Luzern vs Lausanne Sport Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
Sportplatz Chrüzmatt Sun, 22 Mar - 3:30 PM
Super League
Luzern LUZ
4 Winner 0
Lausanne Sport LAU
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 3:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Pius Dorn - 4', 51'
Matteo Di Giusto - 23'
Andrej Vasovic - 76'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Luzern and Lausanne Sport has finished, with Luzern securing a 2-0 full-time victory after establishing a two-goal lead by half-time. Heading into the fixture, Luzern were the clear favorites with a 53.9% pre-match market probability to win, compared to a 22.8% chance for a draw and 23.4% for an away victory. The result represented a significant deviation level of 46.1% favoring Luzern, meaning the final outcome was fully aligned with pre-match market expectations. Despite conceding the majority of the ball, holding just 44% possession compared to Lausanne Sport's 56%, Luzern were far more dangerous in the final third. The hosts generated a dominant 2.42 expected goals (xG) against the visitors' minimal 0.86 xG. Consequently, the 2-0 result was completely consistent with the underlying xG data. The finishing efficiency shift remained in line with overall performance metrics, as the hosts comfortably dispatched their chances to secure the win. The flow of the game was unhindered by major disciplinary issues, with zero red cards shown to either side. Ultimately, Luzern executed a highly effective game plan to perfectly match both statistical and market projections.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Luzern showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Luzern M. Frick
M. Frick
VS
Lausanne Sport P. Zeidler
P. Zeidler
1.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.37
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Winterthur Rank: 45 L
Lugano Rank: 63 W
Young Boys Rank: 61 L
Thun Rank: 66 L
Basel Rank: 65 W
Zürich Rank: 53 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Servette Rank: 60 D
Thun Rank: 66 L
St. Gallen Rank: 64 D
Winterthur Rank: 46 L
Grasshopper Rank: 50 D
Young Boys Rank: 63 W
16
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
16 - 11 - 11
11

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Luzern
53.85%
Draw
22.78%
Away Lausanne Sport
23.37%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.15
57.08
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Luzern
Lausanne Sport
Power Score
59.15
57.08
League Position
7
9
Global Rank
514
574

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Luzern — Opponent-weighted form score
Lausanne Sport — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Luzern Lausanne Sport

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Luzern

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Lausanne Sport

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Luzern ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Lausanne Sport
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.61
32.59
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.59
37.61
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Luzern +0.47 Efficiency Index
vs
Lausanne Sport -0.47 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Luzern
Lausanne Sport
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Luzern
vs
Lausanne Sport
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Luzern Lausanne Sport
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Luzern Lausanne Sport
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Luzern
Lausanne Sport
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 38 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Luzern LUZ Home
38 matches
Lausanne Sport LAU Away
Match Record
16
Wins
11
11
Draws
11
11
Losses
16
Goals
57
Goals Scored
49
49
Goals Conceded
57
+8
Goal Difference
-8
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:24:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Pitch
P. Loretz
Switzerland
1 P. Loretz
P. Dorn
Germany
20 (C) P. Dorn
B. Freimann
46 B. Freimann
A. Bajrami
Albania
4 A. Bajrami
R. Fernandes
Substitution
Switzerland
22 R. Fernandes
T. Owusu
Substitution
Switzerland
24 T. Owusu
T. Abe
Japan
6 T. Abe
L. Silva Ferreira
Substitution
Portugal
73 L. Silva Ferreira
O. Kabwit tshikomb
Substitution
DR Congo
16 O. Kabwit tshikomb
M. Di Giusto
Switzerland
11 M. Di Giusto
A. Vasovic
Substitution
Switzerland
19 A. Vasovic
K. Letica
Croatia
25 K. Letica
M. Poaty
France
18 M. Poaty
K. Mouanga
Substitution
France
14 K. Mouanga
R. Lippo
Substitution
Finland
54 R. Lippo
B. Soppy
France
2 B. Soppy
N. Beloko
Substitution
Switzerland
16 N. Beloko
O. Custodio Da Costa
Switzerland
10 (C) O. Custodio Da Costa
G. Sigua
Georgia
38 G. Sigua
F. Mollet
Substitution
France
91 F. Mollet
S. Traore
Substitution
Ivory Coast
17 S. Traore
O. Janneh Susso
Spain
78 O. Janneh Susso

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 22, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Sportplatz Chrüzmatt
Capacity
1800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Marijan Drmic
Susann Küng
Johannes von Mandach
Jonas Erni

Statistics

Possession
LUZ
45%
LAU
55%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
5 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 9
91 Dangerous attacks 105
44 Possession 56
3 Corners 8
6 Free kicks 13
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

19 Throwins 21
14 Goal Kicks 8
13 Dribble Attempts 20
4 Assists 0
23 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
3 Successful Dribbles 8
82 Ball Safe 82
9 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

75 Attacks 124
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

77 Successful Passes Percentage 83
10 Key Passes 11
387 Passes 488
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 52
59 Long Passes 46
31 Successful Long Passes 24
298 Successful Passes 404

Defensive

24 Tackles 20
9 Interceptions 12
0 Saves 1

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 18
9 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

13 Fouls 5
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Johannes von Mandach

Starting XI ▼

1
Pascal Loretz
Pascal Loretz Goalkeeper
6.77
4
Adrian Bajrami
Adrian Bajrami Defender
7.23
20
Pius Dorn
Pius Dorn (C) Defender
2
8.8
22
Rúben Dantas Fernandes
Rúben Dantas Fernandes Defender
6.77
14
Andrejs Ciganiks
Andrejs Ciganiks
Defender90'
46
Bung Meng Freimann
Bung Meng Freimann Defender
7.67
6
Taisei Abe
Taisei Abe Midfielder
6.9
11
Matteo Di Giusto
Matteo Di Giusto Midfielder
8.49
16
Oscar Kabwit
Oscar Kabwit Midfielder
6.87
27
Lars Villiger
Lars Villiger
Attacker61'
7.24
24
Tyron Owusu
Tyron Owusu Midfielder
6.6
2
Severin Ottiger
Severin Ottiger
Defender90'
73
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira Midfielder
7.05
29
Levin Winkler
Levin Winkler
Midfielder82'
6.44
19
Andrej Vasovic
Andrej Vasovic Attacker
7.51
71
Sascha Meyer
Sascha Meyer
Attacker90+1'
Referee : Johannes von Mandach

Starting XI ▼

25
Karlo Letica
Karlo Letica Goalkeeper
5.87
2
Brandon Soppy
Brandon Soppy Defender
6.72
14
Kévin Mouanga
Kévin Mouanga Defender
6.14
5
Dircssi Ngonzo
Dircssi Ngonzo
Defender77'
6.42
18
Morgan Poaty
Morgan Poaty Defender
6.22
54
Rodolfo Lippo
Rodolfo Lippo Defender
6.61
93
Sékou Fofana
Sékou Fofana
Defender63'
6.26
10
Olivier Custodio
Olivier Custodio (C) Midfielder
7.65
16
Nicky Beloko
Nicky Beloko Midfielder
6.26
70
Gaoussou Diakité
Gaoussou Diakité
Midfielder63'
6.15
38
Gabriel Sigua
Gabriel Sigua Midfielder
6.76
91
Florent Mollet
Florent Mollet Midfielder
6.61
27
Beyatt Lekoueiry
Beyatt Lekoueiry
Midfielder46'
6.82
17
Seydou Traoré
Seydou Traoré Attacker
6.34
9
Theo Bair
Theo Bair
Attacker63'
6.31
78
Omar Janneh
Omar Janneh Attacker
6.77

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sascha Meyer → Andrej Vasovic
10th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Severin Ottiger → Tyron Owusu
9th Substitution
90'
Event
Andrejs Ciganiks → Rúben Dantas Fernandes
8th Substitution
90'
Event
Levin Winkler → Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
7th Substitution
82'
80'
Event
Olivier Custodio
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
77'
Event
Dircssi Ngonzo → Kévin Mouanga
6th Substitution
Event
Andrej Vasovic
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
76'
63'
Event
Gaoussou Diakité → Nicky Beloko
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Theo Bair → Seydou Traoré
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Sékou Fofana → Rodolfo Lippo
5th Substitution
Event
Lars Villiger → Oscar Kabwit
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Pius Dorn
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
51'
46'
Event
Beyatt Lekoueiry → Florent Mollet
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Matteo Di Giusto
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
23'
Event
Pius Dorn
Header / 1st Goal
4'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Luzern exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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