Las Palmas vs Sporting Gijón Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio de Gran Canaria Sun, 22 Mar - 5:30 PM
La Liga 2
Las Palmas LPA
1 Winner 0
Sporting Gijón SPO
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 5:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Ale García - 12'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Las Palmas and Sporting Gijón has finished, culminating in a 0-0 draw. Las Palmas entered the contest as the clear favorites with a 51.3% pre-match probability of winning, compared to a 27.5% chance for a draw and just 21.2% for an away victory. Consequently, the final stalemate did not align with the pre-match market expectations. Las Palmas controlled the tempo, recording 59% possession to Sporting Gijón's 41%. With expected goals (xG) data unavailable for both sides, it cannot be determined if the scoreless outcome was consistent with the underlying shot metrics. Additionally,

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sporting Gijón showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Las Palmas L. García Fernández
L. García Fernández
VS
Sporting Gijón B. Jiménez Sáez
B. Jiménez Sáez
1.54
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Albacete Rank: 63 L
Ceuta Rank: 63 W
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 59 W
Castellón Rank: 66 D
Mirandés Rank: 59 D
Burgos Rank: 67 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: 66 D
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 D
Albacete Rank: 67 D
Huesca Rank: 60 W
SD Eibar Rank: 69 L
Mirandés Rank: 59 W
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 7 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Las Palmas
51.31%
Draw
27.46%
Away Sporting Gijón
21.23%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.72
65.34
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Las Palmas
Sporting Gijón
Power Score
62.72
65.34
League Position
5
8
Global Rank
202
313

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score
Sporting Gijón — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Las Palmas Sporting Gijón

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Las Palmas

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sporting Gijón

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Las Palmas ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting Gijón
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.93
26.71
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.71
35.93
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Las Palmas +0.93 Efficiency Index
vs
Sporting Gijón -0.93 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Las Palmas
Sporting Gijón
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Las Palmas ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sporting Gijón
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Las Palmas Sporting Gijón
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Las Palmas Sporting Gijón
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Las Palmas
Sporting Gijón
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 27 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Las Palmas LPA Home
27 matches
Sporting Gijón SPO Away
Match Record
14
Wins
6
7
Draws
7
6
Losses
14
Goals
32
Goals Scored
27
27
Goals Conceded
32
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:25:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
D. Horkaš
Croatia
1 D. Horkaš
V. Álvarez Rozada
Spain
17 V. Álvarez Rozada
S. Barcia Laranxeira
Substitution
Spain
6 S. Barcia Laranxeira
M. Marmol Medina
Spain
3 M. Marmol Medina
E. Clemente Maza
Spain
5 E. Clemente Maza
K. Rodríguez Concepción
Substitution
Spain
20 (C) K. Rodríguez Concepción
L. Amatucci
Italy
16 L. Amatucci
T. Miyashiro
Japan
18 T. Miyashiro
M. Fuster Lázaro
Substitution
Spain
14 M. Fuster Lázaro
P. García Mejías
Substitution
Spain
22 P. García Mejías
J. Rodríguez Ruiz
Substitution
Spain
10 J. Rodríguez Ruiz
C. Sánchez Leal
Cuba
13 C. Sánchez Leal
B. Oliván Herrero
Substitution
Spain
12 B. Oliván Herrero
D. Sánchez Pérez
Substitution
Spain
5 D. Sánchez Pérez
P. Vázquez Pérez
Spain
15 P. Vázquez Pérez
K. Vázquez Comesaña
Substitution
Spain
20 (C) K. Vázquez Comesaña
G. Rosas Alonso
Spain
2 G. Rosas Alonso
A. Corredera Alardi
Spain
14 A. Corredera Alardi
M. Rodríguez Paz
Substitution
Spain
36 M. Rodríguez Paz
C. Gelabert Pina
Substitution
Spain
10 C. Gelabert Pina
J. Otero Tovar
Colombia
19 J. Otero Tovar
J. Dubasin
Belgium
17 J. Dubasin

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 22, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Capacity
32392
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Víctor Jiménez Yustos
Lluís Bestard Servera
Vicente Javier Almarche González
Abraham Domínguez Cervantes

Statistics

Possession
LPA
58%
SPO
42%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 3
5 Shots 4
44 Dangerous attacks 39
59 Possession 41
7 Corners 8
12 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
24 Throwins 16
5 Successful Dribbles 3
8 Dribble Attempts 8
89 Ball Safe 71
1 Assists 0
1 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Goal Kicks 7
5 Substitutions 5
9 Goal Attempts 7
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

98 Attacks 80
1 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
556 Passes 381
88 Successful Passes Percentage 82
18 Successful Long Passes 18
491 Successful Passes 313
49 Long Passes 43
15 Key Passes 7

Defensive

9 Tackles 8
10 Interceptions 5
4 Saves 4

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 16
2 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

5 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Lluís Bestard Servera

Starting XI ▼

1
Dinko Horkas
Dinko Horkas Goalkeeper
7.52
3
Mika Mármol
Mika Mármol Defender
7.06
5
Enrique Clemente
Enrique Clemente Defender
7.1
6
Sergio Barcia
Sergio Barcia Defender
7.14
15
Juanma Herzog
Juanma Herzog
Defender90+2'
17
Viti Rozada
Viti Rozada Defender
6.91
14
Manu Fuster
Manu Fuster Midfielder
7.02
26
Iñaki González
Iñaki González
Midfielder88'
16
Lorenzo Amatucci
Lorenzo Amatucci Midfielder
6.95
18
Taisei Miyashiro
Taisei Miyashiro Midfielder
8.42
20
Kirian Rodríguez
Kirian Rodríguez (C) Midfielder
7.09
12
Enzo Loiodice
Enzo Loiodice
Midfielder76'
6.7
22
Ale García
Ale García Midfielder
7.84
23
Cristian Gutiérrez
Cristian Gutiérrez
Defender76'
6.78
10
Jesé
Jesé Attacker
7.03
49
Iker Bravo
Iker Bravo
Attacker88'
Referee : Lluís Bestard Servera

Starting XI ▼

13
Christian Joel
Christian Joel Goalkeeper
7.22
2
Guille Rosas
Guille Rosas Defender
6.45
5
Diego Sánchez
Diego Sánchez Defender
6.94
27
Álex Oyón
Álex Oyón
Attacker90+2'
12
Brian Oliván
Brian Oliván Defender
6.38
3
Pablo García
Pablo García
Defender67'
6.63
15
Pablo Vázquez
Pablo Vázquez Defender
6.98
20
Kevin Vázquez
Kevin Vázquez (C) Defender
6.33
7
Gaspar Campos
Gaspar Campos
Midfielder46'
6.55
10
César Gelabert
César Gelabert Midfielder
7.32
11
Dani Queipo
Dani Queipo
Attacker83'
6.61
14
Àlex Corredera
Àlex Corredera Midfielder
6.9
36
Manu Rodríguez
Manu Rodríguez Midfielder
6.77
24
Justin Smith
Justin Smith
Midfielder67'
6.5
17
Jonathan Dubasin
Jonathan Dubasin Attacker
6.44
19
Juan Otero
Juan Otero Attacker
6.45

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Juanma Herzog → Sergio Barcia
9th Substitution
90+2'
90+2'
Event
Álex Oyón → Diego Sánchez
10th Substitution
Event
Lorenzo Amatucci
Time wasting / 1st Yellowcard
89'
Event
Iker Bravo → Jesé
7th Substitution
88'
Event
Iñaki González → Manu Fuster
8th Substitution
88'
83'
Event
Dani Queipo → César Gelabert
6th Substitution
Event
Enzo Loiodice → Kirian Rodríguez
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Cristian Gutiérrez → Ale García
4th Substitution
76'
67'
Event
Pablo García → Brian Oliván
2nd Substitution
67'
Event
Justin Smith → Manu Rodríguez
3rd Substitution
46'
Event
Gaspar Campos → Kevin Vázquez
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Ale García
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
12'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Sporting Gijón exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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