KFUM vs Sandefjord Prediction, Preview and Stats

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
KFUM Arena Tue, 7 Apr - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
KFUM KFUM
1 Winner 2
Sandefjord Sandefjord
Full Time Tue, 7 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 3 Regular Season
Teodor Berg Haltvik - 16'
Goal
|
Goal
Jakob Vester - 5'
Evangelos Patoulidis - 30' (P)

CONTEXT

The match has finished, with Sandefjord claiming a 2-1 away victory over KFUM. The scoring concluded entirely in the opening forty-five minutes, with Sandefjord taking their 2-1 advantage into the halftime break and holding onto it until the final whistle. The final result did not align with pre-match market expectations. KFUM entered the contest as the favorites, holding a 42.2% implied win probability. Meanwhile, the likelihood of a draw was set at 27%, and a Sandefjord win stood at just 30.8%. Consequently, the away side's victory represents a significant deviation from the betting market, marking a 69.2% deviation percentage driven by Sandefjord. On the pitch, KFUM controlled the ball, finishing with 54% possession compared to Sandefjord's 46%. Because expected goals (xG) data was not available for this fixture, it could not be determined if the outcome was consistent with the underlying chance creation. However, the overall efficiency shift was completely in line with expectations. Furthermore, the match was completed without any red card incidents, ensuring numerical disadvantages played no role in the final outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Sandefjord showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
?. Simon Ytterland
?. Simon Ytterland
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.41
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.28
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
M. Hafezi
M. Hafezi
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.41
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.28
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
E. Hareland
E. Hareland
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.41
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.28
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
M. Grøtta
M. Grøtta
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 15.41
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.28
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
KFUM J. Moesgaard
J. Moesgaard
VS
Sandefjord A. Tegström
A. Tegström
0.63
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.56
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredrikstad Rank: 61 L
Start Rank: 50 W
Sandefjord Rank: 61 L
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 84 L
Brann Rank: 68 D
Haugesund Rank: 42 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 L
Vålerenga Rank: 59 L
KFUM Rank: 56 W
Strømsgodset Rank: 49 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 W
HamKam Rank: 58 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home KFUM
42.2%
Draw
27.02%
Away Sandefjord
30.79%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.43
60.71
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
KFUM
Sandefjord
Power Score
56.43
60.71
League Position
9
11
Global Rank
576
438

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
KFUM — Opponent-weighted form score
Sandefjord — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) KFUM Sandefjord

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

KFUM

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sandefjord

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

KFUM ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sandefjord
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.37
33.37
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.37
20.37
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
KFUM -1.30 Efficiency Index
vs
Sandefjord +1.30 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
KFUM
Sandefjord
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

KFUM ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sandefjord
Created Set-piece attacking threat
KFUM Sandefjord
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
KFUM Sandefjord
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
KFUM
Sandefjord
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
KFUM
vs
Sandefjord
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
KFUM Sandefjord
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
KFUM 0.23
Sandefjord 0.52
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
KFUM Sandefjord
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
KFUM 0.07
Sandefjord 0.03
KFUM
Sandefjord
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

KFUM KFUM Home
4 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
1
Goals
7
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
7
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-08T00:01:45+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
H. Grøntvedt Jensen
Norway
25 H. Grøntvedt Jensen
H. Hoseth
Substitution
Norway
14 H. Hoseth
D. Schneider
Norway
2 D. Schneider
F. Berglie
Norway
5 F. Berglie
E. Franke Saunes
Norway
19 E. Franke Saunes
J. Lange Hjorth
Norway
16 J. Lange Hjorth
M. Vinjor
Norway
9 M. Vinjor
S. Hestnes
Norway
8 S. Hestnes
R. Rasch
Substitution
Norway
7 R. Rasch
R. Eggen Vinge
Substitution
Norway
18 R. Eggen Vinge
T. Haltvik
Norway
17 T. Haltvik
E. Hadaya
Sweden
30 E. Hadaya
V. Walle Egeli
Norway
3 V. Walle Egeli
X. Lambrix
Belgium
44 X. Lambrix
Z. Smajlovic
Sweden
2 Z. Smajlovic
F. Pedersen
Substitution
Norway
4 F. Pedersen
S. Mørk
Substitution
Norway
6 S. Mørk
E. Sundbö Pettersen
Substitution
Norway
14 E. Sundbö Pettersen
J. Dunsby
Norway
27 J. Dunsby
J. Vester Nielsen
Substitution
Denmark
37 J. Vester Nielsen
E. Patoulidis
Substitution
Belgium
7 E. Patoulidis
N. Moller
Sweden
11 N. Moller

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 07, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
KFUM Arena
Capacity
1500
Attendance
1365
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Øystein Simon Ytterland
Mohammad Hafezi
Erland Hareland
Marius Hansen Grøtta

Statistics

Possession
KFUM
51%
Sandefjord
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 2
9 Shots 14
40 Dangerous attacks 27
54 Possession 46
9 Corners 5
14 Free kicks 6
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

25 Throwins 20
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53
1 Assists 1
6 Goal Kicks 7
2 Successful Dribbles 10
0 Penalties 1
92 Ball Safe 105
5 Goal Attempts 8
3 Substitutions 5
6 Dribble Attempts 19
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

103 Attacks 98
2 Counter Attacks 5
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

80 Successful Passes Percentage 76
497 Passes 432
399 Successful Passes 327
6 Key Passes 8
54 Long Passes 98
14 Successful Long Passes 36
26 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37

Defensive

11 Interceptions 13
52 Duels Won 42
17 Tackles 16
4 Saves 0

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 10
6 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

7 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI ▼

25
Havar Jensen
Havar Jensen Goalkeeper
2
Daniel Schneider
Daniel Schneider Defender
5
Fredrik Berglie
Fredrik Berglie Defender
14
Håkon Helland Hoseth
Håkon Helland Hoseth Defender
21
S. Sjøkvist
S. Sjøkvist
Defender61'
16
Jonas Lange Hjorth
Jonas Lange Hjorth Defender
19
Eirik Saunes
Eirik Saunes Defender
7
Robin Rasch
Robin Rasch Midfielder
22
Bjørn Martin Kristensen
Bjørn Martin Kristensen
Attacker46'
8
Simen Hestnes
Simen Hestnes Midfielder
9
Martin Tangen Vinjor
Martin Tangen Vinjor Midfielder
18
Rasmus Eggen Vinge
Rasmus Eggen Vinge Midfielder
23
Magnus Wolff Eikrem
Magnus Wolff Eikrem
Midfielder61'
17
Teodor Berg Haltvik
Teodor Berg Haltvik Attacker
Referee : Marius Hansen Grøtta

Starting XI ▼

30
Elias Hadaya
Elias Hadaya Goalkeeper
2
Zinedin Smajlović
Zinedin Smajlović Defender
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
Vetle Walle Egeli Defender
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Fredrik Carson Pedersen Defender
26
Filip Loftesnes-Bjune
Filip Loftesnes-Bjune
Defender83'
44
Xander Lambrix
Xander Lambrix Defender
6
Sander Risan Mørk
Sander Risan Mørk Midfielder
47
Stian Kristiansen
Stian Kristiansen
Defender90+1'
7
Evangelos Patoulidis
Evangelos Patoulidis Midfielder
19
Bendik Berntsen
Bendik Berntsen
Attacker83'
14
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen Midfielder
20
Marcus Melchior
Marcus Melchior
Midfielder83'
27
Jakob Dunsby
Jakob Dunsby Midfielder
37
Jakob Vester
Jakob Vester Midfielder
10
Ruben Alte
Ruben Alte
Midfielder64'
11
Nikolaj Möller
Nikolaj Möller Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Fredrik Berglie
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+9'
90+1'
Event
Stian Kristiansen → Sander Risan Mørk
8th Substitution
83'
Event
Bendik Berntsen → Evangelos Patoulidis
5th Substitution
83'
Event
Filip Loftesnes-Bjune → Fredrik Carson Pedersen
6th Substitution
83'
Event
Marcus Melchior → Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Nikolaj Möller
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
64'
Event
Ruben Alte → Jakob Vester
4th Substitution
Event
Magnus Wolff Eikrem → Rasmus Eggen Vinge
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
S. Sjøkvist → Håkon Helland Hoseth
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Bjørn Martin Kristensen
Goal disallowed
49'
Event
Bjørn Martin Kristensen → Robin Rasch
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
30'
Event
Evangelos Patoulidis
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
Event
Teodor Berg Haltvik
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
16'
5'
Event
Jakob Vester
Header / 1st Goal
2'
Event
Jakob Dunsby
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Sandefjord exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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