Las Palmas vs Huesca Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio de Gran Canaria Sun, 5 Apr - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Las Palmas LPA
2 Winner 1
Huesca HUE
Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 4:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
Jesé - 53'
Estanis Pedrola - 67'
Goal
|
Goal
Daniel Luna - 39'

CONTEXT

The match between Las Palmas and Huesca has finished, with Las Palmas securing a 2-1 victory at full-time. It was a strong comeback for the home side, who went into the half-time break trailing 1-0 before rallying in the second period to claim all three points. This outcome aligned with the pre-match market, which heavily favored the home team. Las Palmas entered the fixture as the stronger side with a 59.7% implied probability of winning, compared to a 24.3% chance for a draw and just a 16% chance for an away victory. Overturning the half-time deficit represented a significant deviation level in favor of Las Palmas to ultimately justify their status as favorites. Las Palmas dictated the tempo throughout the contest, commanding a dominant 64% possession while restricting Huesca to just 36% of the ball. Because expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, it is not possible to determine if the final scoreline was consistent with the underlying chances created. Nevertheless, overall efficiency shifts were in line with standard expectations. The match flowed cleanly without any major disciplinary disruptions, as zero red cards were issued to either team.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Las Palmas showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Tárraga Lájara
J. Tárraga Lájara
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
?. Moreno Aragón
?. Moreno Aragón
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
R. Blázquez Sánchez
R. Blázquez Sánchez
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
?. González Narváez
?. González Narváez
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 19.49
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.46
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.14
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.32
Las Palmas L. García Fernández
L. García Fernández
VS
Huesca J. Oltra Castañer
J. Oltra Castañer
1.65
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.76
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Granada Rank: 67 W
SD Eibar Rank: 68 L
Sporting Gijón Rank: 65 W
Albacete Rank: 63 L
Ceuta Rank: 60 W
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 58 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 57 D
Granada Rank: 67 L
Almería Rank: 69 L
Málaga Rank: 66 L
Albacete Rank: 66 D
Real Valladolid Rank: 60 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 9 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Las Palmas
59.65%
Draw
24.33%
Away Huesca
16.02%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.21
57.92
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Las Palmas
Huesca
Power Score
63.21
57.92
League Position
4
20
Global Rank
177
536

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Las Palmas — Opponent-weighted form score
Huesca — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Las Palmas Huesca

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Las Palmas

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Huesca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Las Palmas ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Huesca
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.13
20.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.00
23.13
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Las Palmas +0.32 Efficiency Index
vs
Huesca -0.32 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Las Palmas
Huesca
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Las Palmas ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Huesca
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Las Palmas Huesca
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Las Palmas Huesca
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Las Palmas
Huesca
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Las Palmas
vs
Huesca
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Las Palmas Huesca
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Las Palmas 0.36
Huesca 0.25
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Las Palmas Huesca
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Las Palmas 0.04
Huesca 0.06
Las Palmas
Huesca
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Las Palmas LPA Home
19 matches
Huesca HUE Away
Match Record
4
Wins
6
9
Draws
9
6
Losses
4
Goals
17
Goals Scored
18
18
Goals Conceded
17
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:05:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Horkaš
Croatia
1 D. Horkaš
V. Álvarez Rozada
Spain
17 V. Álvarez Rozada
J. Herzog
Spain
15 J. Herzog
M. Marmol Medina
Spain
3 M. Marmol Medina
C. Gutiérrez Vizcaíno
Substitution
Spain
23 C. Gutiérrez Vizcaíno
K. Rodríguez Concepción
Spain
20 K. Rodríguez Concepción
I. González Zambrano
Substitution
Spain
26 I. González Zambrano
T. Miyashiro
Japan
18 T. Miyashiro
J. Viera Ramos
Substitution
Spain
21 J. Viera Ramos
E. Pedrola Fortuny
Substitution
Spain
39 E. Pedrola Fortuny
J. Rodríguez Ruiz
Substitution
Spain
10 J. Rodríguez Ruiz
D. Jiménez López
Spain
13 D. Jiménez López
J. Alonso Sosa
Spain
17 J. Alonso Sosa
J. Pulido Mayoral
Spain
14 J. Pulido Mayoral
I. Sebastián Magaña
Substitution
Spain
5 I. Sebastián Magaña
A. Carrillo Alacid
Spain
4 A. Carrillo Alacid
J. Mier Martínez
Substitution
Spain
6 J. Mier Martínez
J. Álvarez Aguado
Substitution
Spain
16 J. Álvarez Aguado
J. Martín Camuñas
Spain
8 J. Martín Camuñas
F. Portillo Soler
Spain
20 F. Portillo Soler
D. Luna
Substitution
Colombia
33 D. Luna
E. Rodríguez Heres
Substitution
Spain
18 E. Rodríguez Heres

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 05, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio de Gran Canaria
Capacity
32392
Attendance
16855
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jorge Tárraga Lájara
Álvaro Moreno Aragón
Rodrigo Blázquez Sánchez
Álvaro González Narváez

Statistics

Possession
LPA
61%
HUE
39%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 4
36 Dangerous attacks 24
64 Possession 36
4 Corners 1
19 Free kicks 12
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

7 Throwins 21
8 Successful Dribbles 5
5 Substitutions 5
67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
12 Dribble Attempts 15
8 Goal Kicks 6
1 Hit Woodwork 0
2 Assists 1
8 Goal Attempts 5
75 Ball Safe 56

Attacking

94 Attacks 78
2 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

566 Passes 316
38 Long Passes 65
87 Successful Passes Percentage 76
8 Key Passes 6
494 Successful Passes 241
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
17 Successful Long Passes 24

Defensive

60 Duels Won 35
23 Tackles 13
3 Saves 2
7 Interceptions 8

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 5
1 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

12 Fouls 19
1 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Álvaro Moreno Aragón

Starting XI ▼

1
Dinko Horkas
Dinko Horkas Goalkeeper
3
Mika Mármol
Mika Mármol Defender
15
Juanma Herzog
Juanma Herzog Defender
17
Viti Rozada
Viti Rozada Defender
23
Cristian Gutiérrez
Cristian Gutiérrez Defender
16
Lorenzo Amatucci
Lorenzo Amatucci
Midfielder46'
18
Taisei Miyashiro
Taisei Miyashiro Midfielder
20
Kirian Rodríguez
Kirian Rodríguez Midfielder
21
Jonathan Viera
Jonathan Viera Midfielder
14
Manu Fuster
Manu Fuster
Midfielder85'
26
Iñaki González
Iñaki González Midfielder
5
Enrique Clemente
Enrique Clemente
Defender46'
39
Estanis Pedrola
Estanis Pedrola Midfielder
2
Marvin Park
Marvin Park
Defender78'
10
Jesé
Jesé Attacker
22
Ale García
Ale García
Midfielder72'
Referee : Álvaro Moreno Aragón

Starting XI ▼

13
Dani Jiménez
Dani Jiménez Goalkeeper
4
Álvaro Carrillo
Álvaro Carrillo Defender
5
Piña
Piña Defender
7
Jordi Escobar
Jordi Escobar
Attacker85'
14
Jorge Pulido
Jorge Pulido Defender
17
Julio Alonso
Julio Alonso Defender
6
Javi Mier
Javi Mier Midfielder
24
Efe Ugiagbe
Efe Ugiagbe
Attacker75'
8
Jordi Martín
Jordi Martín Midfielder
16
Jesús Álvarez
Jesús Álvarez Midfielder
22
Michael Agbekpornu
Michael Agbekpornu
Midfielder66'
20
Francisco Portillo
Francisco Portillo Midfielder
33
Daniel Luna
Daniel Luna Midfielder
19
Ignacio Laquintana
Ignacio Laquintana
Midfielder66'
18
Enol Rodríguez
Enol Rodríguez Attacker
9
Sergi Enrich
Sergi Enrich
Attacker75'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Manu Fuster → Jonathan Viera
10th Substitution
85'
85'
Event
Jordi Escobar → Piña
9th Substitution
Event
Marvin Park → Estanis Pedrola
8th Substitution
78'
75'
Event
Efe Ugiagbe → Javi Mier
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Sergi Enrich → Enol Rodríguez
6th Substitution
Event
Ale García → Jesé
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Estanis Pedrola
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
67'
66'
Event
Michael Agbekpornu → Jesús Álvarez
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Ignacio Laquintana → Daniel Luna
4th Substitution
59'
Event
Jorge Pulido
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Jesé
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
53'
Event
Lorenzo Amatucci → Cristian Gutiérrez
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Enrique Clemente → Iñaki González
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Daniel Luna
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
27'
Event
Francisco Portillo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Las Palmas exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Related Football Previews