Molde vs Vålerenga Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Aker Stadion Sun, 26 Apr - 12:30 PM
Eliteserien
Molde Molde
Versus
Vålerenga Vålerenga
KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 12:30 PM
Round 6 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Molde host Vålerenga in Eliteserien (Regular Season) at Aker Stadion. Domestically, Molde sit 4th in the table while Vålerenga are 6th. Power ranking favours Molde by 0 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Molde possesses a marginal structural edge as the stronger team with a 23.5 power score versus Vålerenga's 23.48 and zero-point advantage.
  • Form: Vålerenga holds a slight form advantage at 17.8 compared to Molde's 16.67.
  • Squad: Squad composition details are unavailable in the provided data.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available.
  • Transition: Transition play data is unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable due to low confidence, proxy usage, and lack of xG.
  • xVariable: xG variables and related metrics are not available.
  • Market: Baseline split: Molde 47.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25% (Δ+0%) | Vålerenga 28% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Molde M. Falk
M. Falk
VS
Vålerenga G. Bakke
G. Bakke
1.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.4
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Start Rank: D
HamKam Rank: W
Lillestrøm Rank: L
Viking Rank: L
Rosenborg Rank: W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lillestrøm Rank: L
Fredrikstad Rank: D
Viking Rank: L
Rosenborg Rank: W
Sandefjord Rank: W
Viking Rank: L
22
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
22 - 5 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Molde
47.08%
Draw
24.96%
Away Vålerenga
27.96%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.5
23.48
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Molde
Vålerenga
Power Score
23.5
23.48
League Position
4
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Molde Opponent-weighted form score
Vålerenga Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Molde Vålerenga

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Molde Molde Home
38 matches
Vålerenga Vålerenga Away
Match Record
22
Wins
11
5
Draws
5
11
Losses
22
Goals
76
Goals Scored
46
46
Goals Conceded
76
+30
Goal Difference
-30
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-21T01:12:08+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 26, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 6 · Regular Season
Stadium
Aker Stadion
Capacity
11249
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

1
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg
Mads Juhl Kikkenborg Goalkeeper
Oliver Petersen
Oliver Petersen Goalkeeper
22
Albert Posiadała
Albert Posiadała Goalkeeper
51
Mads Eikrem Myklebust
Mads Eikrem Myklebust Goalkeeper
33
Birk Risa
Birk Risa Defender
21
Martin Linnes
Martin Linnes Defender
19
Eirik Haugan
Eirik Haugan Defender
Fredrik Kristensen Dahl
Fredrik Kristensen Dahl Defender
3
Casper Øyvann
Casper Øyvann Defender
6
Isak Helstad Amundsen
Isak Helstad Amundsen Defender
26
Samukelo Kabini
Samukelo Kabini Defender
4
Sivert Sira Hansen
Sivert Sira Hansen Defender
17
Mats Møller Dæhli
Mats Møller Dæhli Midfielder
15
Vebjørn Hoff
Vebjørn Hoff Midfielder
18
Halldor Østervold Stenevik
Halldor Østervold Stenevik Midfielder
10
Emil Breivik
Emil Breivik Midfielder
14
Jacob Christensen
Jacob Christensen Midfielder
23
Sondre Milian Granaas
Sondre Milian Granaas Midfielder
27
Daniel Daga
Daniel Daga Midfielder
31
Blerton Isufi
Blerton Isufi Midfielder
28
Viktor Bender Larsen
Viktor Bender Larsen Midfielder
8
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Fredrik Gulbrandsen Attacker
5
Eirik Hestad
Eirik Hestad Attacker
11
Caleb Zady Sery
Caleb Zady Sery Attacker
24
Trent Kone Doherty
Trent Kone Doherty Attacker
25
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter
Oskar Spiten-Nysæter Attacker
9
Wolji Jalal Abdulai
Wolji Jalal Abdulai Attacker

Squad

1
Oscar Thore Hedvall
Oscar Thore Hedvall Goalkeeper
21
Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng
Magnus Smelhus Sjøeng Goalkeeper
6
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad
Vegar Eggen Hedenstad Defender
2
Kolbeinn Birgir Finnsson
Kolbeinn Birgir Finnsson Defender
39
Ivan Näsberg
Ivan Näsberg Defender
5
Kevin Tshiembe
Kevin Tshiembe Defender
55
Sebastian Jarl
Sebastian Jarl Defender
4
Aaron Kiil Olsen
Aaron Kiil Olsen Defender
3
Håkon Sjåtil
Håkon Sjåtil Defender
24
Petter Strand
Petter Strand Midfielder
8
Henrik Rørvik Bjørdal
Henrik Rørvik Bjørdal Midfielder
28
Magnus Hee Westergaard
Magnus Hee Westergaard Midfielder
10
Carl Lange
Carl Lange Midfielder
15
Odin Thiago Holm
Odin Thiago Holm Midfielder
31
Omar Bully Drammeh
Omar Bully Drammeh Midfielder
29
Fidèle Brice Ambina
Fidèle Brice Ambina Midfielder
18
Evenezer Awasum Forcha
Evenezer Awasum Forcha Midfielder
7
Mohamed Ofkir
Mohamed Ofkir Attacker
77
Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren
Lucas Janus Ravn-Haren Attacker
11
Elias Sørensen
Elias Sørensen Attacker
17
Mathias Grundetjern
Mathias Grundetjern Attacker
80
Ole Christian Saeter
Ole Christian Saeter Attacker
26
Filip Erik Thorvaldsen
Filip Erik Thorvaldsen Attacker
9
Gabriel Rajkovic
Gabriel Rajkovic Attacker

CONCLUSION

This Eliteserien showdown pits nearly equal forces, with Molde's home strength and 4th-place position clashing against Vålerenga's subtle form lead and 6th ranking. Power parity at 23.5-23.48 underscores a contest where fine margins decide outcomes. Limited data on set pieces, efficiency, and transitions shifts focus to core metrics, favoring Molde marginally via venue and designation as stronger team. Vålerenga's recent edge keeps it competitive, potentially yielding a draw or upset. Expect a tactical battle emphasizing structural balance, with Molde poised for a narrow victory if they capitalize on Aker Stadion familiarity.

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