Rheindorf Altach vs Blau-Weiß Linz Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
CASHPOINT Arena
Sat, 14 Mar - 4:00 PM
Admiral Bundesliga
Rheindorf Altach
ALT
3
1
1
Blau-Weiß Linz
BWL
Full Time
Sat, 14 Mar
4:00 PM
Srdjan Hrstic - 41'
Mohamed Ouédraogo - 71'
Manuel Maranda - 86' (Own Goal)
|
Ronivaldo - 90'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 17
CONTEXT
The match between Rheindorf Altach and Blau-Weiß Linz has concluded, with Rheindorf Altach securing a 3-1 victory at full-time. The hosts laid the foundation early, taking a 1-0 lead into the halftime break. This final outcome aligned perfectly with pre-match market expectations. Rheindorf Altach entered as the recognized stronger team and pre-game favorite with a 41.2% implied win probability, compared to Blau-Weiß Linz's 28.1% chance and a 30.7% likelihood of a draw. Despite the multi-goal margin of victory, the general flow of the game was remarkably balanced. Both teams finished with an exactly even 50% share of possession. Expected goals (xG) data was not available for this fixture, meaning an assessment of whether the final scoreline was consistent with xG cannot be determined. Furthermore, the match was played without any severe disciplinary disruptions, as no red cards were issued to either side. While the market correctly predicted the winner, Rheindorf Altach experienced a significant deviation of 58.8% against standard baseline expectations to secure the result. The overall efficiency shift remained in line with projections, allowing the hosts to convert their pre-match advantage into a convincing three points.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Rheindorf Altach showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
-
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
-
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
-
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
-
Event impact: No major event distortion.
-
Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
O. Yayar
2nd Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
15.56
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.72
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.17
S. Bosnjak
4th Official
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
15.56
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.72
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.17
D. Pfister
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
15.56
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.72
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.17
P. Gschliesser
1st Assistant
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0.52
League Avg
15.56
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0.12
League Avg
2.72
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.33
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0.17
O. Zaric
VS
M. Köllner
1.13
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.69
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sturm Graz
Rank: 66
L
SK Rapid
Rank: 57
D
Austria Wien
Rank: 67
W
Hartberg
Rank: 60
D
Blau-Weiß Linz
Rank: 50
W
Ried
Rank: 53
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hartberg
Rank: 60
D
WSG Tirol
Rank: 53
L
Sturm Graz
Rank: 67
L
Wolfsberger AC
Rank: 63
W
Rheindorf Altach
Rank: 54
L
SK Rapid
Rank: 58
D
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 3 - 3
3
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Rheindorf Altach
41.17%
Draw
30.69%
Blau-Weiß Linz
28.14%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
53.26
47.16
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Rheindorf Altach
Blau-Weiß Linz
Power Score
53.26
47.16
League Position
8
12
Global Rank
651
824
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Rheindorf Altach
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Blau-Weiß Linz
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Rheindorf Altach Blau-Weiß Linz
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Rheindorf Altach
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Blau-Weiß Linz
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Rheindorf Altach
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Blau-Weiß Linz
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.60
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
37.20
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Rheindorf Altach
-1.25
Efficiency Index
vs
Blau-Weiß Linz
+1.25
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Rheindorf Altach
Blau-Weiß Linz
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Rheindorf Altach
vs
Blau-Weiß Linz
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Rheindorf Altach
Blau-Weiß Linz
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00
vs
+0.00
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Rheindorf Altach
Blau-Weiß Linz
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
Rheindorf Altach
Blau-Weiß Linz
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Rheindorf Altach
ALT
Home
8
matches
Blau-Weiß Linz
BWL
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
2
Goals
9
Goals Scored
9
9
Goals Conceded
9
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-03-17T07:33:04+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
3-4-3
Match Formation
3-4-2-1
1 D. Stojanovic
27 F. Milojevic
5 L. Gugganig
17 (C) L. Jäger
P. Benjamin
#2188'
25 S. Ingolitsch
6 V. Demaku
8 M. Bähre
29 M. Ouédraogo
M. Oswald
#1483'
28 Y. Massombo Litawumba
O. Diawara
#1066'
11 S. Hrstić
E. Yalcin
#2683'
18 P. Greil
58 N. Mantl
16 M. Moormann
15 (C) M. Maranda
22 D. Riegler
S. Pirkl
#6080'
23 D. Bumberger
19 A. Briedl
C. Conde
#2681'
14 C. Cvetko
D. Reiter
#2980'
5 I. Dahlqvist
R. Sales
#970'
20 S. Seidl
M. Fofana
#680'
30 N. Maier
18 S. Weissman
General Information
Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
Stadium
CASHPOINT Arena
Capacity
8500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Onur Yayar
Stjepan Bosnjak
Daniel Pfister
Philip Gschliesser
Statistics
Possession
ALT
50%
BWL
50%
Top Statistics
3
Goals
1
1
Big Chances Created
3
8
Shots
9
26
Dangerous attacks
52
50
Possession
50
4
Corners
5
11
Free kicks
16
2
Yellow Cards
4
Match Overview
1
Injuries
1
15
Dribble Attempts
12
7
Successful Dribbles
5
47
Successful Dribbles Percentage
42
28
Throwins
23
8
Goal Kicks
4
2
Assists
1
118
Ball Safe
89
7
Goal Attempts
12
4
Substitutions
5
Attacking
115
Attacks
92
1
Big Chances Missed
2
Possession
292
Successful Passes
294
7
Key Passes
9
74
Long Passes
61
38
Successful Long Passes Percentage
46
72
Successful Passes Percentage
74
406
Passes
398
28
Successful Long Passes
28
Defensive
12
Interceptions
11
15
Tackles
21
5
Saves
2
Build-up
12
Total Crosses
15
5
Accurate Crosses
6
Discipline
16
Fouls
11
1
Offsides
2
Lineup
Referee :
Daniel Pfister
Manager ▼
O. Zaric
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Dejan Stojanovic
Goalkeeper
7.2 5
Lukas Gugganig
Defender
6.74 17
Lukas Jäger (C)
Defender
6.65 27
Filip Milojevic
Defender
7.21 6
Vesel Demaku
Midfielder
6.57 8
Mike-Steven Bähre
Midfielder
6.38 25
Sandro Ingolitsch
Midfielder
7.23 21Precious Benjamin
Attacker88'
29
Mohamed Ouédraogo
Midfielder
11
Srdjan Hrstic
Attacker
10Ousmane Diawara
6.55Attacker66'
18
Patrick Greil
Attacker
7.38
26Erkin Yalcin
6.32Attacker83'
28
Yann Massombo
Attacker
6.82 14Moritz Oswald
6.04Defender83'
Substitutes ▼
31
Daniel Antosch
Goalkeeper
16
Rassa Rahmani
Defender
20
Alexander Gorgon
Midfielder
32
Nemanja Krstovic
Midfielder
9
Marlon Mustapha
Attacker
Referee :
Daniel Pfister
Manager ▼
M. Köllner
Coach
Starting XI ▼
58
Nico Mantl
Goalkeeper
6.01
15
Manuel Maranda (C)
Defender
16
Martin Moormann
Defender
6.31 22
David Riegler
Defender
6.89 5
Isak Dahlqvist
Midfielder
6.55 29Dominik Reiter
6.46Midfielder80'
14
Christopher Cvetko
Midfielder
7.15 26Cheick Condé
6.51Midfielder81'
19
Alexander Briedl
Midfielder
6.44 23
David Bumberger
Midfielder
6.77
60Simon Pirkl
6.22Defender80'
18
Shon Weissman
Attacker
7.13
20
Simon Seidl
Attacker
6.8
9Ronivaldo
Attacker70'
30
Nico Maier
Attacker
6.91 6Mamadou Fofana
6.22Midfielder80'
Substitutes ▼
13
Valentin Oelz
Goalkeeper
2
Fabio Varesi-Strauss
Defender
17
Alem Pasic
Defender
10
Paul Mensah
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
90'
Ronivaldo
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90'
Ronivaldo
Goal awarded
Precious Benjamin → Sandro Ingolitsch
9th Substitution
88'
Manuel Maranda
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
86'
Erkin Yalcin → Patrick Greil
8th Substitution
83'
Moritz Oswald → Yann Massombo
7th Substitution
83'
Patrick Greil
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
82'
81'
Cheick Condé → Christopher Cvetko
6th Substitution
80'
Dominik Reiter → Isak Dahlqvist
5th Substitution
80'
Mamadou Fofana → Nico Maier
3rd Substitution
80'
Simon Pirkl → David Bumberger
4th Substitution
Mohamed Ouédraogo
Header / 2nd Goal
71'
70'
Ronivaldo → Simon Seidl
2nd Substitution
Ousmane Diawara → Srdjan Hrstic
1st Substitution
66'
Mohamed Ouédraogo
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
61'
51'
David Bumberger
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
49'
Simon Seidl
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
49'
7th Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Srdjan Hrstic
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
41'
26'
Nico Mantl
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
11'
Shon Weissman
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
CONCLUSION
Structural assessment: Rheindorf Altach exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.