Queens Park Rangers vs Portsmouth Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Championship, England
Championship
Portsmouth
PTM
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match has officially finished with Queens Park Rangers securing a dominant 6-0 victory over Portsmouth. Heading into the fixture, the pre-match market slightly favored an away win for Portsmouth at 37.3%, compared to a 32.8% win probability for Queens Park Rangers and a 29.9% chance of a draw. As a result, the outcome was not market-aligned, representing a significant deviation of 67.2% in favor of Queens Park Rangers. Despite the heavily lopsided final scoreline, the underlying performance metrics painted a much closer picture. Portsmouth actually edged the expected goals (xG) battle 1.49 to 1.43 and controlled the tempo with 60% possession compared to just 40% for the hosts. Consequently, the final result was not consistent with the xG data, though the overall efficiency shift was noted to be in line with the match dynamics. The contest was completed without any red cards being issued to either team, ensuring that no major disciplinary events artificially impacted the outcome. Ultimately, Queens Park Rangers proved to be the stronger side on the day, displaying clinical finishing to entirely defy both the underlying statistics and pre-match market expectations.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Queens Park Rangers showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Queens Park Rangers
Portsmouth
Team Power Ranking
i
66.97
65.2
Queens Park Rangers
Portsmouth
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Queens Park Rangers
Portsmouth
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Queens Park Rangers
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Queens Park Rangers
Queens Park Rangers
Portsmouth
Queens Park Rangers
Portsmouth
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 8 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:22:12+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Queens Park Rangers
vs
Watford
League: Championship
Kickoff: Fri, 3 Apr - 2:00 PM
Venue: Home
Portsmouth
vs
Norwich City
League: Championship
Kickoff: Fri, 3 Apr - 2:00 PM
Venue: Away
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Match Commentary