Mechelen vs Anderlecht Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne Tomorrow - 6:45 PM
Pro League
Mechelen MEC
Versus
Anderlecht ADL
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 6:45 PM
Round 3 Championship Round

CONTEXT

Mechelen host Anderlecht in Pro League (Championship Round) at AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne. Domestically, Mechelen sit 5th in the table while Anderlecht are 6th. Power ranking favours Anderlecht by 4.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Anderlecht holds a 4.4-point power advantage over Mechelen with scores of 26.87 to 22.47.
  • Form: Mechelen edges form rankings at 15.06 compared to Anderlecht's 12.94.
  • Squad: League positions place Mechelen fifth and Anderlecht sixth.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition data not provided in analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies with no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG data absent, limiting advanced variable insights.
  • Market: Mechelen 34.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.1% (Δ+0%) | Anderlecht 38.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Mechelen F. Vanderbiest
F. Vanderbiest
VS
Anderlecht J. Taravel
J. Taravel
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.32
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Union Saint-Gilloise Rank: L
Gent Rank: D
Club Brugge Rank: L
Anderlecht Rank: W
Gent Rank: L
Zulte-Waregem Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gent Rank: W
Club Brugge Rank: L
Cercle Brugge Rank: L
Mechelen Rank: L
Club Brugge Rank: D
OH Leuven Rank: W
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 10 - 19
19
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mechelen
34.12%
Draw
27.14%
Away Anderlecht
38.74%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.47
26.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mechelen
Anderlecht
Power Score
22.47
26.87
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mechelen — Opponent-weighted form score
Anderlecht — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mechelen Anderlecht

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mechelen MEC Home
36 matches
Anderlecht ADL Away
Match Record
7
Wins
19
10
Draws
10
19
Losses
7
Goals
40
Goals Scored
80
80
Goals Conceded
40
-40
Goal Difference
+40
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-17T01:01:21+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
I. Mirás Blanco
13 I. Mirás Blanco
T. St. Jago
33 T. St. Jago
R. Halhal
2 R. Halhal
J. Martinez Marsà
3 J. Martinez Marsà
B. Antonio
38 B. Antonio
F. Hammar
6 F. Hammar
M. Servais
17 M. Servais
T. Koudou
7 T. Koudou
K. Mrabti
19 K. Mrabti
B. Raman
14 B. Raman
M. van Brederode
9 M. van Brederode
J. Heekeren
32 J. Heekeren
L. Augustinsson
6 L. Augustinsson
M. Diarra
93 M. Diarra
M. Kana
55 M. Kana
A. Maamar
79 A. Maamar
E. Llansana
24 E. Llansana
N. Saliba
13 N. Saliba
T. Hazard
11 T. Hazard
Y. Verschaeren
10 Y. Verschaeren
M. Stroeykens
29 M. Stroeykens
M. Cvetković
9 M. Cvetković

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 3 · Championship Round
Stadium
AFAS-stadion Achter de Kazerne
Capacity
16672
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Erik Lambrechts
Jo De Weirdt
Kevin Monteny
Kevin Van Damme

Expected Lineup

Referee : Erik Lambrechts

Starting XI ▼

13
Nacho Miras
Nacho Miras Goalkeeper
7.26
38
Bill Antonio
Bill Antonio Midfielder
6.54
7
Thérence Koudou
Thérence Koudou Midfielder
6.73
14
Damir Milanovic
Damir Milanovic Centre Forward
6.7
9
Myron van Brederode
Myron van Brederode Attacker
7.11
19
Kerim Mrabti
Kerim Mrabti Attacker
6.89
6
Fredrik Hammar
Fredrik Hammar Central Midfield
7.07
33
Tommy St. Jago
Tommy St. Jago Right Back
6.86
2
Redouane Halhal
Redouane Halhal Centre Back
6.93
17
Mathis Servais
Mathis Servais Central Midfield
7.02
3
José Marsà
José Marsà Left Back
6.73
Referee : Erik Lambrechts

Starting XI ▼

32
Justin Heekeren
Justin Heekeren Goalkeeper
7.33
9
Mihajlo Cvetkovic
Mihajlo Cvetkovic Centre Forward
6.76
6
Ludwig Augustinsson
Ludwig Augustinsson Left Back
6.97
29
Mario Stroeykens
Mario Stroeykens Right Wing
6.61
79
Ali Maamar
Ali Maamar Right Back
6.59
10
Yari Verschaeren
Yari Verschaeren Attacking Midfield
6.78
11
Thorgan Hazard
Thorgan Hazard Left Wing
7.39
13
Nathan-Dylan Saliba
Nathan-Dylan Saliba Defensive Midfield
6.91
24
Enric Llansana
Enric Llansana Defensive Midfield
6.81
55
Marco Kana
Marco Kana Right Back
6.79
93
Moussa Diarra
Moussa Diarra Left Back
6.64

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Anderlecht holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Anderlecht a 4.4-point edge. External projection is Mechelen 34.1%, draw 27.1%, and Anderlecht 38.7%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

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