Vitória Guimarães vs Rio Ave Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM

Liga Portugal

Vitória Guimarães VDG

Rio Ave RIO

KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM

Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Vitória Guimarães hosts Rio Ave at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques in a Liga Portugal regular season fixture for the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side occupies 7th place, edging out the 11th-placed visitors with a power score of 21.99 to 21.33, translating to a slim 0.7-point advantage that marks them as the stronger outfit overall. Recent form flips the narrative, as Rio Ave boasts a superior 22.83 rating against Vitória's 13.44, hinting at potential momentum on the road. No last outings are recorded, while efficiency and set piece metrics draw from low-confidence proxies with no xG availability, limiting deeper insights. This setup promises a tactical chess match where home atmosphere and structural edges clash with visiting dynamism.

TL;DR

Structural: Vitória Guimarães enjoys a 0.7-point power advantage and higher league standing at 7th over Rio Ave's 11th.
Form: Rio Ave leads recent form with 22.83 score versus Vitória Guimarães' 13.44.
Squad: Home team leverages slight overall power superiority at 21.99 against 21.33.
Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both Vitória Guimarães and Rio Ave.
Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset for this matchup.
Set pieces: Set piece evaluation uses low-confidence proxies without xG for either side.
xVariable: xG-related variables absent due to disabled add-on and proxy reliance.
Market: Projection split: Vitória Guimarães 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Rio Ave 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

G. Moreira Lameiras

S. Silaidopoulos

1.27

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.1

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

18 - 9 - 8

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Vitória Guimarães

Draw

Rio Ave

Team Power Ranking

21.99

21.33

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Vitória Guimarães

Rio Ave

Power Score

21.99

21.33

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Vitória Guimarães — Opponent-weighted form score

Rio Ave — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Vitória Guimarães Rio Ave

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 35 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Vitória Guimarães VDG Home

35 matches

Rio Ave RIO Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+18

Goal Difference

-18

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T02:05:24+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 26, 2026, 12:00 AM

Competition

2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season

Stadium

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Capacity

30008

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

G. Moreira Lameiras Coach

Squad ▼

Charles Marcelo da Silva Goalkeeper

Juan Diego Castillo Reyes Goalkeeper

José Guilherme Ribeiro Goalkeeper

Rodrigo Abascal Barros Defender

Orest Lebedenko Defender

Miguel Raimundo Nóbrega Defender

Oscar Rivas Viondi Defender

João Miguel Teixeira Mendes Defender

Miguel Ângelo Gomes Ferreira Magalhães Defender

Thiago Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho Defender

Tony Strata Defender

Fábio Samuel Amorim Silva Midfielder

Benedito Mambuene Mukendi Midfielder

Gonçalo Teixeira Nogueira Midfielder

Matija Mitrovic Midfielder

Diogo Lobão Sousa Midfielder

Nélson Miguel Castro Oliveira Attacker

Fabio Blanco Gomez Attacker

Telmo Emanuel Gomes Arcanjo Attacker

Alioune Ndoye Attacker

Gustavo da Silva Cunha Attacker

João Miguel Costa Nogueira Attacker

Oumar Camara Attacker

Noah Jose Saviolo Attacker

Manager ▼

S. Silaidopoulos Coach

Squad ▼

Kevin José Chamorro Rodríguez Goalkeeper

Cezary Miszta Goalkeeper

Ennio van der Gouw Goalkeeper

Jakub Brabec Defender

Marios Vrousai Defender

Omar Richards Defender

Nelson Abby Defender

Andreas-Richardos Ntoi Defender

João Tomé Esteves Baptista Defender

Julien Lomboto Lompombi Defender

Leonardo Daniel Ulineia Buta Defender

Francisco Petrasso Defender

Gustavo Teixeira Lopes da Conceição Defender

João Pedro Salazar da Graça Midfielder

Ole Pohlmann Midfielder

Georgios Liavas Midfielder

Brandon Aguilera Zamora Midfielder

Tamás Nikitscher Midfielder

Ryan Guilherme da Silva Pae Midfielder

Antonis Papakanellos Midfielder

Dario Špikić Attacker

Marc Gual Huguet Attacker

Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro Attacker

Diogo Bezerra de Oliveira Attacker

Karem Zoabi Attacker

Jalen Aleix Miller Blesa Attacker

Tobías Medina Attacker

Rafael Genuino Lobato Attacker

—

Amine Rehmi Attacker

CONCLUSION

Structural favoritism tilts toward Vitória Guimarães through power scores and home venue, yet Rio Ave's sharper form injects uncertainty into proceedings. Lacking granular efficiency or set piece details, the contest hinges on execution in open play and leveraging league positions. Home support at Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques could prove pivotal, potentially overriding the visitors' momentum for a hard-fought victory. Watch for midfield control to shape outcomes in this balanced Liga Portugal encounter.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT