Motor Lublin vs Górnik Zabrze Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Arena Lublin Sun, 8 Mar - 11:15 AM
Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin Motor Lublin
0 – 0
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 11:15 AM

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Motor Lublin 0–0 Górnik Zabrze. The match ended in a draw. Górnik Zabrze showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 60%–40%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Górnik Zabrze showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
B. Frankowski
B. Frankowski
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.06
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.78
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Szydełko
R. Szydełko
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.06
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.78
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Winkler
J. Winkler
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.06
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.78
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Motor Lublin M. Stolarski
M. Stolarski
VS
Górnik Zabrze M. Gašparík
M. Gašparík
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Korona Kielce Rank: W
Piast Gliwice Rank: W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: L
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Katowice Rank: L
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: L
Nieciecza Rank: D
Lech Poznań Rank: L
Piast Gliwice Rank: W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Motor Lublin
31.89%
Draw
27.39%
Away Górnik Zabrze
40.72%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
43.06
48.61
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Motor Lublin
Górnik Zabrze
Power Score
43.06
48.61
League Position
13
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Motor Lublin — Opponent-weighted form score
Górnik Zabrze — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Motor Lublin Górnik Zabrze

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Motor Lublin

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Górnik Zabrze

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Motor Lublin ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Górnik Zabrze
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
14.33
34.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.00
14.33
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Motor Lublin -1.85 Efficiency Index
vs
Górnik Zabrze +1.85 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Motor Lublin
Górnik Zabrze
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Motor Lublin ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Górnik Zabrze
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Motor Lublin Górnik Zabrze
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Motor Lublin Górnik Zabrze
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Motor Lublin
Górnik Zabrze
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Motor Lublin Motor Lublin Home
3 matches
Górnik Zabrze Górnik Zabrze Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
2
Goals
2
Goals Scored
4
4
Goals Conceded
2
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:03:11+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 11:15 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadium
Arena Lublin
Capacity
15243
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Bartosz Frankowski
Rafał Szydełko
Jacub Winkler

Statistics

Possession
Motor Lublin
55%
Górnik Zabrze
45%

Top Statistics

2 Big Chances Created 1
2 Shots 4
52 Dangerous attacks 52
60 Possession 40
4 Corners 6
10 Free kicks 12

Match Overview

10 Goal Kicks 10
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57
26 Throwins 13
10 Successful Dribbles 12
4 Goal Attempts 6
106 Ball Safe 94
23 Dribble Attempts 21
5 Substitutions 5
1 Injuries 2

Attacking

105 Attacks 103
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

82 Successful Passes Percentage 74
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
385 Successful Passes 227
30 Long Passes 60
11 Successful Long Passes 22
472 Passes 308
4 Key Passes 6

Defensive

10 Interceptions 11
18 Tackles 29
2 Saves 0

Build-up

24 Total Crosses 24
7 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

0 Offsides 4
13 Fouls 9

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
M. Stolarski
1st Yellowcard
90+6'
90+1'
Event
Bastien Donio → Jaroslaw Kubicki
10th Substitution
Event
Jakub Labojko → Ivo Rodrigues
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Renat Dadashov → Karol Czubak
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Paskal Meyer → Filip Luberecki
7th Substitution
73'
73'
Event
Borislav Rupanov → Sondre Liseth
8th Substitution
Event
Bradly van Hoeven → Fábio Ronaldo
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Thomas Santos → Michal Krol
5th Substitution
62'
56'
Event
Maksym Khlan → Ondrej Zmrzly
1st Substitution
56'
Event
Michal Sacek → Yvan Ikia Dimi
2nd Substitution
56'
Event
Lukas Sadilek → Lukas Ambros
3rd Substitution

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Górnik Zabrze exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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