Veres vs Obolon'-Brovar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Stadion Avangard Sat, 11 Apr - 3:00 PM
Premier League
Veres Veres
2 Winner 0
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar
Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 3:00 PM
Round 23 Regular Season
Denys Ndukve - 73'
Igor Kharatin - 85' (P)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Veres and Obolon'-Brovar is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 2-0 in favor of Veres. The teams were level at 0-0 during the interval, but Veres pulled clear in the second half to claim all three points. Pre-match assessments identified Veres as the stronger side, and the outcome showed only minimal deviation from those expectations. Veres secured the expected victory despite being out-possessed for long periods, recording 34 percent of the ball compared to Obolon'-Brovar’s 66 percent. No xG data was available to measure chance quality, yet the efficiency shift stayed in line with projections as the home side converted limited opportunities while maintaining defensive solidity. The result aligned fully with pre-match expectations and produced no major surprises. Neither team received a red card, and no single event dramatically altered the contest’s flow. Veres simply proved more clinical, confirming their status as the match’s dominant performer on the day.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Veres showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Y. Hashkov
Y. Hashkov
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.49
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
M. Yukhymenko
M. Yukhymenko
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.49
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
M. Rayda
M. Rayda
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 16.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.49
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Veres O. Shandruk
O. Shandruk
VS
Obolon'-Brovar O. Antonenko
O. Antonenko
1.15
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.93
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: L
Kudrivka Rank: D
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: L
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: L
SK Poltava Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zorya Luhansk Rank: D
Karpaty Rank: L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: D
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: W
Oleksandria Rank: D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 3 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Veres
97.32%
Draw
1.91%
Away Obolon'-Brovar
0.77%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.6
14.83
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Veres
Obolon'-Brovar
Power Score
15.6
14.83
League Position
10
12
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Veres — Opponent-weighted form score
Obolon'-Brovar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Veres Obolon'-Brovar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Veres

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Obolon'-Brovar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Veres ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Obolon'-Brovar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.62
11.21
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
11.21
36.62
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Veres +2.56 Efficiency Index
vs
Obolon'-Brovar -2.56 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Veres
Obolon'-Brovar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Veres ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Obolon'-Brovar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Veres Obolon'-Brovar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Veres Obolon'-Brovar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Veres
Obolon'-Brovar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Veres
vs
Obolon'-Brovar
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Veres Obolon'-Brovar
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Veres 0.38
Obolon'-Brovar 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Veres Obolon'-Brovar
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Veres 0.00
Obolon'-Brovar 0.07
Veres
Obolon'-Brovar
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Obolon'-Brovar had peak pressure around 65'.
  • Veres started the game with stronger pressure.
Veres Pressure Obolon'-Brovar Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Obolon'-Brovar reached the top pressure at 65' (45.69).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Veres Veres Home
5 matches
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
3
Draws
3
1
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
4
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T00:09:03+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
V. Gorokh
Ukraine
91 V. Gorokh
K. Stamoulis
Greece
22 K. Stamoulis
K. Cipot
Slovenia
4 K. Cipot
S. Vovchenko
Substitution
Ukraine
3 S. Vovchenko
M. Smiyan
Ukraine
2 M. Smiyan
I. Kharatin
Ukraine
14 I. Kharatin
A. Gonçalves
Substitution
Portugal
19 A. Gonçalves
V. Boyko
Ukraine
18 V. Boyko
D. Klots
Substitution
Ukraine
10 D. Klots
V. Sharay
Ukraine
77 V. Sharay
D. Ndukwe
Substitution
Ukraine
30 D. Ndukwe
N. Fedorivsky
Ukraine
1 N. Fedorivsky
E. Prokopenko
Ukraine
24 E. Prokopenko
D. Semenov
Ukraine
50 D. Semenov
V. Pryymak
Ukraine
3 V. Pryymak
P. Polehenko
Substitution
Ukraine
28 P. Polehenko
M. Tretyakov
Substitution
Ukraine
75 M. Tretyakov
T. Moroz
Substitution
Ukraine
4 T. Moroz
R. Volokhatiy
Ukraine
20 R. Volokhatiy
I. Medynskyi
Ukraine
13 I. Medynskyi
D. Ustymenko
Substitution
Ukraine
9 D. Ustymenko
D. Teslyuk
Substitution
Ukraine
99 D. Teslyuk

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 11, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 23 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Avangard
Capacity
4500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Yevhen Hashkov
Mykhailo Yukhymenko
Mykhailo Rayda

Statistics

Possession
Veres
50%
Obolon'-Brovar
50%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
11 Shots 6
29 Dangerous attacks 28
34 Possession 66
6 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

8 Goal Kicks 5
5 Substitutions 6
1 Assists 0
1 Penalties 0

Attacking

63 Attacks 57

Defensive

3 Saves 3

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
15 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Mykhailo Rayda

Starting XI ▼

91
Valentyn Gorokh
Valentyn Gorokh Goalkeeper
2
Maksym Smiyan
Maksym Smiyan Defender
3
Semen Vovchenko
Semen Vovchenko Defender
44
Danyil Checher
Danyil Checher
Defender90'
4
K. Cipot
K. Cipot Defender
22
Konstantinos Stamoulis
Konstantinos Stamoulis Defender
10
Dmytro Klyots
Dmytro Klyots Midfielder
7
Fabrício Yan
Fabrício Yan
Attacker84'
14
Igor Kharatin
Igor Kharatin Midfielder
18
Vitaliy Boyko
Vitaliy Boyko Midfielder
19
André Gonçalves
André Gonçalves Midfielder
80
Guilherme Bahia
Guilherme Bahia
Attacker84'
77
Vladyslav Sharay
Vladyslav Sharay Midfielder
30
Denys Ndukve
Denys Ndukve Attacker
26
Sergey Sten
Sergey Sten
Attacker84'
Referee : Mykhailo Rayda

Starting XI ▼

1
Nazariy Fedorivskyi
Nazariy Fedorivskyi Goalkeeper
3
Vladyslav Pryimak
Vladyslav Pryimak Defender
28
Pavlo Polegenko
Pavlo Polegenko Defender
21
Kostyantyn Bychek
Kostyantyn Bychek
Attacker87'
50
Dmytro Semenov
Dmytro Semenov Defender
4
Taras Moroz
Taras Moroz Midfielder
6
Maksym Chekh
Maksym Chekh
Midfielder77'
13
Igor Medynskyi
Igor Medynskyi Midfielder
20
R. Volokhatyi
R. Volokhatyi Midfielder
24
Yegor Prokopenko
Yegor Prokopenko Midfielder
75
Maksym Tretyakov
Maksym Tretyakov Midfielder
40
Ivan Nesterenko
Ivan Nesterenko
Midfielder77'
9
Denys Ustymenko
Denys Ustymenko Attacker
10
Oleg Slobodyan
Oleg Slobodyan
Midfielder62'
99
Denys Teslyuk
Denys Teslyuk Attacker
90
Taras Lyakh
Taras Lyakh
61'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Danyil Checher → Semen Vovchenko
9th Substitution
90'
87'
Event
Kostyantyn Bychek → Pavlo Polegenko
8th Substitution
Event
Igor Kharatin
Penalty / 1st Penalty
85'
Event
Fabrício Yan → Dmytro Klyots
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Guilherme Bahia → André Gonçalves
5th Substitution
84'
Event
Sergey Sten → Denys Ndukve
6th Substitution
84'
77'
Event
Maksym Chekh → Taras Moroz
3rd Substitution
77'
Event
Ivan Nesterenko → Maksym Tretyakov
4th Substitution
Event
Denys Ndukve
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
73'
Event
Semen Vovchenko
1st Yellowcard
71'
62'
Event
Oleg Slobodyan → Denys Ustymenko
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Taras Lyakh → Denys Teslyuk
1st Substitution

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Veres exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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