Sandefjord vs Sarpsborg 08 Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Komplett Arena Sun, 22 Mar - 4:00 PM
Eliteserien
Sandefjord Sandefjord
0 Winner 2
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 4:00 PM
Round 2 Regular Season
|
Goal
Sondre Sörli - 30'
Daniel Karlsbakk - 35' (P)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Sandefjord 0–0 Sarpsborg 08. The match ended in a draw. Sarpsborg 08 showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. xG finished Sandefjord 1.4 – 1.9 Sarpsborg 08. Possession was 64%–36%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sarpsborg 08 showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Sandefjord A. Tegström
A. Tegström
VS
Sarpsborg 08 E. Sel
E. Sel
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.63
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vålerenga Rank: 59 L
KFUM Rank: 58 W
Strømsgodset Rank: 50 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 W
HamKam Rank: 60 L
Rosenborg Rank: 62 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Molde Rank: 65 W
Bryne Rank: 56 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 63 L
Tromsø Rank: 68 L
KFUM Rank: 58 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 84 L
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 9
9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sandefjord
45.04%
Draw
23.82%
Away Sarpsborg 08
31.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.72
61.8
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08
Power Score
60.72
61.8
League Position
15
5
Global Rank
466
432

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sandefjord — Opponent-weighted form score
Sarpsborg 08 — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sandefjord Sarpsborg 08

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sandefjord

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sarpsborg 08

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sandefjord ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sarpsborg 08
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.61
28.47
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.47
29.61
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sandefjord +0.12 Efficiency Index
vs
Sarpsborg 08 -0.12 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sandefjord
vs
Sarpsborg 08
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sandefjord Sarpsborg 08
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +1.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sandefjord Sarpsborg 08
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Sandefjord
Sarpsborg 08
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sandefjord Sandefjord Home
18 matches
Sarpsborg 08 Sarpsborg 08 Away
Match Record
6
Wins
9
3
Draws
3
9
Losses
6
Goals
25
Goals Scored
36
36
Goals Conceded
25
-11
Goal Difference
+11
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:25:09+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
E. Hadaya
Sweden
30 E. Hadaya
F. Pedersen
Substitution
Norway
4 F. Pedersen
Z. Smajlovic
Sweden
2 Z. Smajlovic
X. Lambrix
Belgium
44 X. Lambrix
V. Walle Egeli
Norway
3 V. Walle Egeli
E. Sundbö Pettersen
Norway
14 E. Sundbö Pettersen
S. Mørk
Norway
6 (C) S. Mørk
E. Patoulidis
Substitution
Belgium
7 E. Patoulidis
J. Vester Nielsen
Substitution
Denmark
37 J. Vester Nielsen
J. Dunsby
Substitution
Norway
27 J. Dunsby
N. Moller
Substitution
Sweden
11 N. Moller
M. Ndiaye
Senegal
1 M. Ndiaye
A. Hiim
Norway
21 A. Hiim
B. Utvik
Norway
4 B. Utvik
S. Rosted
Norway
24 S. Rosted
C. Niyukuri
Substitution
Norway
12 C. Niyukuri
N. Williams
Substitution
Sweden
17 N. Williams
V. Halvorsen
Norway
22 V. Halvorsen
A. Sher
Substitution
Sweden
6 A. Sher
S. Sørli
Norway
10 (C) S. Sørli
D. Seland Karlsbakk
Substitution
Norway
11 D. Seland Karlsbakk
A. Hansen
Denmark
33 A. Hansen

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 22, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Komplett Arena
Capacity
6582
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marius Lien
Herman Leiulfsrud Aass
Ivar Michael Jahr
Henrik Sunde

Statistics

Possession
Sandefjord
61%
Sarpsborg 08
39%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 3
4 Shots 1
59 Dangerous attacks 45
64 Possession 36
9 Corners 6
7 Free kicks 17
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

10 Successful Dribbles 4
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
8 Goal Attempts 6
96 Ball Safe 79
23 Dribble Attempts 12
21 Throwins 10
0 Assists 1
7 Goal Kicks 11
0 Penalties 1
1 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

0 Counter Attacks 7
114 Attacks 88
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

572 Passes 317
499 Successful Passes 234
87 Successful Passes Percentage 74
51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36
12 Key Passes 5
55 Long Passes 58
28 Successful Long Passes 21

Defensive

3 Saves 6
8 Interceptions 10
12 Tackles 21

Build-up

27 Total Crosses 21
5 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

18 Fouls 7
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Marius Lien

Starting XI ▼

30
Elias Hadaya
Elias Hadaya Goalkeeper
6.72
2
Zinedin Smajlović
Zinedin Smajlović Defender
6.76
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
Vetle Walle Egeli Defender
7.13
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Fredrik Carson Pedersen Defender
6.49
26
Filip Loftesnes-Bjune
Filip Loftesnes-Bjune
Defender78'
6.59
44
Xander Lambrix
Xander Lambrix Defender
7.37
6
Sander Risan Mørk
Sander Risan Mørk (C) Midfielder
6.54
7
Evangelos Patoulidis
Evangelos Patoulidis Midfielder
6.77
9
Jacob Hanstad
Jacob Hanstad
Midfielder60'
6.39
14
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen Midfielder
6.36
27
Jakob Dunsby
Jakob Dunsby Midfielder
6.5
17
Foster Apetorgbor
Foster Apetorgbor
Attacker87'
37
Jakob Vester
Jakob Vester Midfielder
7.26
8
Robin Dzabic
Robin Dzabic
Midfielder78'
6.54
11
Nikolaj Möller
Nikolaj Möller Attacker
6.55
24
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Attacker78'
6.5
Referee : Marius Lien

Starting XI ▼

1
Mamour Ndiaye
Mamour Ndiaye Goalkeeper
7.98
4
Bjørn Inge Utvik
Bjørn Inge Utvik Defender
6.93
12
Claus Niyukuri
Claus Niyukuri Defender
6.65
2
Menno Koch
Menno Koch
Defender87'
21
Anders Hiim
Anders Hiim Defender
7.68
24
Sigurd Rosted
Sigurd Rosted Defender
7.35
6
Aimar Sher
Aimar Sher Midfielder
7.64
5
Magnar Odegaard
Magnar Odegaard
Defender87'
10
Sondre Sörli
Sondre Sörli (C) Midfielder
7.36
17
Noa Williams
Noa Williams Midfielder
6.51
15
M. Opoku
M. Opoku
Midfielder68'
6.41
22
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen
Victor Emanuel Halvorsen Midfielder
7.56
11
Daniel Karlsbakk
Daniel Karlsbakk Attacker
6.78
14
Jo Inge Berget
Jo Inge Berget
Attacker80'
6.53
33
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Attacker
7.21

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jakob Vester
3rd Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Foster Apetorgbor → Jakob Dunsby
7th Substitution
87'
87'
Event
Menno Koch → Claus Niyukuri
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Magnar Odegaard → Aimar Sher
9th Substitution
80'
Event
Jo Inge Berget → Daniel Karlsbakk
6th Substitution
Event
Filip Loftesnes-Bjune → Fredrik Carson Pedersen
3rd Substitution
78'
Event
Robin Dzabic → Jakob Vester
4th Substitution
78'
Event
Sebastian Holm Mathisen → Nikolaj Möller
5th Substitution
78'
Event
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
69'
69'
Event
Time wasting / 2nd Yellowcard
68'
Event
M. Opoku → Noa Williams
2nd Substitution
Event
Jacob Hanstad → Evangelos Patoulidis
1st Substitution
60'
1ST-HALF
35'
Event
Daniel Karlsbakk
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
30'
Event
Sondre Sörli
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Sarpsborg 08 exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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