Sporting Charleroi vs Standard Liège Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
Stade du Pays de Charleroi Tomorrow - 4:15 PM
Pro League
Sporting Charleroi SPC
Versus
Standard Liège STL
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 4:15 PM
Round 3 Conference League Play-off Group

CONTEXT

Sporting Charleroi host Standard Liège in Pro League (Conference League Play-off Group) at Stade du Pays de Charleroi. Domestically, Sporting Charleroi sit 11th in the table while Standard Liège are 8th. Power ranking favours Standard Liège by 7.7 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Standard Liège commands a 7.7-point power advantage over Sporting Charleroi.
  • Form: Visitors lead with a superior form score of 18.67 versus hosts' 7.67.
  • Squad: Standard Liège ranks 8th in the league, ahead of Sporting Charleroi at 11th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data provided for either team in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable from current datasets.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies as xG data absent for both sides.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable, hindering detailed expected goals analysis.
  • Market: Baseline split: Sporting Charleroi 50.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.9% (Δ+0%) | Standard Liège 22.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Sporting Charleroi H. Cornelis
H. Cornelis
VS
Standard Liège V. Euvrard
V. Euvrard
1.14
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.45
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antwerp Rank: W
Westerlo Rank: L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: L
OH Leuven Rank: L
Dender Rank: D
Club Brugge Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Westerlo Rank: L
OH Leuven Rank: W
Westerlo Rank: D
Antwerp Rank: D
Zulte-Waregem Rank: W
La Louvière Rank: D
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 13 - 24
24
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sporting Charleroi
50.68%
Draw
26.88%
Away Standard Liège
22.44%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
16.11
23.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sporting Charleroi
Standard Liège
Power Score
16.11
23.78
League Position
11
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sporting Charleroi — Opponent-weighted form score
Standard Liège — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sporting Charleroi Standard Liège

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 48 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sporting Charleroi SPC Home
48 matches
Standard Liège STL Away
Match Record
11
Wins
24
13
Draws
13
24
Losses
11
Goals
43
Goals Scored
74
74
Goals Conceded
43
-31
Goal Difference
+31
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T00:10:32+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
M. Kone
30 M. Kone
K. Van Den Kerkhof
3 K. Van Den Kerkhof
A. Ousou
4 A. Ousou
C. keita
95 C. keita
M. Nzita
24 M. Nzita
Y. Titraoui
22 Y. Titraoui
A. Boukamir
56 A. Boukamir
A. Bernier
17 A. Bernier
P. Pflücke
14 P. Pflücke
P. Guiagon
10 P. Guiagon
A. Scheidler
21 A. Scheidler
L. Pirard
21 L. Pirard
N. Mehssatou Sepúlveda
8 N. Mehssatou Sepúlveda
D. Bates
4 D. Bates
I. Hautekiet
25 I. Hautekiet
G. Mortensen
3 G. Mortensen
M. Ilaimaharitra
23 M. Ilaimaharitra
C. Nielsen
94 C. Nielsen
H. Lawrence
18 H. Lawrence
R. Said Ahamada
17 R. Said Ahamada
D. Eckert Ayensa
10 D. Eckert Ayensa
A. Adnane
11 A. Adnane

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 3 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium
Stade du Pays de Charleroi
Capacity
15000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bram Van Driessche
K. Clerkx
Yves De Neve
Q. Blaise

Expected Lineup

Referee : Bram Van Driessche

Starting XI ▼

30
Mohamed Koné
Mohamed Koné Goalkeeper
6.94
21
Aurélien Scheidler
Aurélien Scheidler Centre Forward
6.5
4
Aiham Ousou
Aiham Ousou Right Back
6.85
10
Parfait Guiagon
Parfait Guiagon Left Wing
7.22
14
Patrick Pflücke
Patrick Pflücke Attacking Midfield
6.81
56
Amine Boukamir
Amine Boukamir Defensive Midfield
6.86
22
Yassine Titraoui
Yassine Titraoui Defensive Midfield
7.12
24
Mardochée Nzita
Mardochée Nzita Left Back
6.72
3
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof Right Back
6.74
17
Antoine Bernier
Antoine Bernier Right Wing
6.8
95
Check Keita
Check Keita Left Back
6.72
Referee : Bram Van Driessche

Starting XI ▼

21
Lucas Pirard
Lucas Pirard Goalkeeper
7.15
18
Henry Lawrence
Henry Lawrence Midfielder
6.71
3
Gustav Julius Mortensen
Gustav Julius Mortensen Midfielder
6.69
11
Adnane Abid
Adnane Abid Attacker
6.81
10
Dennis Eckert Ayensa
Dennis Eckert Ayensa Centre Forward
6.72
17
Rafiki Saïd
Rafiki Saïd Attacker
6.86
23
Marco Ilaimaharitra
Marco Ilaimaharitra Central Midfield
6.71
94
Casper Nielsen
Casper Nielsen Central Midfield
6.77
4
David Bates
David Bates Centre Back
6.93
8
Nayel Mehssatou
Nayel Mehssatou Left Back
6.5
25
Ibe Hautekiet
Ibe Hautekiet Right Back
6.89

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Standard Liège holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Standard Liège a 7.7-point edge. External projection is Sporting Charleroi 50.7%, draw 26.9%, and Standard Liège 22.4%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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