Santa Clara vs Sporting Braga Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Estádio de São Miguel Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM
Liga Portugal
Santa Clara Santa Clara
Versus
Sporting Braga SBR
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 12:00 AM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Estádio de São Miguel, Santa Clara welcomes Sporting Braga for a Liga Portugal regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. Braga arrives with substantial superiority, holding a power score of 37.47 against Santa Clara's 21.23, yielding a 16.2-point advantage and marking them as the stronger side. League standings reinforce this, with Braga in 4th place chasing European spots while Santa Clara languishes at 13th, battling relegation pressures. Form metrics tilt slightly to Braga at 22.39 versus 19.78, indicating better recent momentum. Advanced data like efficiency and set pieces remain unavailable, shifting focus to raw power disparities and home advantage. Santa Clara must leverage crowd support to disrupt Braga's rhythm, but the visitors' quality promises dominance in possession and chance creation.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Sporting Braga enjoys a 16.2-point power advantage (37.47 vs 21.23) and sits 4th compared to Santa Clara's 13th in Liga Portugal.
  • Form: Braga's form score of 22.39 edges Santa Clara's 19.78.
  • Squad: Squad strength aligns with power scores, favoring Braga significantly over Santa Clara.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: No transition play data provided for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent for both Santa Clara and Sporting Braga.
  • Market: Baseline split: Santa Clara 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Sporting Braga 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Santa Clara Petit
Petit
VS
Sporting Braga C. Vicens
C. Vicens
0.86
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Casa Pia Rank: D
Rio Ave Rank: L
Sporting CP Rank: L
Gil Vicente Rank: W
AVS Rank: W
Vitória Guimarães Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Casa Pia Rank: D
Famalicão Rank: D
Arouca Rank: W
Moreirense Rank: W
Porto Rank: L
Sporting CP Rank: D
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 4 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Santa Clara
0%
Draw
0%
Away Sporting Braga
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.23
37.47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Santa Clara
Sporting Braga
Power Score
21.23
37.47
League Position
13
4
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Santa Clara — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Braga — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Santa Clara Sporting Braga

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Santa Clara Santa Clara Home
13 matches
Sporting Braga SBR Away
Match Record
2
Wins
7
4
Draws
4
7
Losses
2
Goals
12
Goals Scored
23
23
Goals Conceded
12
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T02:05:17+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 12:00 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estádio de São Miguel
Capacity
13277
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Gabriel Batista de Souza
Gabriel Batista de Souza Goalkeeper
25
Cristian de Lima
Cristian de Lima Goalkeeper
12
Hélio Miguel Júnior
Hélio Miguel Júnior Goalkeeper
21
Frederico André Ferrão Venâncio
Frederico André Ferrão Venâncio Defender
4
Pedro Jorge Pacheco Seabra
Pedro Jorge Pacheco Seabra Defender
2
Diogo Dos Santos Cabral
Diogo Dos Santos Cabral Defender
23
Sidney Alexssander Pena De Lima
Sidney Alexssander Pena De Lima Defender
5
Guilherme Kennedy Romão
Guilherme Kennedy Romão Defender
42
Lucas Soares de Almeida
Lucas Soares de Almeida Defender
64
Paulo Victor de Almeida Barbosa
Paulo Victor de Almeida Barbosa Defender
32
Matheus Nunes Fagundes de Araújo
Matheus Nunes Fagundes de Araújo Defender
94
Henrique Fernandes da Silva
Henrique Fernandes da Silva Defender
8
Pedro Ferreira
Pedro Ferreira Midfielder
37
Darlan Pereira Mendes
Darlan Pereira Mendes Midfielder
35
Sérgio Miguel Lobo Araújo
Sérgio Miguel Lobo Araújo Midfielder
77
Gustavo Klismahn Dimaraes Miranda
Gustavo Klismahn Dimaraes Miranda Midfielder
78
Andrey Felisberto dos Santos
Andrey Felisberto dos Santos Midfielder
65
José Luís Rocha Tavares
José Luís Rocha Tavares Midfielder
39
Gonçalo Mendes Paciencia
Gonçalo Mendes Paciencia Attacker
70
Vinicius Lopes da Silva
Vinicius Lopes da Silva Attacker
49
Welinton Macedo dos Santos
Welinton Macedo dos Santos Attacker
27
Vitor Hugo Ferreira Oliveira
Vitor Hugo Ferreira Oliveira Attacker
10
Gabriel Silva Vieira
Gabriel Silva Vieira Attacker
7
Elias Manoel Alves de Paula
Elias Manoel Alves de Paula Attacker
17
João Pedro Augusto Mourão Costa
João Pedro Augusto Mourão Costa Attacker
11
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos
Brenner Lucas Gonçalves Santos Attacker
26
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira
Luis Fernando Santos Oliveira Attacker

Squad ▼

12
Tiago Magalhães Sá
Tiago Magalhães Sá Goalkeeper
1
Lukáš Horníček
Lukáš Horníček Goalkeeper
36
Alaa Bellaarouch
Alaa Bellaarouch Goalkeeper
4
Sikou Niakate
Sikou Niakate Defender
15
Paulo André Rodrigues de Oliveira
Paulo André Rodrigues de Oliveira Defender
2
Víctor Gómez Perea
Víctor Gómez Perea Defender
14
Gustaf Lagerbielke
Gustaf Lagerbielke Defender
5
Leonardo Filipe Cruz Lelo
Leonardo Filipe Cruz Lelo Defender
37
Leon Adrian Barišić
Leon Adrian Barišić Defender
26
Bright Akwo Arrey-Mbi
Bright Akwo Arrey-Mbi Defender
53
Jónatas Xavier Zamith Oliveira Noro
Jónatas Xavier Zamith Oliveira Noro Defender
27
Florian Grillitsch
Florian Grillitsch Midfielder
8
João Filipe Iria Santos Moutinho
João Filipe Iria Santos Moutinho Midfielder
6
Vitor Carvalho Vieira
Vitor Carvalho Vieira Midfielder
10
Rodrigo Zalazar Martínez
Rodrigo Zalazar Martínez Midfielder
34
Demir Ege Tıknaz
Demir Ege Tıknaz Midfielder
29
Gorby Jean Baptiste
Gorby Jean Baptiste Midfielder
50
Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues
Diego Henrique Oliveira Rodrigues Midfielder
20
Mario Dorgeles
Mario Dorgeles Midfielder
41
Yanis da Rocha
Yanis da Rocha Midfielder
17
Gabriel Silva Moscardo de Salles
Gabriel Silva Moscardo de Salles Midfielder
21
Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta
Ricardo Jorge Luz Horta Attacker
39
Francisco José Navarro Aliaga
Francisco José Navarro Aliaga Attacker
9
Amine El Ouazzani
Amine El Ouazzani Attacker
18
Pau Victor Delgado
Pau Victor Delgado Attacker
77
Gabriel Martínez Aguilera
Gabriel Martínez Aguilera Attacker
72
João Soares Aragão
João Soares Aragão Attacker
95
Sandro Miguel Rodrigues Vidigal
Sandro Miguel Rodrigues Vidigal Attacker

CONCLUSION

Sporting Braga's clear power and positional edge positions them to overpower Santa Clara in this home fixture. The 16.2-point gap underscores Braga's superior quality, complemented by marginally better form, setting the stage for control and likely victory. Santa Clara's mid-table status and home venue offer faint hope for resistance, potentially through defensive solidity, but data voids on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces limit deeper insights. Braga should capitalize on their strengths to secure points vital for a top-four finish, while Santa Clara eyes any upset to boost survival chances.

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