abankwah Defender
7.18
27
Formose Mendy
Formose Mendy Defender
6.44
4
Kévin Keben
Kévin Keben
Defender46'
6.49
8
Giorgi Chakvetadze
Giorgi Chakvetadze Midfielder
6.75
15
Edoardo Bove
Edoardo Bove
Midfielder66'
6.39
10
Imrân Louza
Imrân Louza (C) Midfielder
6.56
23
Nampalys Mendy
Nampalys Mendy
Midfielder67'
6.45
17
Pierre Ekwah
Pierre Ekwah Midfielder
7.26
18
Vivaldo Semedo
Vivaldo Semedo
Attacker87'
66
Nestory Irankunda
Nestory Irankunda Midfielder
6.55
9
Luca Kjerrumgaard
Luca Kjerrumgaard Attacker
6.38
20
Mamadou Doumbia
Mamadou Doumbia
Attacker76'
6.38
39
Edo Kayembe
Edo Kayembe Attacker
6.81
Referee : Joshua Smith

Starting XI ▼

1
Jakub Stolarczyk
Jakub Stolarczyk Goalkeeper
6.98
5
Caleb Okoli
Caleb Okoli Defender
7.41
21
Ricardo Pereira
Ricardo Pereira (C) Defender
7.66
24
Jamaal Lascelles
Jamaal Lascelles Defender
7.02
4
Ben Nelson
Ben Nelson
Defender80'
6.7
33
Luke Thomas
Luke Thomas Defender
7.41
6
Jordan James
Jordan James Midfielder
6.47
29
Divine Mukasa
Divine Mukasa
Midfielder61'
6.72
7
Issahaku Fatawu
Issahaku Fatawu Midfielder
7.77
8
Harry Winks
Harry Winks Midfielder
6.96
10
Stephy Mavididi
Stephy Mavididi Midfielder
6.53
14
Bobby De Cordova-Reid
Bobby De Cordova-Reid
Attacker61'
6.4
22
Oliver Skipp
Oliver Skipp Midfielder
6.68
18
Joe Aribo
Joe Aribo
Midfielder80'
6.67
20
Patson Daka
Patson Daka Attacker
5.79
9
Jordan Ayew
Jordan Ayew
Attacker89'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Egil Selvik
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
90+2'
90+2'
Event
Bobby De Cordova-Reid
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Mamadou Doumbia
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+1'
89'
Event
Jordan Ayew → Patson Daka
10th Substitution
Event
Vivaldo Semedo → Pierre Ekwah
9th Substitution
87'
80'
Event
Joe Aribo → Oliver Skipp
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Ben Nelson → Jamaal Lascelles
8th Substitution
Event
Mamadou Doumbia → Luca Kjerrumgaard
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Nampalys Mendy → Imrân Louza
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Edoardo Bove → Giorgi Chakvetadze
4th Substitution
66'
61'
Event
Divine Mukasa → Jordan James
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Bobby De Cordova-Reid → Stephy Mavididi
3rd Substitution
54'
Event
Issahaku Fatawu
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Kévin Keben → Formose Mendy
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Jordan James
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
41'
Event
Patson Daka
GoalkeeperSave
17'
Event
Stephy Mavididi
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Formose Mendy
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
12'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Egil Selvik from Watford has been shown a yellow card.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Leicester City: Jordan Ayew comes on to replace Patson Daka.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bobby De Cordova-Reid of Leicester City has been shown a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Mamadou Doumbia from Watford committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Bobby De Cordova-Reid committed a foul against Leicester City.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Marc Bola from Watford takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
90
Update Update
Mamadou Doumbia from Watford committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Marc Bola from Watford has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Caleb Okoli from Leicester City was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
90
Update Update
Ricardo Pereira from Leicester City was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Egil Selvik from Watford has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mamadou Doumbia from Watford has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push unfolds. Ben Nelson from Leicester City takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the box, but it's stopped by the goalkeeper, Egil Selvik, who is positioned centrally. The assist came from Abdul Fatawu.
90
Update Update
Ben Nelson from Leicester City has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Watford after a deflection off Caleb Okoli.
90
Update Update
Vivaldo Semedo from Watford committed a foul.
89
Update Update
Abdul Fatawu committed a foul against Leicester City.
89
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Edo Kayembe from Watford took a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar following a corner kick.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Watford after Caleb Okoli allowed the ball to go out of play.
88
Update Update
Mattie Pollock from Watford has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
87
Update Update
Bobby De Cordova-Reid commits a handball for Leicester City.
87
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Joe Aribo of Leicester City heads the ball from the center of the penalty area, but it sails over the crossbar. The assist came from Luke Thomas, who delivered a cross.
86
Update Update
Luke Thomas from Leicester City earned a free kick in an offensive position.
85
Update Update
Nampalys Mendy from Watford committed a foul.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Leicester City: Joe Aribo comes on to replace Oliver Skipp.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Leicester City: Ben Nelson replaces Jamaal Lascelles.
79
Update Update
Mamadou Doumbia from Watford committed a foul.
79
Update Update
Luke Thomas from Leicester City has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
79
Update Update
Ricardo Pereira from Leicester City earned a free kick in the defensive area.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Watford: Mamadou Doumbia comes on to replace Luca Kjerrumgaard.
78
Update Update
Nampalys Mendy from Watford committed a foul.
76
Update Update
Oliver Skipp committed a foul against a Leicester City player.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Leicester City after Marc Bola allowed the ball to go out.
76
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity. Divine Mukasa from Leicester City attempted a header from the center of the box, but it went just wide. The assist came from Abdul Fatawu, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
76
Update Update
Egil Selvik from Watford has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
75
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Ricardo Pereira from Leicester City took a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the right side, but it went just wide to the left. The assist came from Abdul Fatawu.
75
Update Update
Patson Daka from Leicester City earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
74
Update Update
Marc Bola committed a foul against a Watford player.
74
Update Update
Mattie Pollock from Watford committed a foul.
72
Update Update
Abdul Fatawu from Leicester City has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
72
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Luca Kjerrumgaard from Watford takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area. The attempt is expertly stopped in the top left corner by Jakub Stolarczyk of Leicester City, with the assist coming from Pierre Ekwah.
71
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Divine Mukasa from Leicester City took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it narrowly missed the target. The assist came from Abdul Fatawu.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Watford after Jakub Stolarczyk allowed the ball to go out.
70
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Divine Mukasa from Leicester City takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area that narrowly misses the target. The assist came from Abdul Fatawu.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Watford after Jakub Stolarczyk allowed it to go out of play.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Watford after Jakub Stolarczyk allowed the ball to go out.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Watford: Nampalys Mendy comes on to replace Imrân Louza.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Watford: Edoardo Bove comes on to replace Giorgi Chakvetadze.
65
Update Update
Opportunity wasted. Patson Daka from Leicester City attempted a header from the right side of the six-yard area.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Leicester City after a foul by Egil Selvik.
63
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Abdul Fatawu from Leicester City takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's intercepted.
63
Corner Corner
Another offensive push unfolds. Divine Mukasa from Leicester City takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Egil Selvik of Watford makes a save, diving to the right corner.
62
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
62
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Jakub Stolarczyk from Leicester City.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Leicester City: Bobby De Cordova-Reid comes on to replace Stephy Mavididi.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Leicester City: Divine Mukasa replaces Jordan James.
60
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Imrân Louza from Watford took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Watford after Jakub Stolarczyk allowed it to go out.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Watford after Luke Thomas allowed the ball to go out.
54
Update Update
Abdul Fatawu committed a foul for Leicester City.
54
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Abdul Fatawu from Leicester City has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
54
Update Update
Giorgi Chakvetadze from Watford has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
53
Update Update
Offside call against Leicester City. Abdul Fatawu has been flagged for being offside.
51
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Stephy Mavididi of Leicester City takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area. The attempt is thwarted by Watford's goalkeeper, Egil Selvik, who makes a save right in the center of the goal. The assist for this play comes from Jordan James.
48
Update Update
Jordan James from Leicester City has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
48
Update Update
James Abankwah committed a foul against Watford.
47
Update Update
Offside call against Leicester City. Patson Daka has been flagged for being offside.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at Watford 0, Leicester City 0.
45
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Stephy Mavididi from Leicester City takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Abdul Fatawu.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Watford: Kévin Keben comes on to replace Formose Mendy.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score still tied at Watford 0, Leicester City 0.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at 0-0 between Watford and Leicester City.
45
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal is thwarted. Stephy Mavididi from Leicester City takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist was provided by Abdul Fatawu.
43
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Leicester City after Formose Mendy allowed the ball to go out.
43
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 8 minutes of stoppage time.
42
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Giorgi Chakvetadze of Watford.
42
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 8 minutes of stoppage time.
42
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jordan James of Leicester City has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
40
Update Update
Jordan James from Leicester City committed a foul.
40
Update Update
Giorgi Chakvetadze from Watford earned a free kick in the defensive zone.
37
Attempt Attempt
The penalty was thwarted! Patson Daka from Leicester City took a right-footed shot, but Egil Selvik of Watford made a fantastic save, diving to his left to keep the ball out of the net.
37
Update Update
Formose Mendy of Watford has given away a penalty following a foul committed in the box.
36
Update Update
Formose Mendy of Watford has given away a penalty due to a foul committed inside the box.
35
Update Update
Luke Thomas from Leicester City committed a foul.
35
Update Update
Leicester City has been awarded a penalty! Abdul Fatawu was fouled inside the box.
35
Update Update
Nestory Irankunda from Watford has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
31
Update Update
Giorgi Chakvetadze from Watford committed a foul.
26
Update Update
Ricardo Pereira from Leicester City earned a free kick on the right flank.
24
Update Update
Leicester City has been called for offside. Abdul Fatawu is positioned beyond the last defender.
23
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
22
Update Update
Match interruption - Leicester City.
21
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Jordan James from Leicester City.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Watford after Ricardo Pereira allowed the ball to go out.
20
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Marc Bola of Watford attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a corner, but it went wide.
18
Update Update
Offside call against Watford. Mattie Pollock is caught in an offside position.
17
Update Update
Nestory Irankunda from Watford was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
17
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Stephy Mavididi of Leicester City has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
17
Update Update
Stephy Mavididi of Leicester City committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Imrân Louza from Watford committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Harry Winks from Leicester City has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
16
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Harry Winks from Leicester City attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide to the left.
16
Update Update
The attempt is thwarted. Jordan James from Leicester City heads the ball from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
12
Update Update
Formose Mendy from Watford committed a foul.
12
Update Update
Formose Mendy from Watford committed a foul.
12
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Formose Mendy of Watford has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Leicester City after a deflection off Pierre Ekwah.
8
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
6
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Imrân Louza from Watford.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Watford after a deflection off Stephy Mavididi.
2
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Watford after Caleb Okoli allowed the ball to go out of play.
2
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal is thwarted. Edo Kayembe from Watford takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Nestory Irankunda.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Watford exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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