Randers FC vs FC København Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Cepheus Park Randers Sun, 12 Apr - 4:00 PM
Superliga
Randers FC RDF
1 Winner 2
FC København COP
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 4:00 PM
Round 4 Relegation Round
Daniel Høegh - 66'
Goal
|
Goal
Viktor Claesson - 83'
William Clem - 90+1'

CONTEXT

The match between Randers FC and FC København is now finished, ending 1-2 to the visitors. After a goalless first half, FC København scored twice in the second period while Randers FC responded with a single goal. The result showed only minimal deviation from pre-match expectations, with FC København slightly exceeding projections. Although Randers FC entered the fixture as the stronger side, the away team’s victory aligned with the overall pre-match assessment and produced an efficiency shift that stayed in line with expectations. Possession was almost identical, with Randers FC at 49 percent and FC København at 51 percent. No expected goals data was available to measure alignment on that metric. No red cards were shown to either team, so the outcome was decided without any disciplinary impact. Overall the contest followed a predictable competitive pattern despite the home side’s designation as the stronger outfit.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FC København showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Kristoffersen
M. Kristoffersen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
M. Markus
M. Markus
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
D. Cortzen
D. Cortzen
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
A. Uslu
A. Uslu
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 18.83
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.1
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.07
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.28
Randers FC R. Bertelsen
R. Bertelsen
VS
FC København B. Svensson
B. Svensson
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.79
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Vejle Boldklub Rank: D
Silkeborg IF Rank: L
Fredericia Rank: W
FC København Rank: W
Fredericia Rank: L
Vejle Boldklub Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Silkeborg IF Rank: W
Fredericia Rank: L
Odense BK Rank: L
Randers FC Rank: L
Odense BK Rank: D
Nordsjælland Rank: L
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 9 - 34
34

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Randers FC
0.19%
Draw
3.73%
Away FC København
96.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.18
19.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Randers FC
FC København
Power Score
20.18
19.76
League Position
9
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Randers FC — Opponent-weighted form score
FC København — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Randers FC FC København

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Randers FC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC København

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Randers FC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC København
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.49
24.71
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.71
34.49
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Randers FC +0.98 Efficiency Index
vs
FC København -0.98 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Randers FC
FC København
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Randers FC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC København
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Randers FC FC København
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Randers FC FC København
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Randers FC
FC København
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Randers FC
vs
FC København
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Randers FC FC København
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Randers FC 0.24
FC København 0.34
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Randers FC FC København
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Randers FC 0.06
FC København 0.02
Randers FC
FC København
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • COP had peak pressure around 1'.
  • RDF started the game with stronger pressure.
RDF Pressure COP Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: COP reached the top pressure at 1' (91.07).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 56 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Randers FC RDF Home
56 matches
FC København COP Away
Match Record
13
Wins
34
9
Draws
9
34
Losses
13
Goals
48
Goals Scored
104
104
Goals Conceded
48
-56
Goal Difference
+56
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:08:55+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
P. Izzo
Australia
1 P. Izzo
S. Osman Hansen
Denmark
24 S. Osman Hansen
D. Høegh
Denmark
3 D. Høegh
W. Dammers
Netherlands
4 W. Dammers
M. Sjølstad
Substitution
Norway
15 M. Sjølstad
L. Raun Pedersen
Substitution
Denmark
8 L. Raun Pedersen
J. Björkengren
Sweden
6 J. Björkengren
E. Mahmoud
Substitution
France
11 E. Mahmoud
M. Greve
Denmark
17 M. Greve
C. Edudzi
Substitution
33 C. Edudzi
W. Caddy
Substitution
Madagascar
10 W. Caddy
D. Kotarski
Croatia
1 D. Kotarski
M. López Lanfranco
Substitution
Peru
15 M. López Lanfranco
M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
Denmark
25 M. Jattah-Njie Jørgensen
G. Pereira Magalhães dos Santos
Brazil
5 G. Pereira Magalhães dos Santos
J. Suzuki
Japan
20 J. Suzuki
W. Clem
Denmark
36 W. Clem
M. Madsen
Denmark
21 M. Madsen
R. Rodrigues Silva
Substitution
Brazil
16 R. Rodrigues Silva
M. Elyounoussi
Norway
10 M. Elyounoussi
J. Larsson
Substitution
Sweden
11 J. Larsson
Y. Moukoko
Substitution
Germany
9 Y. Moukoko

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 12, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 4 · Relegation Round
Stadium
Cepheus Park Randers
Capacity
12000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen
Martin Markus
Daniel Cortzen
Aydin Uslu

Statistics

Possession
RDF
50%
COP
50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
4 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 3
58 Dangerous attacks 32
49 Possession 51
5 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

16 Throwins 27
19 Dribble Attempts 16
58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56
9 Goal Kicks 12
11 Successful Dribbles 9
6 Substitutions 4
1 Assists 1
89 Ball Safe 75
2 Injuries 2
8 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

104 Attacks 120
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

27 Successful Long Passes 14
80 Successful Passes Percentage 83
454 Passes 485
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30
363 Successful Passes 403
59 Long Passes 46
9 Key Passes 7

Defensive

16 Tackles 13
4 Saves 5
11 Interceptions 7

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 7
5 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

11 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen

Starting XI ▼

1
Paul Izzo
Paul Izzo Goalkeeper
3
Daniel Høegh
Daniel Høegh Defender
4
Wessel Dammers
Wessel Dammers Defender
15
M. Sjølstad
M. Sjølstad Defender
23
Benjamin Orn
Benjamin Orn
Defender90+2'
24
Sabil Hansen
Sabil Hansen Defender
6
John Björkengren
John Björkengren Midfielder
8
Laurits Pedersen
Laurits Pedersen Midfielder
25
Ousseynou Fall Seck
Ousseynou Fall Seck
Midfielder90+2'
11
Elies Mahmoud
Elies Mahmoud Midfielder
7
Mike Themsen
Mike Themsen
Midfielder85'
17
Mathias Greve
Mathias Greve Midfielder
33
Cyril Edudzi
Cyril Edudzi Midfielder
30
Thibault Klidjé
Thibault Klidjé
Attacker78'
10
Warren Caddy
Warren Caddy Attacker
2
Lucas Lissens
Lucas Lissens
Defender85'
Referee : Mads-Kristoffer Kristoffersen

Starting XI ▼

1
Dominik Kotarski
Dominik Kotarski Goalkeeper
5
Gabriel Pereira
Gabriel Pereira Defender
15
Marcos López
Marcos López Defender
7
Viktor Claesson
Viktor Claesson
Midfielder75'
20
Junnosuke Suzuki
Junnosuke Suzuki Defender
25
Zanka
Zanka Defender
10
Mohamed Elyounoussi
Mohamed Elyounoussi Midfielder
11
Jordan Larsson
Jordan Larsson Midfielder
17
Aurélio Buta
Aurélio Buta
Defender90+3'
16
Robert
Robert Midfielder
30
Elias Achouri
Elias Achouri
Midfielder75'
21
M. Madsen
M. Madsen Midfielder
36
William Clem
William Clem Midfielder
9
Youssoufa Moukoko
Youssoufa Moukoko Attacker
14
Andreas Cornelius
Andreas Cornelius
Attacker57'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Aurélio Buta → Jordan Larsson
9th Substitution
Event
Ousseynou Fall Seck → Laurits Pedersen
8th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Benjamin Orn → M. Sjølstad
7th Substitution
90+2'
90+1'
Event
William Clem
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Lucas Lissens → Warren Caddy
5th Substitution
85'
Event
Mike Themsen → Elies Mahmoud
6th Substitution
85'
83'
Event
Viktor Claesson
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Laurits Pedersen
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
81'
Event
Thibault Klidjé → Cyril Edudzi
4th Substitution
78'
75'
Event
Elias Achouri → Robert
2nd Substitution
75'
Event
Viktor Claesson → Marcos López
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
Andreas Cornelius
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Daniel Høegh
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
66'
64'
Event
William Clem
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Wessel Dammers
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
61'
57'
Event
Andreas Cornelius → Youssoufa Moukoko
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Mohamed Elyounoussi
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FC København exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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