Nantes vs Brest Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau Today - 3:15 PM
Ligue 1
Nantes NAN
Versus
Brest B29
KICKOFF : Today - 3:15 PM
Round 30 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Nantes host Brest in Ligue 1 (Regular Season) at Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau. Domestically, Nantes sit 17th in the table while Brest are 11th. Power ranking favours Brest by 11.8 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Brest possess a clear structural advantage with 11.8 power points over Nantes (24.47 vs 12.69).
  • Form: Brest show stronger recent form at 18.06 compared to Nantes' 8.06.
  • Squad: Nantes languish in 17th place while Brest sit 11th in Ligue 1.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition metrics not available in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable for this fixture.
  • Market: Nantes 39.5% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.3% (Δ+0%) | Brest 31.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Nantes V. Halilhodžić
V. Halilhodžić
VS
Brest E. Roy
E. Roy
0.62
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Auxerre Rank: D
Metz Rank: D
Strasbourg Rank: L
Angers SCO Rank: L
LOSC Lille Rank: L
Le Havre Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rennes Rank: L
Auxerre Rank: L
Monaco Rank: L
Le Havre Rank: W
Metz Rank: W
Olympique Marseille Rank: W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 4 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nantes
39.46%
Draw
29.3%
Away Brest
31.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
12.69
24.47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nantes
Brest
Power Score
12.69
24.47
League Position
17
11
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nantes — Opponent-weighted form score
Brest — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nantes Brest

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 12 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nantes NAN Home
12 matches
Brest B29 Away
Match Record
4
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
4
Goals
17
Goals Scored
16
16
Goals Conceded
17
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T01:03:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Pitch
A. Lopes
Portugal
1 A. Lopes
F. Guilbert
France
24 F. Guilbert
A. Youssef
Libya
2 A. Youssef
N. Cozza
France
3 N. Cozza
D. Machado Mena
Colombia
27 D. Machado Mena
F. Coquelin
France
13 F. Coquelin
D. Assoumani
France
17 D. Assoumani
M. Kaba
France
21 M. Kaba
J. Lepenant
France
8 J. Lepenant
M. Abline
France
10 M. Abline
I. Kpene Ganago
Cameroon
37 I. Kpene Ganago
G. Coudert
France
30 G. Coudert
B. Locko
France
2 B. Locko
S. Coulibaly
France
44 S. Coulibaly
B. Chardonnet
France
5 B. Chardonnet
K. Lala
France
77 K. Lala
H. Magnetti
France
8 H. Magnetti
J. Chotard
France
13 J. Chotard
R. Labeau Lascary
France
14 R. Labeau Lascary
E. Dina Ebimbe
France
7 E. Dina Ebimbe
R. Del Castillo
France
10 R. Del Castillo
L. Ajorque
France
19 L. Ajorque

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 19, 2026, 03:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Capacity
37473
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Guillaume Paradis
Florent Batta
Nicolas Durand
Cédric Favre

Lineup

Referee : Guillaume Paradis

Starting XI ▼

1
Anthony Lopes
Anthony Lopes Goalkeeper
6.96
2
Ali Youssef
Ali Youssef Defender
6.91
3
Nicolas Cozza
Nicolas Cozza Defender
6.59
24
Frédéric Guilbert
Frédéric Guilbert Defender
7.23
27
Deiver Machado
Deiver Machado Defender
6.59
8
Johann Lepenant
Johann Lepenant Midfielder
6.85
13
Francis Coquelin
Francis Coquelin Midfielder
6.57
21
Mohamed Kaba
Mohamed Kaba Midfielder
6.93
10
Matthis Abline
Matthis Abline Attacker
6.82
17
Dehmaine Tabibou
Dehmaine Tabibou Attacker
6.71
37
Ignatius Ganago
Ignatius Ganago Attacker
6.74
Referee : Guillaume Paradis

Starting XI ▼

30
Grégoire Coudert
Grégoire Coudert Goalkeeper
6.86
2
Bradley Locko
Bradley Locko Defender
6.65
5
Brendan Chardonnet
Brendan Chardonnet Defender
7
44
Soumaïla Coulibaly
Soumaïla Coulibaly Defender
6.69
77
Kenny Lala
Kenny Lala Defender
6.71
7
Junior Dina Ebimbe
Junior Dina Ebimbe Midfielder
6.58
8
Hugo Magnetti
Hugo Magnetti Midfielder
6.81
13
Joris Chotard
Joris Chotard Midfielder
6.87
10
Romain Del Castillo
Romain Del Castillo Attacker
6.96
14
Rémy Labeau Lascary
Rémy Labeau Lascary Attacker
6.69
19
Ludovic Ajorque
Ludovic Ajorque Attacker
7.2

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Brest holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Brest a 11.8-point edge. External projection is Nantes 40.3%, draw 29.3%, and Brest 30.5%. That projection profile diverges from the structural signals, so execution is likely to decide the result. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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