Racing Santander vs Albacete Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero Sat, 21 Mar - 3:15 PM
La Liga 2
Racing Santander RAC
0 Winner 4
Albacete ALB
Full Time Sat, 21 Mar 3:15 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
|
Goal
Jefté Betancor - 3'
Antonio Puertas - 6'
Alex Rubio - 69', 82'
Peio Canales 34' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

The match has finished, with Albacete securing a stunning 4-0 away victory over Racing Santander. Racing trailed 2-0 at halftime before conceding another two goals in the second period. This result represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, as the visiting Albacete side entirely defied the odds. Racing Santander entered the fixture as the clear favorites with a 56.2% implied probability of victory, while a draw sat at 23.8% and an away win at just 19.9%. Despite the lopsided scoreline, Racing Santander dominated the ball with 67% possession compared to Albacete's 33%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to evaluate if the 4-0 outcome was consistent with the underlying xG metrics. However, a red card issued to Racing Santander critically impacted the match dynamics, leading to a noticeable red card distortion in the second half that heavily favored the visitors. Albacete capitalized on their limited time with the ball to punish the 10-man hosts. Consequently, the final result was not aligned with the pre-match market. The overall team efficiency shift remained in line with the trajectory of the match, highlighting Albacete's ruthless and decisive execution.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Albacete showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Racing Santander J. López Menéndez
J. López Menéndez
VS
Albacete A. González Fernández
A. González Fernández
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.55
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
SD Eibar Rank: 69 L
Mirandés Rank: 59 W
Granada Rank: 67 L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 W
Las Palmas Rank: 70 W
Real Zaragoza Rank: 59 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 L
Real Zaragoza Rank: 59 W
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 W
Cádiz Rank: 61 W
Real Sociedad II Rank: 63 D
Leganés Rank: 67 L
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 3 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Racing Santander
56.22%
Draw
23.84%
Away Albacete
19.94%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.31
67.08
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Racing Santander
Albacete
Power Score
71.31
67.08
League Position
1
11
Global Rank
171
275

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score
Albacete — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Racing Santander Albacete

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Racing Santander

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Albacete

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Racing Santander ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Albacete
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.52
42.27
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
42.27
30.52
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Racing Santander -1.19 Efficiency Index
vs
Albacete +1.19 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Racing Santander
Albacete
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Racing Santander ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Albacete
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Racing Santander Albacete
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Racing Santander Albacete
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Racing Santander
Albacete
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Racing Santander RAC Home
11 matches
Albacete ALB Away
Match Record
5
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
5
Goals
16
Goals Scored
13
13
Goals Conceded
16
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:22:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
J. Ezkieta Mendiburu
Spain
1 J. Ezkieta Mendiburu
M. Sangalli Fuentes
Substitution
Spain
15 M. Sangalli Fuentes
J. Hernando Riol
Spain
4 J. Hernando Riol
F. González Molino
Uruguay
16 F. González Molino
J. Salinas Viadero
32 J. Salinas Viadero
D. Rodríguez Sousa
Substitution
Spain
23 D. Rodríguez Sousa
G. Puerta Molano
Colombia
19 G. Puerta Molano
A. Martín García
Substitution
Spain
11 A. Martín García
P. Canales Urtasun
Spain
18 P. Canales Urtasun
I. Vicente Elorduy
Substitution
Spain
10 (C) I. Vicente Elorduy
G. Guliashvili
Substitution
Georgia
7 G. Guliashvili
R. Lizoáin Cruz
Spain
13 (C) R. Lizoáin Cruz
D. Bernabéu Garcia
Substitution
27 D. Bernabéu Garcia
C. Neva Tey
Substitution
Spain
21 C. Neva Tey
L. López Mármol
Spain
22 L. López Mármol
J. Sánchez Martínez
Spain
23 J. Sánchez Martínez
L. Aguado Herrera
Spain
2 L. Aguado Herrera
A. Meléndez Ruiz
Spain
17 A. Meléndez Ruiz
M. Fernández Figueira
Uruguay
8 M. Fernández Figueira
V. San Bartolomé Prieto
Substitution
Spain
14 V. San Bartolomé Prieto
J. Betancor Sánchez
Substitution
Spain
10 J. Betancor Sánchez
J. Rodríguez Díaz
Substitution
Spain
7 J. Rodríguez Díaz

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 21, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Capacity
22308
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
José Antonio Sánchez Villalobos
Roberto Tejero García
Ángel Munuera Montero
Pedro Oreiro Hermida

Statistics

Possession
RAC
62%
ALB
38%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 4
3 Big Chances Created 5
2 Shots 6
69 Dangerous attacks 39
67 Possession 33
6 Corners 5
12 Free kicks 12
4 Yellow Cards 4
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

12 Goal Attempts 8
0 Assists 3
34 Throwins 17
16 Dribble Attempts 17
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 35
69 Ball Safe 70
4 Goal Kicks 10
6 Successful Dribbles 6
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

134 Attacks 75
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

84 Successful Passes Percentage 71
469 Successful Passes 195
49 Long Passes 64
12 Key Passes 6
560 Passes 273
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41
23 Successful Long Passes 26

Defensive

17 Tackles 19
9 Interceptions 15
1 Saves 5

Build-up

30 Total Crosses 12
11 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
11 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : José Antonio Sánchez Villalobos

Starting XI ▼

1
Jokin Ezkieta
Jokin Ezkieta Goalkeeper
5.71
4
Manu Hernando
Manu Hernando Defender
6.68
15
Marco Sangalli
Marco Sangalli Defender
6.46
20
Suleiman Camara
Suleiman Camara
Attacker60'
6.01
16
Facundo González
Facundo González Defender
6.78
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas Defender
5.87
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente (C) Midfielder
7.45
8
Aritz Aldasoro
Aritz Aldasoro
Midfielder81'
6.62
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Midfielder
6.67
6
Íñigo Sainz-Maza
Íñigo Sainz-Maza
Midfielder74'
6.63
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Midfielder
5.95
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Midfielder
6.91
23
Damián Rodríguez
Damián Rodríguez Midfielder
6.83
12
Asier Villalibre
Asier Villalibre
Attacker60'
6.26
7
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Attacker
6.24
17
Jaime Mata
Jaime Mata
Attacker60'
6.68
Referee : José Antonio Sánchez Villalobos

Starting XI ▼

13
Raúl Lizoain
Raúl Lizoain (C) Goalkeeper
8.02
2
Lorenzo Aguado
Lorenzo Aguado Defender
7.43
21
Carlos Neva
Carlos Neva Defender
6.48
24
Jesús Vallejo
Jesús Vallejo
Defender85'
6.43
22
Lluís López
Lluís López Defender
7.59
23
Pepe Sánchez
Pepe Sánchez Defender
7.54
27
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia Defender
6.32
3
Jonathan Gómez
Jonathan Gómez
Defender46'
7.56
8
Martín Fernández
Martín Fernández Midfielder
6.75
14
Victor San Bartolome Prieto
Victor San Bartolome Prieto Midfielder
6.6
19
Alex Rubio
Alex Rubio
Attacker67'
2
8.33
17
Ale Meléndez
Ale Meléndez Midfielder
6.73
7
Antonio Puertas
Antonio Puertas Attacker
7.99
16
José Carlos Lazo
José Carlos Lazo
Attacker73'
6.2
10
Jefté Betancor
Jefté Betancor Attacker
7.47
6
Antonio Pacheco
Antonio Pacheco
Midfielder67'
6.59

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Gustavo Puerta
Argument / 9th Yellowcard
90'
85'
Event
Jesús Vallejo → Carlos Neva
10th Substitution
82'
Event
Alex Rubio
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
Event
Aritz Aldasoro → Iñigo Vicente
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Jorge Salinas
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
79'
79'
Event
Lorenzo Aguado
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
Event
Facundo González
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
78'
Event
Íñigo Sainz-Maza → Andrés Martín
8th Substitution
74'
73'
Event
José Carlos Lazo → Antonio Puertas
7th Substitution
69'
Event
Alex Rubio
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
67'
Event
Antonio Pacheco → Jefté Betancor
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Alex Rubio → Victor San Bartolome Prieto
6th Substitution
Event
Jaime Mata → Giorgi Guliashvili
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Asier Villalibre → Damián Rodríguez
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Suleiman Camara → Marco Sangalli
2nd Substitution
60'
59'
Event
12th Yellowcard
59'
Event
Victor San Bartolome Prieto
Rescinded Card / 5th Yellowcard
46'
Event
Jonathan Gómez → Daniel Bernabéu Garcia
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Ale Meléndez
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
44'
Event
11th Yellowcard
Event
Giorgi Guliashvili
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
38'
Event
Peio Canales
Foul / 1st Redcard
34'
26'
Event
Martín Fernández
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
20'
Event
Daniel Bernabéu Garcia
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
20'
Event
10th Yellowcard
6'
Event
Antonio Puertas
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
3'
Event
Jefté Betancor
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Albacete exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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