Ried vs Grazer AK Prediction, Preview and Stats

Austria flag 2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
josko ARENA Tue, 21 Apr - 6:30 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Ried Ried
Versus
Grazer AK GAK
KICKOFF : Tue, 21 Apr - 6:30 PM
Round 6 Relegation Round

CONTEXT

Ried host Grazer AK in Admiral Bundesliga (Relegation Round) at josko ARENA. Domestically, Ried sit 9th in the table while Grazer AK are 11th. Power ranking favours Ried by 1.9 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Ried hold a 1.9-point power advantage at 24.27 over Grazer AK's 22.36 and sit higher at 9th versus 11th.
  • Form: Grazer AK edge form with a 20.5 score against Ried's 19.
  • Squad: Ried's squad rated stronger via superior power score of 24.27 to Grazer AK's 22.36.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data not available.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats unavailable due to low confidence, proxy usage, and missing xG data.
  • xVariable: xG variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Baseline split: Ried 43.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.8% (Δ+0%) | Grazer AK 28% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Ried M. Senft
M. Senft
VS
Grazer AK F. Feldhofer
F. Feldhofer
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.41
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grazer AK Rank: D
Wolfsberger AC Rank: D
Rheindorf Altach Rank: W
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: L
WSG Tirol Rank: W
Austria Wien Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ried Rank: D
Rheindorf Altach Rank: L
Blau-Weiß Linz Rank: W
WSG Tirol Rank: W
Wolfsberger AC Rank: W
WSG Tirol Rank: L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 5 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ried
43.23%
Draw
28.81%
Away Grazer AK
27.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.27
22.36
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ried
Grazer AK
Power Score
24.27
22.36
League Position
9
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Ried — Opponent-weighted form score
Grazer AK — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ried Grazer AK

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ried Ried Home
11 matches
Grazer AK GAK Away
Match Record
5
Wins
1
5
Draws
5
1
Losses
5
Goals
21
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
21
+7
Goal Difference
-7
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T01:07:14+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
A. Leitner
1 A. Leitner
N. Havenaar
5 N. Havenaar
M. Sollbauer
23 M. Sollbauer
O. Steurer
30 O. Steurer
N. Bajlicz
28 N. Bajlicz
J. Mayer
26 J. Mayer
M. Maart
6 M. Maart
P. Pomer
17 P. Pomer
A. Bajic
12 A. Bajic
K. Mutandwa
7 K. Mutandwa
A. Van Wyk
29 A. Van Wyk
F. Stolz
12 F. Stolz
L. Vraa-Jensen
3 L. Vraa-Jensen
D. Pines
2 D. Pines
B. Owusu
82 B. Owusu
M. Olesen
6 M. Olesen
L. Klassen
32 L. Klassen
C. Lichtenberger
10 C. Lichtenberger
T. Koch
8 T. Koch
J. Italiano
14 J. Italiano
R. Harakaté
22 R. Harakaté
A. Hofleitner
25 A. Hofleitner

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 21, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria · Round 6 · Relegation Round
Stadium
josko ARENA
Capacity
5000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Andreas Leitner
Andreas Leitner Goalkeeper
6.86
28
Nicolas Bajlicz
Nicolas Bajlicz Midfielder
6.78
17
Philipp Pomer
Philipp Pomer Midfielder
6.98
7
Kingstone Mutandwa
Kingstone Mutandwa Centre Forward
6.98
12
Ante Bajic
Ante Bajic Attacker
6.92
29
Antonio Van Wyk
Antonio Van Wyk Attacker
6.85
5
Benjamin Garcia
Benjamin Garcia Right Back
7
6
Yusuf Maart
Yusuf Maart Central Midfield
7.01
26
Jonas Mayer
Jonas Mayer Central Midfield
6.67
23
Michael Sollbauer
Michael Sollbauer Centre Back
6.76
30
Oliver Steurer
Oliver Steurer Left Back
6.85

Starting XI ▼

12
Franz Stolz
Franz Stolz Goalkeeper
6.83
32
Leon Klassen
Leon Klassen Midfielder
7.02
14
Jacob Italiano
Jacob Italiano Midfielder
6.9
25
Alexander Hofleitner
Alexander Hofleitner Attacker
6.73
22
Ramiz Harakate
Ramiz Harakate Attacker
7.08
3
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen
Ludwig Vraa-Jensen Left Back
6.6
8
Tobias Koch
Tobias Koch Central Midfield
6.78
10
Christian Lichtenberger
Christian Lichtenberger Central Midfield
6.62
2
Donovan Pines
Donovan Pines Centre Back
6.92
82
Beres Owusu
Beres Owusu Right Back
6.87
6
Mathias Olesen
Mathias Olesen Defensive Midfield
6.85

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Ried holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Ried a 1.9-point edge. External projection is Ried 43.2%, draw 28.8%, and Grazer AK 28%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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