Sturm Graz vs LASK Linz Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria

Merkur Arena Wed, 22 Apr - 6:30 PM

Admiral Bundesliga

Sturm Graz STU

LASK Linz ASK

KICKOFF : Wed, 22 Apr - 6:30 PM

Round 6 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Sturm Graz welcome LASK Linz to Merkur Arena in a pivotal Admiral Bundesliga Championship Round clash during the 2025/2026 season. As league leaders in first place, Sturm hold a commanding position, leveraging superior recent form with a score of 27.83 against LASK's 22. Power ratings tell a tighter story, with LASK marginally ahead at 29.86 to Sturm's 29.84, marking no discernible advantage. Both sides vie for supremacy in the top flight's decisive phase, where every point counts toward silverware. Sturm's home advantage at Merkur Arena could prove key, yet LASK's resilience keeps them in contention for a podium finish. Absent detailed last outings or advanced metrics, this encounter hinges on tactical execution and momentum in the championship stakes.

TL;DR

Structural: Sturm Graz lead the Championship Round in 1st place, with LASK Linz in 3rd.
Form: Sturm Graz hold a stronger form score of 27.83 over LASK Linz's 22.
Squad: Squad compositions remain undisclosed ahead of this top-table meeting.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
Transition: Transition play data not provided in current analysis.
Set pieces: Set piece performance unavailable due to absent xG data and low confidence.
xVariable: Advanced xG variables not accessible for this fixture.
Market: Baseline split: Sturm Graz 43.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.9% (Δ+0%) | LASK Linz 30.6% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

F. Ingolitsch

D. Kühbauer

1.44

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

2.06

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

21 - 10 - 15

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Sturm Graz

43.44%

Draw

25.94%

LASK Linz

30.62%

Team Power Ranking

29.84

29.86

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Sturm Graz

LASK Linz

Power Score

29.84

29.86

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Sturm Graz — Opponent-weighted form score

LASK Linz — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sturm Graz LASK Linz

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 46 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sturm Graz STU Home

46 matches

LASK Linz ASK Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+18

Goal Difference

-18

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T01:10:50+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 22, 2026, 06:30 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 6 · Championship Round

Stadium

Merkur Arena

Capacity

16764

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

F. Ingolitsch Coach

Squad ▼

Daniil Khudyakov Goalkeeper

Matteo Bignetti Goalkeeper

Elias Lorenz Goalkeeper

Albert Vallci Defender

Emir Karic Defender

Dimitri Lavalée Defender

Emanuel Aiwu Defender

Jusuf Gazibegovic Defender

Niklas Geyrhofer Defender

Paul-Friedrich Koller Defender

Jeyland Mitchell Defender

Arjan Malic Defender

Jon Gorenc Stankovič Midfielder

Stefan Hierländer Midfielder

Otar Kiteishvili Midfielder

Ryan Fosso Midfielder

Gizo Mamageishvili Midfielder

Jacob Peter Hödl Midfielder

Filip Jan Rózga Midfielder

Luca Weinhandl Midfielder

Maurice Malone Attacker

Seedy Jatta Attacker

Belmin Beganovic Attacker

Rory Wilson Attacker

Leon Grgic Attacker

Axel Kayombo Attacker

Manager ▼

D. Kühbauer Coach

Squad ▼

Tobias Schützenauer Goalkeeper

Lukas Jungwirth Goalkeeper

Fabian Schillinger Goalkeeper

Andres Andrade Cedeño Defender

George Bello Defender

Xavier Mbuyamba Defender

Kasper Poul Mølgaard Jørgensen Defender

João Victor Tornich Defender

Emmanuel Michael Defender

Modou Kéba Cissé Defender

Sascha Horvath Midfielder

Florian Flecker Midfielder

Melayro Bogarde Midfielder

Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly Midfielder

Kryštof Daněk Midfielder

Christoph Lang Midfielder

Armin Haider Midfielder

Mohamed Sanogo Midfielder

Lukas Kačavenda Midfielder

Art Smakaj Midfielder

Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina Midfielder

Maximilian Entrup Attacker

Sasa Kalajdzic Attacker

Samuel Oluwabukunmi Adeniran Attacker

Moses Usor Attacker

CONCLUSION

Sturm Graz enter as table-toppers with better form, but LASK Linz's slight power edge and third-place standing promise a tense battle at Merkur Arena. Home support may tilt the scales for the leaders, yet LASK's competitiveness ensures no easy points. Expect a tactical affair where Sturm's momentum clashes with LASK's resolve in the Championship Round. Key to victory lies in capitalizing on limited opportunities, given sparse advanced data. Sturm's position strengthens their case, but LASK could exploit any slip to close the gap.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT