Lecce vs Cremonese Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare Sun, 8 Mar - 11:30 AM
Serie A
Lecce LEC
2 Winner 1
Cremonese USC
Full Time Sun, 8 Mar 11:30 AM
Santiago Pierotti - 22'
Nikola Stulic - 38' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Federico Bonazzoli - 47'
|
Red Card Giuseppe Pezzella 90+8'
Red Card Giuseppe Pezzella 90+8'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Lecce 2–1 Cremonese. The result saw Lecce take the points. Lecce showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 41%–59%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Lecce showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Sozza
S. Sozza
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.16
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.63
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
V. Colarossi
V. Colarossi
1st Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.16
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.63
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
L. Pairetto
L. Pairetto
4th Official 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.16
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.63
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
C. Rossi
C. Rossi
2nd Assistant 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 12.16
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.63
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.05
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Lecce E. Di Francesco
E. Di Francesco
VS
Cremonese D. Nicola
D. Nicola
0.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.72
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter Rank: L
Cagliari Rank: W
Udinese Rank: W
Torino Rank: L
Lazio Rank: D
AC Milan Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
AC Milan Rank: L
Roma Rank: L
Genoa Rank: D
Atalanta Rank: L
Inter Rank: L
Sassuolo Rank: L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 2 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lecce
40.99%
Draw
32.38%
Away Cremonese
26.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks’ model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
32.14
29.88
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lecce
Cremonese
Power Score
32.14
29.88
League Position
16
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Lecce Opponent-weighted form score
Cremonese Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lecce Cremonese

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Lecce

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Cremonese

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lecce ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cremonese
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
25.49
21.10
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.10
25.49
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lecce +0.47 Efficiency Index
vs
Cremonese -0.47 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lecce
Cremonese
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lecce ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cremonese
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lecce Cremonese
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lecce Cremonese
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lecce
Cremonese
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lecce LEC Home
3 matches
Cremonese USC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-09T00:03:27+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 08, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadium
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Capacity
40800
Attendance
27705
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Simone Sozza
Valerio Colarossi
Luca Pairetto
Christian Rossi

Statistics

Possession
LEC
44%
USC
56%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
9 Shots 10
29 Dangerous attacks 49
41 Possession 59
4 Corners 4
26 Free kicks 19
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Assists 1
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58
13 Dribble Attempts 12
16 Throwins 37
29 Successful Headers 32
9 Goal Kicks 7
5 Successful Dribbles 7
2 Injuries 1
59 Ball Safe 63
6 Goal Attempts 6
1 Penalties 0
4 Substitutions 5

Attacking

97 Attacks 112
0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

177 Successful Passes 249
59 Long Passes 73
26 Successful Long Passes 31
69 Successful Passes Percentage 70
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
5 Key Passes 4
258 Passes 355

Defensive

11 Interceptions 5
13 Tackles 20
4 Saves 1
71 Duels Won 77

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 28
3 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
19 Fouls 27

Events

2ND-HALF
90+8'
Event
Giuseppe Pezzella
2nd Redcard
90+8'
Event
Giuseppe Pezzella
Argument / 1st Redcard
90+6'
Event
Francesco Folino
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+6'
Event
Sebastiano Luperto
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Sadik Fofana Lassana Coulibaly
9th Substitution
89'
87'
Event
Martín Payero
Goal disallowed
Event
Gaby Jean Santiago Pierotti
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Omri Gandelman Lameck Banda
7th Substitution
78'
74'
Event
Antonio Sanabria Giuseppe Pezzella
6th Substitution
Event
Walid Cheddira Nikola Stulic
5th Substitution
66'
62'
Event
David Okereke Morten Thorsby
4th Substitution
53'
Event
Milan Djuric
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
47'
Event
Federico Bonazzoli
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
46'
Event
Alessio Zerbin Matteo Bianchetti
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Martín Payero Jari Vandeputte
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Milan Djuric Jamie Vardy
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Jamil Siebert
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45+4'
44'
Event
Matteo Bianchetti
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Nikola Stulic
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
38'
Event
Martín Payero
Penalty awarded
37'
Event
Santiago Pierotti
Header / 1st Goal
22'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
90
Update Update
Walid Cheddira from Lecce committed a foul.
90
Corner Corner
A new offensive play unfolds as Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but Wladimiro Falcone of Lecce makes a save, directing the ball to the right corner.
90
Update Update
Match interruption - Lecce.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with Lecce defeating Cremonese 2-1.
90
Update Update
Ylber Ramadani from Lecce committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Youssef Maleh from Cremonese earned a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive play unfolds as Martín Payero from Cremonese takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it’s expertly stopped by the goalkeeper, Wladimiro Falcone of Lecce, who positions himself well in the center of the goal. The assist came from Milan Djuric, who set him up with a header.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Lecce 2, Cremonese 1.
90
Update Update
Francesco Folino from Cremonese was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Lecce has been awarded a free kick in their defensive half.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sebastiano Luperto of Cremonese has been shown a yellow card.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Lecce: Sadik Fofana replaces Lassana Coulibaly.
88
Update Update
Offside call against Lecce. Walid Cheddira has been flagged for being offside.
87
Update Update
VAR Review: Goal Disallowed - Lecce 2, Cremonese 1.
86
Update Update
Martín Payero of Cremonese commits a handball.
86
Update Update
GOAL DISALLOWED AFTER VAR REVIEW: Martín Payero from Cremonese finds the back of the net, but the goal is canceled following a VAR check.
85
Update Update
Offside call against Lecce. Lassana Coulibaly is caught in an offside position.
83
Update Update
Ylber Ramadani from Lecce earned a free kick in an offensive position.
83
Update Update
Youssef Maleh from Cremonese committed a foul.
82
Update Update
Walid Cheddira from Lecce committed a foul.
82
Update Update
Tommaso Barbieri from Cremonese was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
79
Update Update
Sebastiano Luperto from Cremonese committed a foul.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Lecce: Gaby Jean comes on to replace Santiago Pierotti.
79
Update Update
Lecce's Lassana Coulibaly earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Lecce: Omri Gandelman replaces Lameck Banda.
78
Update Update
Santiago Pierotti from Lecce has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
78
Update Update
Youssef Maleh from Cremonese committed a foul.
77
Update Update
Walid Cheddira from Lecce committed a foul.
77
Update Update
Sebastiano Luperto from Cremonese has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
76
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Youssef Maleh from Cremonese took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed high and to the right after the corner kick.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Cremonese after a deflection off Antonino Gallo.
75
Update Update
Lameck Banda from Lecce committed a foul.
75
Update Update
Alessio Zerbin from Cremonese was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: Antonio Sanabria comes on to replace Giuseppe Pezzella.
73
Update Update
Danilo Veiga from Lecce committed a foul.
73
Update Update
David Okereke from Cremonese earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
72
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Lassana Coulibaly from Lecce attempted a left-footed shot from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The chance was set up by Lameck Banda, who delivered a cross following a corner.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Lecce after Francesco Folino allowed the ball to go out.
69
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive play unfolds as Ylber Ramadani from Lecce takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Emil Audero of Cremonese makes a save, directing the ball to the left corner.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Lecce after Francesco Folino allowed the ball to go out.
68
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Walid Cheddira from Lecce took a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Santiago Pierotti.
67
Update Update
Martín Payero from Cremonese committed a foul.
67
Update Update
Tiago Gabriel from Lecce has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
67
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Tommaso Barbieri from Cremonese took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar. The assist came from David Okereke.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Lecce: Walid Cheddira replaces Nikola Stulic.
63
Update Update
Oumar Ngom from Lecce was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
63
Update Update
Alessio Zerbin from Cremonese committed a foul.
63
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Lassana Coulibaly from Lecce attempted a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the right but failed to find the target.
62
Update Update
Lameck Banda from Lecce was awarded a free kick on the left side of the field.
62
Update Update
Tommaso Barbieri from Cremonese committed a foul.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: David Okereke replaces Morten Thorsby.
61
Update Update
Ylber Ramadani from Lecce was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
61
Update Update
Morten Thorsby from Cremonese committed a foul.
60
Update Update
Sebastiano Luperto from Cremonese earned a free kick in the defensive area.
60
Update Update
Nikola Stulic from Lecce committed a foul.
59
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Lecce, following a foul by Sebastiano Luperto.
59
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Lameck Banda from Lecce took a right-footed shot from a distance on the left side following a free kick.
58
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
58
Update Update
Lameck Banda from Lecce has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
58
Update Update
Match temporarily halted due to an injury to Tiago Gabriel from Lecce.
58
Update Update
Alessio Zerbin from Cremonese committed a foul.
57
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push. Milan Djuric from Cremonese takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but Wladimiro Falcone from Lecce makes a save in the upper center of the goal.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Cremonese after Danilo Veiga allowed the ball to go out.
56
Update Update
Youssef Maleh from Cremonese committed a foul.
56
Update Update
Danilo Veiga from Lecce was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
55
Update Update
Giuseppe Pezzella from Cremonese was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
55
Update Update
Lassana Coulibaly committed a foul against a player from Lecce.
53
Update Update
Danilo Veiga from Lecce has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Milan Djuric of Cremonese has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
53
Update Update
Milan Djuric from Cremonese committed a foul.
52
Update Update
Giuseppe Pezzella from Cremonese committed a foul.
52
Update Update
Danilo Veiga from Lecce has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
50
Update Update
Milan Djuric from Cremonese committed a foul.
50
Update Update
Tiago Gabriel from Lecce was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
49
Update Update
Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese earned a free kick in an offensive position.
49
Update Update
Oumar Ngom from Lecce committed a foul.
48
Update Update
Sebastiano Luperto from Cremonese has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
48
Update Update
Santiago Pierotti from Lecce committed a foul.
47
Update Update
Lassana Coulibaly of Lecce commits a handball.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lecce 2, Cremonese 1. Federico Bonazzoli of Cremonese scores with a left-footed shot from the middle of the box into the bottom right corner. The assist came from Milan Djuric, who set him up with a header.
46
Update Update
Morten Thorsby from Cremonese committed a foul.
46
Update Update
Ylber Ramadani from Lecce has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
Jamil Siebert from Lecce committed a foul.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jamil Siebert from Lecce has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
45
Update Update
Tommaso Barbieri from Cremonese has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
Jamie Vardy from Cremonese earned a free kick in an offensive position.
45
Update Update
Nikola Stulic from Lecce earned a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
Jari Vandeputte from Cremonese committed a foul.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: Alessio Zerbin replaces Matteo Bianchetti.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Lecce leading Cremonese 2-0.
45
Update Update
Cremonese has been called for offside. Jamie Vardy has positioned himself ahead of the last defender.
45
Update Update
Lameck Banda from Lecce committed a foul.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: Martín Payero comes on to replace Jari Vandeputte.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Cremonese: Milan Djuric comes on to replace Jamie Vardy.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with Lecce leading Cremonese 2-0.
44
Update Update
Matteo Bianchetti from Cremonese committed a foul.
44
Update Update
Lecce's Lassana Coulibaly has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
44
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matteo Bianchetti of Cremonese has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
41
Update Update
Tommaso Barbieri from Cremonese earned a free kick in the defensive area.
41
Update Update
Oumar Ngom from Lecce committed a foul.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lecce leads 2-0 against Cremonese. Nikola Stulic from Lecce successfully scores the penalty, placing a right-footed shot into the bottom left corner.
37
Update Update
VAR Review: Penalty awarded to Lecce.
35
Update Update
Matteo Bianchetti of Cremonese has given away a penalty due to a handball in the box.
35
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Nikola Stulic from Lecce takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Santiago Pierotti.
34
Update Update
Santiago Pierotti from Lecce committed a foul.
34
Update Update
Giuseppe Pezzella from Cremonese was awarded a free kick on the left flank.
32
Update Update
Santiago Pierotti from Lecce committed a foul.
32
Update Update
Youssef Maleh from Cremonese was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
31
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
30
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Santiago Pierotti from Lecce.
30
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Jamie Vardy from Cremonese.
29
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Jamie Vardy from Cremonese takes a left-footed shot from the heart of the penalty area, but it's expertly stopped by goalkeeper Wladimiro Falcone, who is positioned centrally in the goal. The assist comes from Youssef Maleh.
27
Update Update
Lassana Coulibaly from Lecce committed a foul.
27
Update Update
Francesco Folino from Cremonese earned a free kick in the defensive area.
26
Update Update
Ylber Ramadani from Lecce has been awarded a free kick on the left side of the pitch.
26
Update Update
Fouled by Tommaso Barbieri from Cremonese.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lecce takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Cremonese. Santiago Pierotti heads the ball into the high center of the net from close range. The assist came from Antonino Gallo, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
22
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Lassana Coulibaly from Lecce fires a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Santiago Pierotti.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Lecce after a play that resulted in Sebastiano Luperto giving it away.
19
Update Update
Offside call against Lecce. Lameck Banda has been flagged for being offside.
17
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Morten Thorsby of Cremonese attempted a header from the center of the box following a corner, but it went wide.
17
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
17
Corner Corner
Cremonese earns a corner kick after Antonino Gallo allows the ball to go out.
16
Update Update
Lameck Banda from Lecce committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
16
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Jari Vandeputte from Cremonese takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's successfully blocked.
16
Update Update
Jari Vandeputte from Cremonese committed a foul.
16
Update Update
Santiago Pierotti from Lecce earned a free kick in the defensive area.
15
Update Update
Santiago Pierotti from Lecce earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
15
Update Update
Giuseppe Pezzella from Cremonese committed a foul.
15
Update Update
Match has been paused due to an injury to Lameck Banda from Lecce.
15
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Cremonese after Tiago Gabriel allowed the ball to go out of play.
15
Update Update
The pause has ended. The teams are set to resume play.
13
Update Update
Tommaso Barbieri from Cremonese committed a foul.
13
Update Update
Lameck Banda from Lecce has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
11
Update Update
Francesco Folino from Cremonese committed a foul.
11
Update Update
Tiago Gabriel from Lecce earned a free kick in the defensive area.
10
Update Update
Youssef Maleh from Cremonese earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
10
Update Update
Santiago Pierotti from Lecce committed a foul.
5
Update Update
Danilo Veiga from Lecce has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
5
Update Update
Giuseppe Pezzella from Cremonese committed a foul.
4
Update Update
Danilo Veiga from Lecce was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
4
Update Update
Morten Thorsby from Cremonese committed a foul.
2
Update Update
Federico Bonazzoli from Cremonese committed a foul.
2
Update Update
Tommaso Barbieri from Cremonese committed a foul.
2
Update Update
Lameck Banda from Lecce was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
2
Update Update
Antonino Gallo from Lecce earned a free kick in the defensive area.
2
Update Update
Matteo Bianchetti from Cremonese committed a foul.
2
Update Update
Tiago Gabriel from Lecce has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Lecce exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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