Kocaelispor vs Konyaspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
İsmetpaşa Stadyumu Sat, 14 Mar - 10:30 AM
Super Lig
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
1 Winner 2
Konyaspor KON
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 10:30 AM
Serdar Dursun - 58'
Goal
|
Goal
Blaz Kramer - 86'
Jackson Muleka - 90+4' (P)

CONTEXT

The match between Kocaelispor and Konyaspor has officially finished, with the visiting side claiming a 2-1 full-time victory. Following a tightly contested first half that ended scoreless, Konyaspor found their attacking rhythm in the second period to secure the win. This outcome went directly against pre-match expectations. The betting markets originally favored Kocaelispor, giving them a 41.4% probability of winning alongside a 31.4% chance of a draw, compared to just 27.3% for the visitors. As a result, Konyaspor's triumph represents a significant deviation of 72.7% from the initial forecasts, meaning the final score completely failed to align with the pre-match market projections. On the pitch, Konyaspor dictated the overall tempo, controlling 58% of the possession compared to the home side's 42%. While expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture to determine if the outcome aligned with scoring opportunities, the attacking efficiency shift was entirely in line with the final result. Konyaspor made the most of their time on the ball to outscore their opponents. Furthermore, it was a disciplined fixture, with no red cards issued to disrupt the tactical balance or personnel of either team.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Konyaspor showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
?. Gültekin
?. Gültekin
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
?. Sultanoğlu
?. Sultanoğlu
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
C. Aydın
C. Aydın
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
M. Altan
M. Altan
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Kocaelispor S. İnan
S. İnan
VS
Konyaspor İ. Palut
İ. Palut
1.52
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.81
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Eyüpspor Rank: 65 W
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 L
Rizespor Rank: 67 L
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 67 W
Kayserispor Rank: 64 W
Fenerbahçe Rank: 86 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kasımpaşa Rank: 63 D
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 75 L
Galatasaray Rank: 88 W
Alanyaspor Rank: 70 L
Göztepe Rank: 75 D
Beşiktaş Rank: 76 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kocaelispor
41.36%
Draw
31.35%
Away Konyaspor
27.29%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.98
67.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kocaelispor
Konyaspor
Power Score
56.98
67.12
League Position
8
12
Global Rank
299
242

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kocaelispor — Opponent-weighted form score
Konyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kocaelispor Konyaspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kocaelispor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Konyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kocaelispor ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Konyaspor
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.31
35.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.43
26.31
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kocaelispor -0.99 Efficiency Index
vs
Konyaspor +0.99 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kocaelispor
Konyaspor
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kocaelispor
vs
Konyaspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kocaelispor Konyaspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +1.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kocaelispor Konyaspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Kocaelispor
Konyaspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kocaelispor Kocaelispor Home
1 matches
Konyaspor KON Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
3
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T00:39:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
G. Değirmenci
Turkey
35 (C) G. Değirmenci
A. Oğuz
Turkey
22 A. Oğuz
A. Dijksteel
Suriname
2 A. Dijksteel
H. Smolčić
Croatia
6 H. Smolčić
R. Rivas Vindel
Honduras
99 R. Rivas Vindel
H. Keita
Substitution
Mali
8 H. Keita
M. Da Silva Cafumana
Angola
14 M. Da Silva Cafumana
T. Bingöl
Substitution
Turkey
75 T. Bingöl
D. Agyei
England
7 D. Agyei
S. Dursun
Germany
19 S. Dursun
D. Churlinov
Substitution
Macedonia
17 D. Churlinov
B. Güngördü
Turkey
13 B. Güngördü
A. Boşluk
Substitution
Turkey
24 A. Boşluk
U. Yazğılı
Turkey
5 U. Yazğılı
A. Nagalo
Ivory Coast
39 A. Nagalo
Y. Andzouana
DR Congo
23 Y. Andzouana
B. Kutlu
Turkey
18 B. Kutlu
M. Jevtović
Serbia
16 M. Jevtović
K. Olaigbe
Substitution
Belgium
70 K. Olaigbe
M. Ibrahimoglu
Substitution
Austria
77 M. Ibrahimoglu
D. Türüç
Substitution
Turkey
9 (C) D. Türüç
J. Muleka
DR Congo
40 J. Muleka

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 10:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium
İsmetpaşa Stadyumu
Capacity
34829
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ömer Faruk Gültekin
Özcan Sultanoğlu
C. Aydın
Murat Altan

Statistics

Possession
Kocaelispor
42%
KON
58%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 5
6 Shots 8
21 Dangerous attacks 31
42 Possession 58
8 Corners 7
4 Free kicks 20
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

15 Dribble Attempts 8
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
8 Successful Dribbles 4
9 Goal Kicks 7
13 Throwins 25
16 Successful Headers 22
3 Substitutions 4
0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Injuries 1
9 Goal Attempts 14
0 Penalties 1
52 Ball Safe 60

Attacking

77 Attacks 104
0 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

76 Successful Passes Percentage 80
5 Key Passes 13
239 Successful Passes 358
313 Passes 448
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 54
23 Successful Long Passes 41
62 Long Passes 76

Defensive

10 Interceptions 6
9 Tackles 17
5 Saves 2

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 18
2 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

20 Fouls 4
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : C. Aydın

Starting XI ▼

35
Gökhan Değirmenci
Gökhan Değirmenci (C) Goalkeeper
7.14
2
Anfernee Dijksteel
Anfernee Dijksteel Defender
6.15
6
Hrvoje Smolcic
Hrvoje Smolcic Defender
6.37
22
Ahmet Oğuz
Ahmet Oğuz Defender
7.19
99
Rigoberto Rivas
Rigoberto Rivas Defender
6.15
8
Habib Keïta
Habib Keïta Midfielder
6.84
5
Botond Balogh
Botond Balogh
Defender78'
5.93
14
Show
Show Midfielder
6.36
75
Tayfur Bingöl
Tayfur Bingöl Midfielder
6.78
10
Karol Linetty
Karol Linetty
Midfielder69'
6.22
7
Dan Agyei
Dan Agyei Attacker
6.79
17
Darko Churlinov
Darko Churlinov Attacker
6.6
70
Can Keleş
Can Keleş
Attacker78'
6.28
19
Serdar Dursun
Serdar Dursun Attacker
7.19
Referee : C. Aydın

Starting XI ▼

13
Bahadır Güngördü
Bahadır Güngördü Goalkeeper
6.61
5
Uğurcan Yazğılı
Uğurcan Yazğılı Defender
6.75
23
Yhoan Andzouana
Yhoan Andzouana Defender
6.42
24
Arif Boşluk
Arif Boşluk Defender
6.85
99
Blaz Kramer
Blaz Kramer
Attacker65'
7.05
39
Adamo Nagalo
Adamo Nagalo Defender
6.92
9
Deniz Türüç
Deniz Türüç (C) Midfielder
7.18
7
Tunahan Taşçı
Tunahan Taşçı
Attacker85'
6.6
16
Marko Jevtovic
Marko Jevtovic Midfielder
6.94
18
Berkan Kutlu
Berkan Kutlu Midfielder
7.62
70
Kazeem Olaigbe
Kazeem Olaigbe Midfielder
6.19
10
Enis Bardhi
Enis Bardhi
Midfielder65'
7.36
77
Melih İbrahimoğlu
Melih İbrahimoğlu Midfielder
7.04
42
Morten Bjørlo
Morten Bjørlo
Midfielder82'
6.55
40
Jackson Muleka
Jackson Muleka Attacker
7.94

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Jackson Muleka
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
90+2'
90+2'
Event
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
86'
Event
Blaz Kramer
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
85'
Event
Tunahan Taşçı → Deniz Türüç
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Morten Bjørlo → Melih İbrahimoğlu
6th Substitution
Event
Botond Balogh → Habib Keïta
4th Substitution
78'
Event
Can Keleş → Darko Churlinov
5th Substitution
78'
Event
Karol Linetty → Tayfur Bingöl
3rd Substitution
69'
65'
Event
Blaz Kramer → Arif Boşluk
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Enis Bardhi → Kazeem Olaigbe
1st Substitution
Event
Serdar Dursun
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
58'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
51'
46'
Event
Deniz Türüç
2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Show
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
45+2'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Konyaspor exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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