Sampdoria vs Venezia Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris Sat, 14 Mar - 6:30 PM
Serie B
Sampdoria SAM
0 – 0
Venezia VEN
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 6:30 PM

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Sampdoria 0–0 Venezia. The match ended in a draw. Venezia showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 31%–69%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Venezia showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
V. Crezzini
V. Crezzini
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.1
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.3
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.18
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
E. Feliciani
E. Feliciani
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.1
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.3
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.18
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
F. Votta
F. Votta
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.1
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.3
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.18
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
P. Bitonti
P. Bitonti
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.1
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.3
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.18
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.15
Sampdoria A. Gregucci
A. Gregucci
VS
Venezia G. Stroppa
G. Stroppa
1.2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.22
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juve Stabia Rank: 56 D
Bari 1908 Rank: 49 L
Mantova Rank: 49 L
Calcio Padova Rank: 50 W
Palermo Rank: 64 D
Modena Rank: 59 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pescara Rank: 43 W
Cesena Rank: 54 W
Modena Rank: 59 L
Frosinone Rank: 65 W
Carrarese Rank: 53 W
Mantova Rank: 48 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Sampdoria
22.13%
Draw
29.22%
Away Venezia
48.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
51.24
61.81
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Sampdoria
Venezia
Power Score
51.24
61.81
League Position
14
1
Global Rank
703
206

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Sampdoria — Opponent-weighted form score
Venezia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Sampdoria Venezia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Sampdoria

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Venezia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Sampdoria ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Venezia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.81
25.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.43
35.81
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Sampdoria +1.03 Efficiency Index
vs
Venezia -1.03 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Sampdoria
Venezia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Sampdoria ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Venezia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Sampdoria Venezia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Sampdoria Venezia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Sampdoria
Venezia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Sampdoria SAM Home
3 matches
Venezia VEN Away
Match Record
0
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
0
Goals
5
Goals Scored
10
10
Goals Conceded
5
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:37:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
T. Martinelli
Italy
50 T. Martinelli
A. Di Pardo
Italy
29 A. Di Pardo
M. Palma
Italy
13 M. Palma
D. Hadzikadunic
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
17 D. Hadzikadunic
M. Viti
Italy
2 M. Viti
M. Cicconi
Italy
7 M. Cicconi
T. Begić
Substitution
Slovenia
11 T. Begić
F. Conti
Substitution
Italy
33 F. Conti
S. Esposito
Italy
94 (C) S. Esposito
L. Cherubini
Italy
10 L. Cherubini
M. Brunori Sandri
Substitution
Italy
99 M. Brunori Sandri
F. Stankovic
Serbia
1 F. Stankovic
B. Franjić
Croatia
4 B. Franjić
M. Svoboda
Austria
30 (C) M. Svoboda
J. Schingtienne
Belgium
3 J. Schingtienne
S. Sagrado
Belgium
20 S. Sagrado
I. Doumbia
Italy
8 I. Doumbia
G. Busio
United States
6 G. Busio
M. Dagasso
Substitution
Italy
28 M. Dagasso
A. Hainaut
France
18 A. Hainaut
A. Adorante
Substitution
Italy
9 A. Adorante
E. Pérez Muñoz
Spain
71 E. Pérez Muñoz

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadium
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Capacity
33205
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Valerio Crezzini
Ermanno Feliciani
Federico Votta
Paolo Bitonti

Statistics

Possession
SAM
36%
VEN
64%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 4
6 Shots 9
42 Dangerous attacks 51
31 Possession 69
7 Corners 6
23 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

3 Injuries 1
9 Dribble Attempts 17
15 Goal Kicks 5
3 Successful Dribbles 9
2 Goal Attempts 12
59 Ball Safe 37
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53
20 Throwins 16
4 Substitutions 2

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 4
62 Attacks 136

Possession

6 Key Passes 7
210 Passes 503
130 Successful Passes 422
62 Successful Passes Percentage 84
58 Long Passes 41
17 Successful Long Passes 17
29 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

Defensive

5 Saves 1
12 Interceptions 10
22 Tackles 13

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 16
5 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

8 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Ermanno Feliciani

Starting XI ▼

50
Tommaso Martinelli
Tommaso Martinelli Goalkeeper
7.64
2
Mattia Viti
Mattia Viti Defender
6.65
7
Manuel Cicconi
Manuel Cicconi Defender
7.13
13
Matteo Palma
Matteo Palma Defender
6.86
17
Dennis Hadzikadunic
Dennis Hadzikadunic Defender
6.21
25
Alex Ferrari
Alex Ferrari
Defender46'
6.79
29
Alessandro Di Pardo
Alessandro Di Pardo Defender
7.06
10
Luigi Cherubini
Luigi Cherubini Midfielder
7.11
11
Tjas Begic
Tjas Begic Midfielder
6.71
20
Simone Pafundi
Simone Pafundi
Midfielder86'
33
Francesco Conti
Francesco Conti Midfielder
6.31
8
Matteo Ricci
Matteo Ricci
Midfielder81'
6.61
94
Salvatore Esposito
Salvatore Esposito (C) Midfielder
6.94
99
Matteo Luigi Brunori
Matteo Luigi Brunori Attacker
6.9
92
Edoardo Soleri
Edoardo Soleri
Attacker86'
Referee : Ermanno Feliciani

Starting XI ▼

1
Filip Stanković
Filip Stanković Goalkeeper
6.91
3
Joël Schingtienne
Joël Schingtienne Defender
6.95
4
Bartol Franjic
Bartol Franjic Defender
6.97
30
Michael Svoboda
Michael Svoboda (C) Defender
7.57
6
Gianluca Busio
Gianluca Busio Midfielder
7.44
8
Issa Doumbia
Issa Doumbia Midfielder
7.01
18
Antoine Hainaut
Antoine Hainaut Midfielder
6.94
20
Richie Sagrado
Richie Sagrado Midfielder
6.41
28
Matteo Dagasso
Matteo Dagasso Midfielder
6.89
80
Antonio Casas
Antonio Casas
Attacker64'
6.52
9
Andrea Adorante
Andrea Adorante Attacker
6.85
29
Lion Lauberbach
Lion Lauberbach
Attacker64'
6.57
71
Kike Pérez
Kike Pérez Attacker
6.8

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Simone Pafundi → Tjas Begic
5th Substitution
86'
Event
Edoardo Soleri → Matteo Luigi Brunori
6th Substitution
86'
Event
Matteo Ricci → Francesco Conti
4th Substitution
81'
Event
Francesco Conti
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
80'
Event
Tjas Begic
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
70'
Event
3rd Yellowcard
70'
64'
Event
Antonio Casas → Matteo Dagasso
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Lion Lauberbach → Andrea Adorante
3rd Substitution
Event
Alex Ferrari → Dennis Hadzikadunic
1st Substitution
46'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Venezia exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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