Molde vs Vålerenga Prediction, Preview and Stats
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Eliteserien
Molde
Molde
Vålerenga
Vålerenga
KICKOFF :
Sun, 26 Apr - 12:30 PM
Round 6 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
Sorry, standings could not be loaded right now.
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Apr 21
CONTEXT
Molde host Vålerenga in Eliteserien (Regular Season) at Aker Stadion. Domestically, Molde sit 4th in the table while Vålerenga are 6th. Power ranking favours Molde by 0 points heading into this fixture.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Molde possesses a marginal structural edge as the stronger team with a 23.5 power score versus Vålerenga's 23.48 and zero-point advantage.
-
Form: Vålerenga holds a slight form advantage at 17.8 compared to Molde's 16.67.
-
Squad: Squad composition details are unavailable in the provided data.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available.
-
Transition: Transition play data is unavailable.
-
Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low confidence, proxy usage, and lack of xG.
-
xVariable: xG variables and related metrics are not available.
-
Market: Baseline split: Molde 47.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25% (Δ+0%) | Vålerenga 28% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
M. Falk
VS
G. Bakke
1.6
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.4
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start
Rank:
D
HamKam
Rank:
W
Lillestrøm
Rank:
L
Viking
Rank:
L
Rosenborg
Rank:
W
Sarpsborg 08
Rank:
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lillestrøm
Rank:
L
Fredrikstad
Rank:
D
Viking
Rank:
L
Rosenborg
Rank:
W
Sandefjord
Rank:
W
Viking
Rank:
L
22
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
22 - 5 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Molde
47.08%
Draw
24.96%
Vålerenga
27.96%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.5
23.48
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Molde
Vålerenga
Power Score
23.5
23.48
League Position
4
6
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Molde
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Vålerenga
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Molde Vålerenga
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Molde
Molde
Home
38
matches
Vålerenga
Vålerenga
Away
Match Record
22
Wins
11
5
Draws
5
11
Losses
22
Goals
76
Goals Scored
46
46
Goals Conceded
76
+30
Goal Difference
-30
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:12:08+00:00
General Information
Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aker Stadion
Capacity
11249
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Next Match
Molde
vs
Bodø / Glimt
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Mon, 4 May - 5:00 PM
Venue: Aspmyra Stadion
Vålerenga
vs
KFUM
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 3 May - 5:15 PM
Venue: Intility Arena
Squad
Manager ▼
M. Falk
Coach
Squad ▼

Mads Juhl Kikkenborg
Goalkeeper

Oliver Petersen
Goalkeeper

Albert Posiadała
Goalkeeper

Mads Eikrem Myklebust
Goalkeeper

Birk Risa
Defender

Martin Linnes
Defender

Eirik Haugan
Defender

Fredrik Kristensen Dahl
Defender

Casper Øyvann
Defender

Isak Helstad Amundsen
Defender

Samukelo Kabini
Defender

Sivert Sira Hansen
Defender

Mats Møller Dæhli
Midfielder

Vebjørn Hoff
Midfielder

Halldor Østervold Stenevik
Midfielder

Emil Breivik
Midfielder

Jacob Christensen
Midfielder

Sondre Milian Granaas
Midfielder

Daniel Daga
Midfielder

Blerton Isufi
Midfielder

Viktor Bender Larsen
Midfielder

Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Attacker

Eirik Hestad
Attacker

Caleb Zady Sery
Attacker

Trent Kone Doherty
Attacker

Oskar Spiten-Nysæter
Attacker

Wolji Jalal Abdulai
Attacker
Manager ▼
G. Bakke
Coach
Squad ▼

Oscar Thore Hedvall
Goalkeeper

Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng
Goalkeeper

Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Defender

Kolbeinn Birgir Finnsson
Defender

Ivan Näsberg
Defender

Kevin Tshiembe
Defender

Sebastian Jarl
Defender

Aaron Kiil Olsen
Defender

Håkon Sjåtil
Defender

Petter Strand
Midfielder

Henrik Rørvik Bjørdal
Midfielder

Magnus Hee Westergaard
Midfielder

Carl Lange
Midfielder

Odin Thiago Holm
Midfielder

Omar Bully Drammeh
Midfielder

Fidèle Brice Ambina
Midfielder

Evenezer Awasum Forcha
Midfielder

Mohamed Ofkir
Attacker

Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren
Attacker

Elias Sørensen
Attacker

Mathias Grundetjern
Attacker

Ole Christian Saeter
Attacker

Filip Erik Thorvaldsen
Attacker

Gabriel Rajkovic
Attacker
CONCLUSION
This Eliteserien showdown pits nearly equal forces, with Molde's home strength and 4th-place position clashing against Vålerenga's subtle form lead and 6th ranking. Power parity at 23.5-23.48 underscores a contest where fine margins decide outcomes. Limited data on set pieces, efficiency, and transitions shifts focus to core metrics, favoring Molde marginally via venue and designation as stronger team. Vålerenga's recent edge keeps it competitive, potentially yielding a draw or upset. Expect a tactical battle emphasizing structural balance, with Molde poised for a narrow victory if they capitalize on Aker Stadion familiarity.
