Slaven Koprivnica vs Osijek Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Gradski Stadion Sun, 22 Mar - 2:00 PM
1. HNL
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica
0 – 0
Osijek Osijek
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 2:00 PM
Round 27 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The match between Slaven Koprivnica and Osijek has officially finished, with the final score ending in a 0-0 draw. The teams went into the halftime break scoreless and remained deadlocked until the final whistle. Slaven Koprivnica entered the fixture as the stronger team based on pre-match expectations, holding a 39.7% implied probability of securing a victory. Osijek was given a 27.6% chance to win, while the draw sat at a 32.8% likelihood. Because the hosts dropped points, the result represents a significant deviation for Slaven Koprivnica. Consequently, the final outcome failed to align with the pre-match market. On the pitch, Osijek dictated the tempo by holding the majority of the ball with 55% possession, leaving Slaven Koprivnica with 45%. Expected goals (xG) data was completely unavailable for this fixture, meaning it cannot be determined if the final score was consistent with the underlying chances created. However, the teams' overall output was in line with standard efficiency shifts. Finally, the match was contested without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither side received a red card to alter the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Slaven Koprivnica showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Slaven Koprivnica M. Gregurina
M. Gregurina
VS
Osijek T. Radotic
T. Radotic
1.37
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 78 L
Gorica Rank: 60 D
Istra 1961 Rank: 66 W
Vukovar Rank: 55 D
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 61 W
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica Rank: 60 D
Istra 1961 Rank: 64 W
Vukovar Rank: 55 W
Lokomotiva Zagreb Rank: 61 L
Hajduk Split Rank: 72 L
Varaždin Rank: 64 L
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 16 - 28
28

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Slaven Koprivnica
39.66%
Draw
32.76%
Away Osijek
27.59%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.16
62.92
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Slaven Koprivnica
Osijek
Power Score
65.16
62.92
League Position
6
9
Global Rank
320
391

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Osijek — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Slaven Koprivnica Osijek

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Slaven Koprivnica

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Osijek

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Slaven Koprivnica ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Osijek
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.22
24.18
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.18
22.22
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Slaven Koprivnica -0.20 Efficiency Index
vs
Osijek +0.20 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Slaven Koprivnica
Osijek
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Slaven Koprivnica ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Osijek
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Slaven Koprivnica Osijek
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Slaven Koprivnica Osijek
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Slaven Koprivnica
Osijek
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 69 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Home
69 matches
Osijek Osijek Away
Match Record
25
Wins
28
16
Draws
16
28
Losses
25
Goals
74
Goals Scored
95
95
Goals Conceded
74
-21
Goal Difference
+21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:24:24+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
O. Hadzikic
Austria
31 O. Hadzikic
F. Krušelj
Substitution
Croatia
18 F. Krušelj
T. Božić
Croatia
6 (C) T. Božić
D. Kovačić
Croatia
4 D. Kovačić
A. Jakir
Croatia
3 A. Jakir
F. Mažar
Substitution
Croatia
17 F. Mažar
L. Crepulja
Croatia
21 L. Crepulja
I. Ćubelić
Croatia
15 I. Ćubelić
J. Mitrović
Croatia
11 J. Mitrović
I. Nestorovski
Macedonia
90 I. Nestorovski
A. Grgić
Substitution
Croatia
27 A. Grgić
M. Malenica
Croatia
31 (C) M. Malenica
R. Jurišić
Substitution
Croatia
22 R. Jurišić
J. Mersinaj
Albania
5 J. Mersinaj
L. Jelenić
Croatia
26 L. Jelenić
F. Karačić
Australia
29 F. Karačić
D. Mejía Moscoso
Substitution
Colombia
6 D. Mejía Moscoso
O. Petrusenko
Ukraine
16 O. Petrusenko
N. Omerović
Bosnia and Herzegovina
11 N. Omerović
V. Bubanja
Montenegro
21 V. Bubanja
T. Teklić
Substitution
Croatia
99 T. Teklić
A. Jakupovic
Substitution
Austria
17 A. Jakupovic

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 22, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium
Gradski Stadion
Capacity
3205
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Bojan Zobenica
Ivan Mihalj
Filip Dragasevic
Igor Pajač

Statistics

Possession
Slaven Koprivnica
45%
Osijek
55%

Top Statistics

0 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 5
40 Dangerous attacks 46
45 Possession 55
6 Corners 3
11 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52
7 Goal Kicks 4
14 Dribble Attempts 29
3 Substitutions 4
0 Hit Woodwork 1
32 Throwins 25
4 Successful Dribbles 15

Attacking

0 Big Chances Missed 1
107 Attacks 91

Possession

20 Successful Long Passes 33
6 Key Passes 6
46 Long Passes 62
226 Successful Passes 312
75 Successful Passes Percentage 81
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 53
302 Passes 385

Defensive

3 Saves 2
6 Interceptions 8
21 Tackles 20

Build-up

21 Total Crosses 11
1 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

12 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Igor Pajač

Starting XI ▼

31
Osman Hadzikic
Osman Hadzikic Goalkeeper
6.97
3
Antonio Jakir
Antonio Jakir Defender
7.26
4
Dominik Kovacic
Dominik Kovacic Defender
6.61
6
Tomislav Bozic
Tomislav Bozic (C) Defender
6.8
18
Filip Kruselj
Filip Kruselj Defender
6.89
33
Karlo Isasegi
Karlo Isasegi
Defender84'
6.34
15
Ivan Cubelic
Ivan Cubelic Midfielder
6.36
17
Filip Mažar
Filip Mažar Midfielder
6.59
23
Igor Lepinjica
Igor Lepinjica
Midfielder58'
6.4
21
Ljuban Crepulja
Ljuban Crepulja Midfielder
7.31
11
Josip Mitrovic
Josip Mitrovic Attacker
6.53
27
Alen Grgic
Alen Grgic Attacker
6.54
7
Marko Dabro
Marko Dabro
Attacker72'
6.64
90
Ilija Nestorovski
Ilija Nestorovski Attacker
6.96
Referee : Igor Pajač

Starting XI ▼

31
Marko Malenica
Marko Malenica (C) Goalkeeper
7.41
5
Jon Mersinaj
Jon Mersinaj Defender
7.17
22
Roko Jurisic
Roko Jurisic Defender
6.9
57
Samuel Akere
Samuel Akere
Midfielder69'
6.28
26
Luka Jelenic
Luka Jelenic Defender
7.1
29
Fran Karacic
Fran Karacic Defender
6.99
6
David Mejía
David Mejía Midfielder
6.93
8
Simun Mikolcic
Simun Mikolcic
Midfielder61'
6.61
11
Nail Omerovic
Nail Omerovic Midfielder
7.07
16
Oleksandr Petrusenko
Oleksandr Petrusenko Midfielder
7.28
21
Vladan Bubanja
Vladan Bubanja Midfielder
6.72
99
Tonio Teklic
Tonio Teklic Midfielder
6.91
39
Domagoj Bukvic
Domagoj Bukvic
Attacker61'
6.6
17
Arnel Jakupovic
Arnel Jakupovic Attacker
7.15
34
Anton Matkovic
Anton Matkovic
Attacker69'
6.81

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Karlo Isasegi → Filip Kruselj
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Marko Dabro → Alen Grgic
6th Substitution
72'
69'
Event
Samuel Akere → Roko Jurisic
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Anton Matkovic → Arnel Jakupovic
5th Substitution
61'
Event
Domagoj Bukvic → Tonio Teklic
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Simun Mikolcic → David Mejía
3rd Substitution
Event
Igor Lepinjica → Filip Mažar
1st Substitution
58'
Event
Dominik Kovacic
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Ilija Nestorovski
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
36'
25'
Event
David Mejía
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
25'
Event
5th Yellowcard
19'
Event
Tonio Teklic
Argument / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Slaven Koprivnica exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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