Liverpool vs Paris Saint Germain Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Champions League, Europe
Champions League
Paris Saint Germain
PSG
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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CONTEXT
The match between Liverpool and Paris Saint Germain is now finished, with the full-time score finishing 0-2 in favor of Paris Saint Germain. This was leg two of a two-legged knockout tie, played six days after the first leg where Paris Saint Germain won 2-0 at home. The result showed minimal deviation from pre-match expectations, as Paris Saint Germain, regarded as the stronger side, delivered a victory fully in line with projections. Liverpool enjoyed slightly more of the ball with 53 percent possession to 47 percent, but the visitors were far more clinical in attack. No xG data is available for the match, yet the efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations and the outcome aligned with the pre-match projection. No red cards were issued and no major disciplinary events altered the flow. Paris Saint Germain advance with a commanding aggregate lead after outscoring Liverpool 4-0 across both legs. (148 words)
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Paris Saint Germain showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Team Power Ranking
i
27.32
41.48
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Liverpool
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Liverpool
⚠ Proxy
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Liverpool
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
Liverpool
Paris Saint Germain
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- LIV had peak pressure around 56'.
- LIV started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-04-15T00:02:08+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Liverpool
vs
Everton
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 1:00 PM
Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium
Paris Saint Germain
vs
Olympique Lyonnais
League: Ligue 1
Kickoff: Sun, 19 Apr - 6:45 PM
Venue: Parc des Princes
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Manager ▼
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Match Commentary