Real Valladolid vs SD Eibar Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla Mon, 13 Apr - 6:30 PM
La Liga 2
Real Valladolid REV
0 – 0
SD Eibar EIB
Full Time Mon, 13 Apr 6:30 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

The match between Real Valladolid and SD Eibar has finished as a 0-0 draw. Pre-match expectations positioned Valladolid as the stronger candidate with the highest win probability, yet the final result marked a significant deviation centered on SD Eibar. The visitors emerged as the stronger team overall, controlling 58 percent possession to Valladolid’s 42 percent and preventing any breakthrough despite the even scoreline at halftime. No red cards were issued and no major disruptive events altered the flow, allowing the contest to remain balanced throughout. The efficiency shift stayed in line with general patterns, though the outcome ultimately did not align with the pre-match projection. Both sides settled for a point in a tightly contested encounter that failed to produce goals, leaving the anticipated edge for the home side unfulfilled. (148 words)

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: SD Eibar showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. De Ena Wolf
A. De Ena Wolf
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.76
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.64
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
R. Porras Rico
R. Porras Rico
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.76
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.64
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
R. Landrove Lago
R. Landrove Lago
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.76
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.64
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
A. Sánchez Sánchez
A. Sánchez Sánchez
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.76
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.64
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.3
Real Valladolid F. Escriba Segura
F. Escriba Segura
VS
SD Eibar B. San José Gil
B. San José Gil
0.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.68
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cultural Leonesa Rank: L
Cádiz Rank: W
Burgos Rank: L
Mirandés Rank: L
Leganés Rank: W
Málaga Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ceuta Rank: W
Real Sociedad II Rank: W
Las Palmas Rank: W
FC Andorra Rank: W
Burgos Rank: D
Leganés Rank: W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Real Valladolid
39.88%
Draw
32.5%
Away SD Eibar
27.62%

Movement

Changes since opening
Real Valladolid
+34.97%
Draw
-59%
SD Eibar
+24.03%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.23
38.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Real Valladolid
SD Eibar
Power Score
21.23
38.87
League Position
17
8
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score
SD Eibar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Real Valladolid SD Eibar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Real Valladolid

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

SD Eibar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Real Valladolid ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.02
2.76
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
2.76
27.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Real Valladolid +2.42 Efficiency Index
vs
SD Eibar -2.42 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Real Valladolid
SD Eibar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Real Valladolid ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy SD Eibar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Real Valladolid SD Eibar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Real Valladolid SD Eibar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Real Valladolid
SD Eibar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Real Valladolid
vs
SD Eibar
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Real Valladolid SD Eibar
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Real Valladolid 0.19
SD Eibar 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Real Valladolid SD Eibar
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Real Valladolid 0.00
SD Eibar 0.00
Real Valladolid
SD Eibar
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • REV had peak pressure around 75'.
  • REV started the game with stronger pressure.
REV Pressure EIB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: REV reached the top pressure at 75' (91.68).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Real Valladolid REV Home
13 matches
SD Eibar EIB Away
Match Record
6
Wins
4
3
Draws
3
4
Losses
6
Goals
16
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
16
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-14T00:01:34+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-3-2
Pitch
Á. Aceves Catalina
Spain
1 Á. Aceves Catalina
I. Alejo Peralta
Spain
14 I. Alejo Peralta
P. Tomeo Félez
Spain
15 P. Tomeo Félez
D. Torres Ortiz
Spain
4 D. Torres Ortiz
C. Clerc Martínez
Spain
18 C. Clerc Martínez
S. Jurić
Croatia
24 S. Jurić
I. San José Cantalejo
Substitution
Spain
20 I. San José Cantalejo
J. Ponceau
France
21 J. Ponceau
V. Meseguer Cavas
Substitution
Spain
8 V. Meseguer Cavas
S. Biuk
Substitution
Croatia
17 S. Biuk
M. de Sousa Mendonça
Brazil
10 M. de Sousa Mendonça
J. Magunagoitia Blasco
Spain
13 J. Magunagoitia Blasco
A. Arbilla Zabala
Spain
23 A. Arbilla Zabala
J. Amador Silos
Portugal
15 J. Amador Silos
P. Nolaskoain Esnal
Spain
8 P. Nolaskoain Esnal
S. Cubero Ezcurra
Spain
2 S. Cubero Ezcurra
S. Álvarez Díaz
Spain
6 S. Álvarez Díaz
J. Guruzeta
Substitution
Spain
10 J. Guruzeta
J. Martínez Calvo
Substitution
Spain
5 J. Martínez Calvo
J. Corpas Serna
Spain
17 J. Corpas Serna
A. Madariaga Susaeta
Substitution
Spain
16 A. Madariaga Susaeta
M. Ares Djalo
Substitution
Spain
18 M. Ares Djalo

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 13, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio Municipal José Zorrilla
Capacity
27618
Attendance
15314
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alonso De Ena Wolf
Rubén Porras Rico
Ricardo Landrove Lago
Antonio Sánchez Sánchez

Statistics

Possession
REV
45%
EIB
55%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 0
47 Dangerous attacks 32
42 Possession 58
9 Corners 1
19 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
17 Throwins 17
16 Dribble Attempts 18
1 Goal Kicks 9
6 Successful Dribbles 9
3 Substitutions 4
66 Ball Safe 67
4 Goal Attempts 0

Attacking

95 Attacks 85
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

85 Successful Passes Percentage 88
391 Passes 559
43 Long Passes 42
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 45
332 Successful Passes 492
16 Successful Long Passes 19
8 Key Passes 0

Defensive

55 Duels Won 55
7 Interceptions 8
15 Tackles 21
0 Saves 2

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 1
30 Total Crosses 14

Discipline

12 Fouls 19
0 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Alonso De Ena Wolf

Starting XI ▼

1
Álvaro Aceves
Álvaro Aceves Goalkeeper
6.72
4
David Torres
David Torres Defender
6.74
14
Iván Alejo
Iván Alejo Defender
6.99
15
Pablo Tomeo
Pablo Tomeo Defender
6.73
18
Carlos Clerc
Carlos Clerc Defender
6.63
8
Víctor Meseguer
Víctor Meseguer Midfielder
6.77
9
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi Latasa
Attacker65'
6.92
17
Stipe Biuk
Stipe Biuk Midfielder
6.75
22
Peter Federico
Peter Federico
Attacker75'
6.91
20
Chuki
Chuki Midfielder
7.04
19
Lucas Sanseviero
Lucas Sanseviero
Attacker86'
6.38
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Midfielder
6.81
24
Stanko Juric
Stanko Juric Midfielder
6.96
10
Marcos André
Marcos André Attacker
6.73
Referee : Alonso De Ena Wolf

Starting XI ▼

13
Jonmi Magunagoitia
Jonmi Magunagoitia Goalkeeper
6.94
2
Sergio Cubero
Sergio Cubero Defender
6.84
8
Peru Nolaskoain
Peru Nolaskoain Defender
7
15
Jair Amador
Jair Amador Defender
6.64
23
Anaitz Arbilla
Anaitz Arbilla Defender
7.08
5
Javi Martínez
Javi Martínez Midfielder
6.77
14
Lander Olaetxea
Lander Olaetxea
Midfielder75'
6.69
6
Sergio Álvarez
Sergio Álvarez Midfielder
6.9
10
Jon Guruzeta
Jon Guruzeta Midfielder
6.87
9
Jon Bautista
Jon Bautista
Attacker89'
6.78
17
José Corpas
José Corpas Midfielder
6.89
16
Ander Madariaga
Ander Madariaga Attacker
6.73
20
Javi Martón
Javi Martón
Attacker70'
6.8
18
Adu Ares
Adu Ares Attacker
6.74
22
Álvaro Rodríguez
Álvaro Rodríguez
Defender89'
6.7

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Lander Olaetxea
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Peter Federico
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
89'
89'
Event
Jon Bautista → Jon Guruzeta
6th Substitution
89'
Event
Álvaro Rodríguez → Adu Ares
7th Substitution
88'
Event
Anaitz Arbilla
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Lucas Sanseviero → Chuki
5th Substitution
86'
Event
Francisco Escribá Segura
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Peter Federico → Stipe Biuk
3rd Substitution
75'
75'
Event
Lander Olaetxea → Javi Martínez
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Jair Amador
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
70'
Event
Javi Martón → Ander Madariaga
2nd Substitution
Event
Juanmi Latasa → Víctor Meseguer
1st Substitution
65'
61'
Event
Adu Ares
Simulation / 3rd Yellowcard
60'
Event
Adu Ares
Penalty disallowed
Event
Iván Alejo
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
54'
1ST-HALF
12'
Event
Ander Madariaga
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: SD Eibar exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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