Legia Warszawa vs Cracovia Kraków Prediction, Preview and Stats

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego Sun, 8 Mar - 7:15 PM
Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
1 Winner 0
Cracovia Kraków Cracovia Kraków
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 7:15 PM
Mileta Rajović - 31'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Legia Warszawa 1–0 Cracovia Kraków. The result saw Legia Warszawa take the points. Legia Warszawa showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 41%–59%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Legia Warszawa showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
P. Gryckiewicz
P. Gryckiewicz
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.06
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.78
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Boniek
M. Boniek
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.06
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.78
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Kaszyński
B. Kaszyński
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.06
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.78
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
P. Pazdecki
P. Pazdecki
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.06
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.78
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Legia Warszawa M. Papszun
M. Papszun
VS
Cracovia Kraków L. Elsner
L. Elsner
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: D
Wisła Płock Rank: W
Katowice Rank: D
Arka Gdynia Rank: D
Korona Kielce Rank: L
Piast Gliwice Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Piast Gliwice Rank: L
Widzew Lodz Rank: D
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: D
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: D
Nieciecza Rank: W
Lech Poznań Rank: D
27
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
27 - 9 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Legia Warszawa
51.45%
Draw
27.56%
Away Cracovia Kraków
21%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
38.89
45.83
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Legia Warszawa
Cracovia Kraków
Power Score
38.89
45.83
League Position
15
7
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Legia Warszawa — Opponent-weighted form score
Cracovia Kraków — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Legia Warszawa Cracovia Kraków

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Legia Warszawa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Cracovia Kraków

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Legia Warszawa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cracovia Kraków
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.76
21.61
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.61
39.76
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Legia Warszawa +1.71 Efficiency Index
vs
Cracovia Kraków -1.71 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Legia Warszawa
Cracovia Kraków
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Legia Warszawa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cracovia Kraków
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Legia Warszawa Cracovia Kraków
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Legia Warszawa Cracovia Kraków
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Legia Warszawa
Cracovia Kraków
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa Home
11 matches
Cracovia Kraków Cracovia Kraków Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
2
Draws
2
5
Losses
4
Goals
13
Goals Scored
15
15
Goals Conceded
13
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:24:34+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 07:15 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadium
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
Capacity
31800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Patryk Gryckiewicz
Marcin Boniek
Bartosz Kaszyński
Piotr Pazdecki

Statistics

Possession
Legia Warszawa
44%
Cracovia Kraków
56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 5
46 Dangerous attacks 55
41 Possession 59
4 Corners 3
15 Free kicks 19
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 31
3 Successful Dribbles 5
63 Ball Safe 67
8 Goal Kicks 6
20 Throwins 17
8 Dribble Attempts 16
8 Goal Attempts 6

Attacking

72 Attacks 74
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

15 Successful Long Passes 17
27 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
56 Long Passes 55
360 Passes 526
74 Successful Passes Percentage 81
265 Successful Passes 424

Defensive

24 Tackles 17
3 Saves 3
11 Interceptions 5

Build-up

3 Accurate Crosses 7
15 Total Crosses 19

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
17 Fouls 15

Events

2ND-HALF
83'
Event
Ajdin Hasic → Brahim Traoré
10th Substitution
Event
Artur Jedrzejczyk → Juergen Elitim
9th Substitution
80'
Event
Rafal Augustyniak
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
75'
73'
Event
Dijon Kameri → Kahveh Zahiroleslam
8th Substitution
65'
Event
Mateusz Klich
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Ermal Krasniqi → Kacper Urbanski
5th Substitution
59'
59'
Event
Pau Sans → Martin Yankov
6th Substitution
59'
Event
Beno Selan → Amir Al-Ammari
7th Substitution
Event
Damian Szymanski → Bartosz Kapustka
4th Substitution
58'
Event
Rafal Adamski → Vahan Bichakhchyan
3rd Substitution
58'
57'
Event
Martin Yankov
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Bosko Sutalo → Gustav Henriksson
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Oskar Wojcik
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Mileta Rajović
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
31'
Event
Mileta Rajović → Antonio Colak
1st Substitution
24'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Legia Warszawa exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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