Paris Saint Germain vs Nantes Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Ligue 1, France

Parc des Princes Wed, 22 Apr - 5:00 PM

Ligue 1

Paris Saint Germain PSG

Versus

Nantes NAN

KICKOFF : Wed, 22 Apr - 5:00 PM

Round 26 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Paris Saint Germain welcome Nantes to the Parc des Princes in a Ligue 1 regular season clash during the 2025/2026 campaign. As league leaders with a power score of 51.23, PSG boast a massive 40.3-point advantage over Nantes, who sit 17th with just 10.93. This structural dominance underscores PSG's position as clear favorites in a matchup pitting the elite against the struggling. Form scores further highlight the gulf, with PSG at 24.22 compared to Nantes' meager 4.89, suggesting sustained momentum for the hosts. While detailed metrics on efficiency, transitions, and set pieces remain limited due to data constraints, PSG's overall superiority points to a controlled performance. Nantes face an uphill battle away from home against a side primed to extend their lead at the summit.

TL;DR

Structural: Paris Saint Germain lead Ligue 1 by a wide margin over 17th-placed Nantes, holding a 40.3-point power advantage.
Form: PSG's form score stands at 24.22, towering over Nantes' 4.89.
Squad: PSG's superior power score of 51.23 reflects squad depth far exceeding Nantes' 10.93.
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this fixture.
Transition: Transition data not available for analysis.
Set pieces: Set piece data shows low confidence with proxy metrics for both teams.
xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to add-on not enabled.
Market: Baseline split: Paris Saint Germain 79% (Δ+0%) | Draw 14% (Δ+0%) | Nantes 7% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

L. Martínez García

VS

A. Kantari

2.35

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

0.67

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

24

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

24 - 4 - 3

3

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Paris Saint Germain

78.95%

Draw

14.02%

Nantes

7.03%

Team Power Ranking

51.23

10.93

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Paris Saint Germain

Nantes

Power Score

51.23

10.93

League Position

1

17

Global Rank

-

-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs

Paris Saint Germain — Opponent-weighted form score

Nantes — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Paris Saint Germain Nantes

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Paris Saint Germain PSG Home

31 matches

Nantes NAN Away

Match Record

24

Wins

3

4

Draws

4

3

Losses

24

Goals

69

Goals Scored

21

21

Goals Conceded

69

+48

Goal Difference

-48

Expected Goals

0

xG

0

0

xGA

0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T02:02:40+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 22, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition

2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 26 · Regular Season

Stadium

Parc des Princes

Capacity

48583

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

L. Martínez García Coach

Squad ▼

39

Matvey Safonov Goalkeeper

30

Lucas Chevalier Goalkeeper

89

Renato Bellucci Marin Goalkeeper

5

Marcos Aoás Corrêa Defender

21

Lucas Hernández Pi Defender

2

Achraf Hakimi Mouh Defender

51

William Joel Pacho Tenorio Defender

6

Illia Zabarnyi Defender

25

Nuno Mendes Defender

4

Lucas Lopes Beraldo Defender

8

Fabián Ruiz Peña Midfielder

17

Vitor Machado Ferreira Midfielder

87

João Pedro Gonçalves Neves Midfielder

33

Warren Zaire Emery Midfielder

24

Senny Mayulu Midfielder

27

Pedro Fernández Sarmiento Midfielder

10

Ousmane Dembélé Attacker

7

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Attacker

19

Kang-In Lee Attacker

9

Goncalo Matias Ramos Attacker

29

Bradley Barcola Attacker

14

Desire Doue Attacker

47

Quentin Ndjantou Mbitcha Attacker

49

Ibrahim Mbaye Attacker

Manager ▼

A. Kantari Coach

Squad ▼

30

Patrik Ulf Anders Carlgren Goalkeeper

1

Anthony Lopes Goalkeeper

50

Alexis Mirbach Goalkeeper

26

Uroš Radaković Defender

24

Frédéric Guilbert Defender

98

Kelvin Amian Adou Defender

18

Fabien Centonze Defender

6

Chidozie Collins Awaziem Defender

27

Deiver Andrés Machado Mena Defender

3

Nicolas Louis Marcel Cozza Defender

2

Ali Youssef Defender

72

Sekou Doucouré Defender

4

Loubadhe Abakar Sylla Defender

78

Tylel Tati Defender

13

Francis Coquelin Midfielder

20

Rémy Cabella Midfielder

28

Ibrahima Sissoko Midfielder

8

Johann Lepenant Midfielder

21

Mohamed Kaba Midfielder

17

Dehmaine Assoumani Midfielder

66

Louis Leroux Midfielder

52

Bahmed Deuff Midfielder

19

Youssef El-Arabi Attacker

31

Mostafa Mohamed Ahmed Abdallah Attacker

37

Ignatius Kpene Ganago Attacker

10

Matthis Abline Attacker

11

Bahereba Guirassy Attacker

14

Amady Camara Attacker

CONCLUSION

Paris Saint Germain enter this home fixture against Nantes with overwhelming advantages in power, form, and league standing, setting the stage for a routine victory. Nantes' poor metrics offer little hope of an upset at the Parc des Princes. Expect PSG to dominate possession and chances, leveraging their structural edge to secure three points and maintain their stranglehold on top spot. While set pieces and advanced stats are sparse, the basics paint a clear picture of host supremacy in this lopsided encounter.