Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam Prediction, Preview and Stats

Netherlands flag 2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
BUKO Stadion Wed, 22 Apr - 6:00 PM
Eredivisie
Telstar TEL
Versus
Sparta Rotterdam SPR
KICKOFF : Wed, 22 Apr - 6:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Telstar host Sparta Rotterdam in Eredivisie (Regular Season) at BUKO Stadion. Domestically, Telstar sit 16th in the table while Sparta Rotterdam are 10th. Power ranking favours Telstar by 5.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Telstar holds a 5.4-point power advantage over Sparta Rotterdam.
  • Form: Telstar's form score stands at 25, far superior to Sparta Rotterdam's 8.83.
  • Squad: Telstar's squad rated stronger via power score of 24.56 versus 19.12.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to low confidence and no xG data.
  • xVariable: xVariable metrics not available.
  • Market: Telstar 39% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.2% (Δ+0%) | Sparta Rotterdam 35.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Telstar A. Correia
A. Correia
VS
Sparta Rotterdam M. Steijn
M. Steijn
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
FC Utrecht Rank: L
FC Groningen Rank: L
PSV Rank: W
SC Heerenveen Rank: L
Fortuna Sittard Rank: W
NAC Breda Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
PSV Rank: L
NAC Breda Rank: D
FC Volendam Rank: W
Ajax Rank: L
PEC Zwolle Rank: D
SC Heerenveen Rank: L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Telstar
39.04%
Draw
25.16%
Away Sparta Rotterdam
35.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.56
19.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Telstar
Sparta Rotterdam
Power Score
24.56
19.12
League Position
16
10
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Telstar Opponent-weighted form score
Sparta Rotterdam Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Telstar Sparta Rotterdam

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Telstar TEL Home
1 matches
Sparta Rotterdam SPR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T02:03:05+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
R. Koeman Jr.
1 R. Koeman Jr.
N. Ogidi Nwankwo
14 N. Ogidi Nwankwo
G. Offerhaus
4 G. Offerhaus
D. Bakker
6 D. Bakker
T. Noslin
11 T. Noslin
C. Hatenboer
23 C. Hatenboer
T. Owusu
8 T. Owusu
J. Hardeveld
2 J. Hardeveld
J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
39 J. Ritmeester van de Kamp
P. Brouwer
27 P. Brouwer
S. van Duijn
37 S. van Duijn
J. Drommel
1 J. Drommel
M. Kleijn
5 M. Kleijn
G. Vianello
15 G. Vianello
M. Young
3 M. Young
S. Sambo
12 S. Sambo
S. Mito
11 S. Mito
J. Kitolano
8 J. Kitolano
J. Baas
6 J. Baas
A. Santos
18 A. Santos
V. van Crooij
10 V. van Crooij
T. Lauritsen
9 T. Lauritsen

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 22, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
BUKO Stadion
Capacity
3200
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

1
Ronald Koeman Jr.
Ronald Koeman Jr. Goalkeeper
7.26
27
Patrick Brouwer
Patrick Brouwer Midfielder
6.98
39
Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp
Jochem Ritmeester van de Kamp Midfielder
7.17
2
Jeff Hardeveld
Jeff Hardeveld Midfielder
7.15
11
Tyrese Noslin
Tyrese Noslin Midfielder
6.72
37
Sem van Duijn
Sem van Duijn Centre Forward
6.91
14
Neville Ogidi Nwankwo
Neville Ogidi Nwankwo Right Back
6.56
23
Cedric Hatenboer
Cedric Hatenboer Central Midfield
6.83
4
Guus Offerhaus
Guus Offerhaus Centre Back
6.76
6
Danny Bakker
Danny Bakker Left Back
6.94
8
Tyrone Owusu
Tyrone Owusu Central Midfield
6.74

Starting XI

1
Joël Drommel
Joël Drommel Goalkeeper
7.26
18
Ayoni Santos
Ayoni Santos Midfielder
6.79
11
Shunsuke Mito
Shunsuke Mito Midfielder
7.01
9
Tobias Lauritsen
Tobias Lauritsen Centre Forward
7.28
3
Marvin Young
Marvin Young Right Back
6.92
5
Mike Kleijn
Mike Kleijn Left Back
6.52
15
Giannino Vianello
Giannino Vianello Left Back
6.67
6
Julian Baas
Julian Baas Central Midfield
6.91
8
Joshua Kitolano
Joshua Kitolano Central Midfield
6.84
10
Vito van Crooij
Vito van Crooij Attacking Midfield
6.71
12
Shurandy Sambo
Shurandy Sambo Right Back
6.63

CONCLUSION

Telstar carry momentum into BUKO Stadion, their superior power rating and form score positioning them as favorites despite 16th place. Sparta Rotterdam's 10th spot belies recent struggles, making this a potential upset opportunity for the hosts. With sparse data on set pieces and efficiency, the clash hinges on structural edges and home advantage. Markets view it as tight, but Telstar's 5.4-point superiority suggests they can edge a vital win to climb the table.