Sunderland vs Nottingham Forest Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Stadium of Light Fri, 24 Apr - 7:00 PM
Premier League
Sunderland SUN
Versus
Nottingham Forest NFO
KICKOFF : Fri, 24 Apr - 7:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Sunderland host Nottingham Forest in Premier League (Regular Season) at Stadium of Light. Domestically, Sunderland sit 10th in the table while Nottingham Forest are 16th. Power ranking favours Nottingham Forest by 9.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Nottingham Forest claim a 9.4-point power advantage, rated stronger at 33.87 versus Sunderland's 24.47.
  • Form: Sunderland surpass in form with 24.56 to Nottingham Forest's 15.94.
  • Squad: Hosts occupy 10th position while visitors languish at 16th in the league.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics absent from current fixture analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies as xG unavailable for both squads.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable, hindering advanced performance insights.
  • Market: Sunderland 33.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.5% (Δ+0%) | Nottingham Forest 37.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sunderland R. Le Bris
R. Le Bris
VS
Nottingham Forest S. Dyche
S. Dyche
1.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.16
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Aston Villa Rank: D
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: W
Newcastle United Rank: W
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: L
Leeds United Rank: W
AFC Bournemouth Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Burnley Rank: D
Aston Villa Rank: D
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: W
Fulham Rank: D
Manchester City Rank: D
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sunderland
33.69%
Draw
28.5%
Away Nottingham Forest
37.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.47
33.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sunderland
Nottingham Forest
Power Score
24.47
33.87
League Position
10
16
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sunderland — Opponent-weighted form score
Nottingham Forest — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sunderland Nottingham Forest

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sunderland SUN Home
4 matches
Nottingham Forest NFO Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
3
Goals
4
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
4
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T02:06:56+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 24, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadium of Light
Capacity
48707
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

21
Simon Moore
Simon Moore Goalkeeper
31
Melker Ellborg
Melker Ellborg Goalkeeper
22
Robin Roefs
Robin Roefs Goalkeeper
13
Luke O'Nien
Luke O'Nien Defender
20
Nordi Mukiele Mulere
Nordi Mukiele Mulere Defender
17
Reinildo Isnard Mandava
Reinildo Isnard Mandava Defender
15
Omar Federico Alderete Fernández
Omar Federico Alderete Fernández Defender
6
Lutsharel Geertruida
Lutsharel Geertruida Defender
5
Daniel Ballard
Daniel Ballard Defender
3
Dennis Cirkin
Dennis Cirkin Defender
32
Trai Hume
Trai Hume Defender
34
Granit Xhaka
Granit Xhaka Midfielder
28
Enzo Le Fée
Enzo Le Fée Midfielder
46
Abdoullah Ba
Abdoullah Ba Midfielder
19
Mouhamadou Diarra
Mouhamadou Diarra Midfielder
50
Harrison Jones
Harrison Jones Midfielder
11
Chris Rigg
Chris Rigg Midfielder
27
Noah Sadiki
Noah Sadiki Midfielder
30
Milan Aleksić
Milan Aleksić Midfielder
25
Bertrand Isidore Traoré
Bertrand Isidore Traoré Attacker
18
Wilson Isidor
Wilson Isidor Attacker
9
Brian Brobbey
Brian Brobbey Attacker
14
Romaine Mundle
Romaine Mundle Attacker
10
Nilson David Angulo Ramírez
Nilson David Angulo Ramírez Attacker
7
Chemsdine Talbi
Chemsdine Talbi Attacker
12
Eliezer Mayenda Dossou
Eliezer Mayenda Dossou Attacker
29
Ahmed Abdullahi
Ahmed Abdullahi Attacker
37
Djiamgone Jocelin Ta Bi
Djiamgone Jocelin Ta Bi Attacker

Squad ▼

26
Matz Sels
Matz Sels Goalkeeper
27
Stefan Ortega Moreno
Stefan Ortega Moreno Goalkeeper
13
John Victor Maciel Furtado
John Victor Maciel Furtado Goalkeeper
18
Angus Gunn
Angus Gunn Goalkeeper
34
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa Aina
Temitayo Olufisayo Olaoluwa Aina Defender
30
Willy Boly
Willy Boly Defender
31
Nikola Milenković
Nikola Milenković Defender
3
Neco Williams
Neco Williams Defender
25
Luca Netz
Luca Netz Defender
4
Felipe Rodrigues
Felipe Rodrigues Defender
37
Nicolò Savona
Nicolò Savona Defender
44
Zach Abbott
Zach Abbott Defender
5
Murillo Santiago Costa dos Santos
Murillo Santiago Costa dos Santos Defender
23
Jair Paula da Cunha Filho
Jair Paula da Cunha Filho Defender
17
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira
Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira Defender
10
Morgan Gibbs-White
Morgan Gibbs-White Midfielder
22
Ryan Yates
Ryan Yates Midfielder
6
Ibrahim Sangaré
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder
8
Elliott Anderson
Elliott Anderson Midfielder
16
Nicolás Martín Domínguez
Nicolás Martín Domínguez Midfielder
24
James Mcatee
James Mcatee Midfielder
21
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson
Omari Giraud-Hutchinson Midfielder
11
Chris Wood
Chris Wood Attacker
9
Taiwo Michael Awoniyi
Taiwo Michael Awoniyi Attacker
7
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Callum Hudson-Odoi Attacker
29
Dilane Bakwa
Dilane Bakwa Attacker
20
Lorenzo Lucca
Lorenzo Lucca Attacker
14
Dan Ndoye
Dan Ndoye Attacker
19
Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz
Igor Jesus Maciel da Cruz Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Nottingham Forest holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Nottingham Forest a 9.4-point edge. External projection is Sunderland 33.7%, draw 28.5%, and Nottingham Forest 37.8%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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