Samsunspor vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadyum Samsun Thu, 12 Mar - 5:45 PM
Europa Conference League
Samsunspor Samsunspor
1 Winner 3
Rayo Vallecano RAY
Full Time Thu, 12 Mar 5:45 PM
Marius Mouandilmadji - 21'
Goal
|
Goal
Alexandre Zurawski - 15', 78'
Álvaro García - 40'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished, with Rayo Vallecano securing a 3-1 victory on the road against Samsunspor. The visitors established their advantage early on, taking a 2-1 lead into the half-time break before adding a third goal in the second half to seal the win. This outcome was entirely aligned with the pre-match market, which favored Rayo Vallecano as the stronger team with a 44.6% win probability, compared to Samsunspor's 25.2% and a 30.2% chance of a draw. Notably, Rayo Vallecano produced a significant deviation level of 55.4%, indicating that they strongly outperformed the baseline market probabilities to secure the points. Tactically, Samsunspor dominated the ball with 63% possession but failed to maximize their opportunities against a clinical Rayo Vallecano side holding just 37% possession. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, so it cannot be mathematically determined if the outcome was consistent with xG. However, the overall efficiency shift was strictly in line with expectations, reflecting the visitors' superior ability to capitalize on limited touches. The flow of the match was unaffected by major disciplinary issues, as no red cards were issued to either team.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Rayo Vallecano showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Grigoriu
M. Grigoriu
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 11.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.13
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
C. Colțescu
C. Colțescu
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 11.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.13
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
A. Vornicu
A. Vornicu
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 11.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.13
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
M. Barbu
M. Barbu
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 11.81
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.13
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Samsunspor T. Fink
T. Fink
VS
Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.17
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 79 L
AEK Athens Rank: 78 L
Breidablik Rank: D
Hamrun Spartans Rank: W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 65 W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 62 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Drita Rank: 57 W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 68 W
Slovan Bratislava Rank: 74 L
Lech Poznań Rank: 69 W
Häcken Rank: 57 D
Skendija 79 Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Samsunspor
25.16%
Draw
30.22%
Away Rayo Vallecano
44.62%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
52.77
54.92
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
Power Score
52.77
54.92
League Position
12
5
Global Rank
179
76

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Samsunspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Rayo Vallecano — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Samsunspor Rayo Vallecano

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Samsunspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rayo Vallecano

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Samsunspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rayo Vallecano
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.24
26.22
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.22
20.24
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Samsunspor -0.49 Efficiency Index
vs
Rayo Vallecano +0.49 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Samsunspor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rayo Vallecano
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Samsunspor Rayo Vallecano
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Samsunspor Rayo Vallecano
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Samsunspor
Rayo Vallecano
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Samsunspor Samsunspor Home
0 matches
Rayo Vallecano RAY Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-13T00:58:23+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
O. Kocuk
Turkey
1 O. Kocuk
Y. Cift
Substitution
Turkey
55 Y. Cift
Ľ. Šatka
Slovakia
37 Ľ. Šatka
R. van Drongelen
Netherlands
4 R. van Drongelen
L. Tómasson
Iceland
17 L. Tómasson
A. Makoumbou
Substitution
France
29 A. Makoumbou
J. Wooding Mendes
Substitution
Sweden
2 J. Wooding Mendes
C. Yüksel
Turkey
5 C. Yüksel
J. Ntcham
France
10 (C) J. Ntcham
C. Holse
Denmark
21 C. Holse
M. Mouandilmadji
Substitution
Chad
9 M. Mouandilmadji
A. Batalla Barga
Argentina
13 A. Batalla Barga
J. Chavarría Pérez
Spain
3 J. Chavarría Pérez
L. Ramos Marchi
Italy
5 L. Ramos Marchi
F. Lejeune
France
24 F. Lejeune
A. Ratiu
Romania
2 A. Ratiu
P. Ciss
Substitution
Senegal
6 P. Ciss
U. López Cabrera
Substitution
Spain
17 U. López Cabrera
Á. García Rivera
Substitution
Spain
18 Á. García Rivera
I. Palazón Camacho
Substitution
Spain
7 (C) I. Palazón Camacho
Ilias Chakkour
Substitution
Morocco
12 Ilias Chakkour
A. Zurawski
Brazil
9 A. Zurawski

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 12, 2026, 05:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadium
Stadyum Samsun
Capacity
33919
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mircea Mihail Grigoriu
Constantin Sebastian Colțescu
Adrian Vornicu
Marian Alexandru Barbu

Statistics

Possession
Samsunspor
58%
RAY
42%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
1 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 2
35 Dangerous attacks 34
63 Possession 37
2 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 13
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 27
84 Ball Safe 75
8 Goal Attempts 5
1 Injuries 0
21 Throwins 13
3 Goal Kicks 6
10 Dribble Attempts 11
6 Successful Dribbles 3
1 Assists 3
1 Hit Woodwork 0
4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

92 Attacks 91

Possession

496 Passes 299
67 Long Passes 83
24 Successful Long Passes 36
395 Successful Passes 219
80 Successful Passes Percentage 73
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43
9 Key Passes 6

Defensive

5 Interceptions 12
17 Tackles 15
2 Saves 4

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 15
5 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

13 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Marian Alexandru Barbu

Starting XI ▼

1
Okan Kocuk
Okan Kocuk Goalkeeper
6.09
4
Rick van Drongelen
Rick van Drongelen Defender
6.21
17
Logi Tómasson
Logi Tómasson Defender
6.91
37
Lubomir Satka
Lubomir Satka Defender
6.42
55
Yunus Emre Çift
Yunus Emre Çift Defender
6.3
70
Tanguy Coulibaly
Tanguy Coulibaly
Attacker64'
6.66
2
Joe Mendes
Joe Mendes Midfielder
6.73
18
Zeki Yavru
Zeki Yavru
Defender64'
6.43
5
Celil Yüksel
Celil Yüksel Midfielder
6.59
10
Olivier Ntcham
Olivier Ntcham (C) Midfielder
6.09
21
Carlo Holse
Carlo Holse Midfielder
7.23
29
Antoine Makoumbou
Antoine Makoumbou Midfielder
6.55
11
Emre Kılınç
Emre Kılınç
Midfielder63'
6.24
9
Marius Mouandilmadji
Marius Mouandilmadji Attacker
7.27
19
Cherif Ndiaye
Cherif Ndiaye
Attacker82'
6.56
Referee : Marian Alexandru Barbu

Starting XI ▼

13
Augusto Batalla
Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper
7.44
2
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu Defender
6.17
3
Pep Chavarría
Pep Chavarría Defender
6.77
5
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe Defender
6.64
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Defender
6.26
6
Pathé Ciss
Pathé Ciss Midfielder
7.04
15
Gerard Gumbau
Gerard Gumbau
Midfielder87'
7
Isi Palazón
Isi Palazón (C) Midfielder
7.76
23
Óscar Valentín
Óscar Valentín
Midfielder76'
7.04
12
Ilias Akhomach
Ilias Akhomach Midfielder
6.29
19
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de Frutos
Attacker76'
6.59
17
Unai López
Unai López Midfielder
7.06
4
Pedro Díaz
Pedro Díaz
Midfielder76'
6.57
18
Álvaro García
Álvaro García Midfielder
7.19
22
Alfonso Espino
Alfonso Espino
Defender83'
6.3
9
Alexandre Zurawski
Alexandre Zurawski Attacker
2
8.44

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Gerard Gumbau → Pathé Ciss
9th Substitution
83'
Event
Alfonso Espino → Álvaro García
8th Substitution
Event
Cherif Ndiaye → Marius Mouandilmadji
7th Substitution
82'
78'
Event
Alexandre Zurawski
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
76'
Event
Pedro Díaz → Unai López
4th Substitution
76'
Event
Ilias Akhomach
Time wasting / 6th Yellowcard
76'
Event
Óscar Valentín → Isi Palazón
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Jorge de Frutos → Ilias Akhomach
5th Substitution
Event
Tanguy Coulibaly → Yunus Emre Çift
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Zeki Yavru → Joe Mendes
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Emre Kılınç → Antoine Makoumbou
1st Substitution
63'
Event
Joe Mendes
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
63'
57'
Event
Luiz Felipe
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Olivier Ntcham
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
46'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Álvaro García
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Celil Yüksel
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
38'
Event
Marius Mouandilmadji
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
21'
Event
Carlo Holse
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
16'
15'
Event
Alexandre Zurawski
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Rick van Drongelen of Samsunspor headed the ball from the center of the box, but it sailed high and to the left. The chance was created by Zeki Yavru, who delivered a cross after a corner kick.
90
Corner Corner
Samsunspor has been awarded a corner kick, following a defensive play by Óscar Valentín.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 4 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be four minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with the final score reading Samsunspor 1, Rayo Vallecano 3.
90
Corner Corner
Samsunspor has been awarded a corner kick after Óscar Valentín allowed the ball to go out of play.
90
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Samsunspor after Óscar Valentín allowed the ball to go out of play.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded, with the final score showing Samsunspor 1, Rayo Vallecano 3.
90
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Rick van Drongelen of Samsunspor directed a header from the middle of the box, but it sailed high and to the left. The chance was set up by Zeki Yavru, who delivered a cross after a corner kick.
90
Attempt Attempt
Olivier Ntcham of Samsunspor takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The attempt was set up by Rick van Drongelen.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Gerard Gumbau comes on to take the place of Pathé Ciss.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Gerard Gumbau comes on to take the place of Pathé Ciss.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha Espino comes on to take the place of Álvaro García.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pacha Espino comes on to take the place of Álvaro García.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Samsunspor: Cherif Ndiaye comes on to take the place of Marius Mouandilmadji.
82
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Samsunspor: Cherif Ndiaye comes on to take the place of Marius Mouandilmadji.
81
Update Update
Pathé Ciss commits a foul for Rayo Vallecano.
81
Update Update
Zeki Yavru from Samsunspor earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
81
Update Update
Álvaro García from Rayo Vallecano commits a foul.
81
Update Update
Carlo Holse from Samsunspor is awarded a free kick on the right flank.
81
Update Update
Pathé Ciss commits a foul for Rayo Vallecano.
81
Update Update
Carlo Holse from Samsunspor earns a free kick on the right flank.
81
Update Update
Zeki Yavru from Samsunspor is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
81
Update Update
Álvaro García from Rayo Vallecano commits a foul.
80
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Tanguy Coulibaly from Samsunspor attempted a header from the middle of the penalty area.
80
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Tanguy Coulibaly from Samsunspor heads the ball from the center of the box but it goes wide to the right. The cross was delivered by Logi Tómasson.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Samsunspor 1, Rayo Vallecano 3. Alemão scores for Rayo Vallecano with a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, finding the bottom right corner of the net. The assist comes from Óscar Valentín.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Samsunspor 1, Rayo Vallecano 3. Alemão scores for Rayo Vallecano with a powerful right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, finding the bottom right corner of the net. The assist came from Óscar Valentín.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pedro Díaz comes on to take the place of Unai López.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Óscar Valentín comes on to replace Isi Palazón.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Jorge de Frutos comes on to take the place of Ilias Akhomach.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Ilias Akhomach of Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pedro Díaz comes on to take the place of Unai López.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Jorge de Frutos comes on to take the place of Ilias Akhomach.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Óscar Valentín comes on to take the place of Isi Palazón.
72
Update Update
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano earns a free kick on the right flank.
72
Update Update
Emre Kilinç commits a foul for Samsunspor.
72
Update Update
Emre Kilinç commits a foul for Samsunspor.
72
Update Update
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano earns a free kick on the right flank.
72
Update Update
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano is awarded a free kick on the right side of the pitch.
72
Corner Corner
A shot from outside the box by Unai López of Rayo Vallecano is denied by Okan Kocuk of Samsunspor, who makes a save in the top left corner. The attempt was set up by a headed pass from Andrei Ratiu.
71
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Rayo Vallecano after Emre Kilinç allowed the ball to go out of play.
71
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano has been awarded a corner kick after Emre Kilinç allowed the ball to go out of play.
70
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
70
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Augusto Batalla from Rayo Vallecano.
70
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
70
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Augusto Batalla from Rayo Vallecano.
67
Update Update
Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
67
Update Update
Carlo Holse from Samsunspor committed a foul.
67
Update Update
Pathé Ciss of Rayo Vallecano earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
67
Update Update
Carlo Holse commits a foul for Samsunspor.
66
Update Update
Offside call against Samsunspor. Marius Mouandilmadji has been flagged for being in an offside position.
66
Update Update
Samsunspor is flagged for offside. Marius Mouandilmadji has been caught in an offside position.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Samsunspor: Zeki Yavru comes on to take the place of Joe Mendes.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Samsunspor: Tanguy Coulibaly comes on to take the place of Yunus Emre Çift.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Samsunspor: Tanguy Coulibaly comes on to take the place of Yunus Emre Çift.
64
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Samsunspor: Zeki Yavru comes on to take the place of Joe Mendes.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joe Mendes from Samsunspor receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Samsunspor: Emre Kilinç comes on to take the place of Antoine Makoumbou.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Samsunspor: Emre Kilinç comes on to take the place of Antoine Makoumbou.
63
Update Update
Joe Mendes commits a foul for Samsunspor.
63
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano is awarded a free kick in his own half.
63
Update Update
Pep Chavarría of Rayo Vallecano is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive half.
63
Update Update
Joe Mendes commits a foul for Samsunspor.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Samsunspor: Emre Kilinç comes on to take the place of Antoine Makoumbou.
63
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joe Mendes from Samsunspor receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
62
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal has been thwarted. Antoine Makoumbou of Samsunspor takes a right-footed strike from the middle of the box, but Augusto Batalla of Rayo Vallecano makes a save right in the center of the net.
62
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal has been blocked. Antoine Makoumbou from Samsunspor took a right-footed strike from the middle of the box, but Augusto Batalla of Rayo Vallecano managed to save it right in the center of the goal.
62
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal was stopped. Carlo Holse of Samsunspor directed a header from the middle of the box, but it was successfully saved by Augusto Batalla from Rayo Vallecano, who was positioned centrally. The assist came from Logi Tómasson, who delivered a cross.
60
Attempt Attempt
The shot is deflected. Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano takes a right-footed attempt from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
60
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
58
Update Update
Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano earns a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
58
Update Update
Pathé Ciss of Rayo Vallecano is awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
58
Update Update
Pathé Ciss from Rayo Vallecano earns a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
58
Update Update
Celil Yüksel from Samsunspor commits a foul.
57
Update Update
Yunus Emre Çift from Samsunspor is awarded a free kick on the right flank.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luiz Felipe of Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
57
Update Update
Luiz Felipe commits a foul for Rayo Vallecano.
57
Update Update
Yunus Emre Çift from Samsunspor is awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Luiz Felipe of Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
57
Update Update
Luiz Felipe commits a foul for Rayo Vallecano.
52
Update Update
Joe Mendes from Samsunspor earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
52
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano commits a foul.
52
Update Update
Joe Mendes of Samsunspor earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
52
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano commits a foul.
51
Update Update
Joe Mendes from Samsunspor commits a foul.
51
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
51
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
51
Update Update
Joe Mendes commits a foul for Samsunspor.
50
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
49
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Alemão from Rayo Vallecano.
49
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
49
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Alemão from Rayo Vallecano.
48
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Olivier Ntcham from Samsunspor tries to strike with his right foot from outside the penalty area, but his effort is blocked. Logi Tómasson provided the assist.
48
Attempt Attempt
Olivier Ntcham from Samsunspor tries a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. He was assisted by Logi Tómasson.
46
Update Update
Unai López from Rayo Vallecano earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Olivier Ntcham of Samsunspor receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
46
Update Update
Olivier Ntcham commits a foul for Samsunspor.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with the scoreline reading Samsunspor 1, Rayo Vallecano 2.
45
Update Update
Alemão from Rayo Vallecano has been awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be six minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
The attempt was thwarted. Carlo Holse of Samsunspor directed a header from the middle of the box, but Augusto Batalla from Rayo Vallecano made a crucial save right in front of the goal. The opportunity was set up by Joe Mendes, who delivered a precise cross.
45
Update Update
Rick van Drongelen commits a foul for Samsunspor.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score at Samsunspor 1, Rayo Vallecano 2.
44
Update Update
Rick van Drongelen commits a foul for Samsunspor.
44
Update Update
Alemão from Rayo Vallecano is awarded a free kick in their own defensive half.
43
Update Update
Rayo Vallecano is flagged for offside. Alemão has been caught in an offside position.
42
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Celil Yüksel from Samsunspor took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area after a quick counterattack.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Samsunspor 1, Rayo Vallecano 2. Álvaro García scores with a left-footed shot from a challenging position on the left side, finding the bottom right corner of the net. The assist came from Isi Palazón after a quick counterattack.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Celil Yüksel from Samsunspor receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
38
Update Update
Florian Lejeune commits a foul for Rayo Vallecano.
38
Update Update
Joe Mendes from Samsunspor earns a free kick on the right side of the field.
37
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Antoine Makoumbou from Samsunspor fired a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area after a corner kick.
36
Corner Corner
Samsunspor has been awarded a corner kick after Pep Chavarría allowed the ball to go out of play.
35
Update Update
Florian Lejeune commits a foul for Rayo Vallecano.
35
Update Update
Marius Mouandilmadji from Samsunspor has been awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
31
Update Update
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano is awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
31
Update Update
Logi Tómasson from Samsunspor committed a foul.
28
Update Update
The pause has ended. They’re set to resume play.
28
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Alemão from Rayo Vallecano.
27
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal denied. Álvaro García from Rayo Vallecano takes a right-footed attempt from the middle of the box, but the goalkeeper makes the save.
27
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
25
Update Update
Yunus Emre Çift from Samsunspor commits a foul.
25
Update Update
Isi Palazón from Rayo Vallecano is awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
25
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Yunus Emre Çift from Samsunspor.
24
Update Update
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano commits a foul.
24
Update Update
Logi Tómasson from Samsunspor has earned a free kick in the opponent's half.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! It's now 1-1 between Samsunspor and Rayo Vallecano. Marius Mouandilmadji scores for Samsunspor with a powerful left-footed shot from the center of the box, finding the top left corner of the net. The assist came from Carlo Holse after a set piece play.
20
Update Update
Joe Mendes from Samsunspor earns a free kick on the right side of the field.
20
Update Update
Pep Chavarría of Rayo Vallecano commits a foul.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Carlo Holse from Samsunspor receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
16
Update Update
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
16
Update Update
Carlo Holse from Samsunspor commits a foul.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Rayo Vallecano takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Samsunspor. Alemão scores with a right-footed shot from the middle of the box, finding the center of the net. The assist comes from Isi Palazón.
15
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Isi Palazón from Rayo Vallecano took a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area.
13
Update Update
Rayo Vallecano is flagged for offside. Alemão has been caught in an offside position.
12
Update Update
Alemão from Rayo Vallecano commits a foul.
12
Update Update
Rick van Drongelen from Samsunspor earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
11
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano has been awarded a corner kick after Joe Mendes allowed the ball to go out of play.
11
Update Update
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
11
Update Update
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
9
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal has been denied. Marius Mouandilmadji from Samsunspor directed a header from the middle of the box, but Augusto Batalla from Rayo Vallecano managed to make a save in the upper center of the net. The opportunity was set up by a cross from Celil Yüksel.
8
Update Update
Carlo Holse from Samsunspor is awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
8
Update Update
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano commits a foul.
3
Update Update
Alemão from Rayo Vallecano earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
2
Update Update
Celil Yüksel from Samsunspor commits a foul.
2
Update Update
Rick van Drongelen from Samsunspor commits a foul.
2
Update Update
Pep Chavarría from Rayo Vallecano is awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Rayo Vallecano exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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