Huesca vs Cultural Leonesa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio El Alcoraz Wed, 1 Apr - 6:00 PM
La Liga 2
Huesca HUE
1 – 1
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
Full Time Wed, 1 Apr 6:00 PM
Round 33 Regular Season
Eneko Satrústegui - 30' (Own Goal)
Goal
|
Goal
Rafa Tresaco - 8'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished with Huesca and Cultural Leonesa playing out a 1-1 draw. Both sides found the back of the net in the opening period, going into the half-time break locked at one goal apiece, and neither team could find a decisive winner in the second half. This stalemate represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, serving as a frustrating result for Huesca. The home side entered the contest as the clear favorites with a 44% implied probability of victory, while a draw was priced at 29.8% and an away win at 26.2%. Consequently, the final outcome did not align with the pre-match market, resulting in a notable underperformance from the favored hosts. Although expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to evaluate if the draw aligned with the true quality of chances, possession metrics reflected a closely fought battle. Cultural Leonesa edged the ball control with 53% compared to Huesca's 47%. Offensive efficiency for both sides was evaluated as being in line with standard expectations. Finally, the match flowed without any severe disciplinary disruptions, as the fixture concluded with zero red cards shown.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Huesca showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Bestard Servera
L. Bestard Servera
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.08
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.12
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.29
V. Jiménez Yustos
V. Jiménez Yustos
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.08
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.12
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.29
V. Almarche González
V. Almarche González
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.08
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.12
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.29
F. Ortega Herrera
F. Ortega Herrera
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 17
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 4.08
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.12
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.29
Huesca J. Oltra Castañer
J. Oltra Castañer
VS
Cultural Leonesa R. De La Barrera Fernández
R. De La Barrera Fernández
0.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Albacete Rank: 66 D
Real Valladolid Rank: 61 L
Mirandés Rank: 58 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 W
Sporting Gijón Rank: 64 L
Cádiz Rank: 59 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Las Palmas Rank: 69 L
Leganés Rank: 66 D
Real Zaragoza Rank: 60 D
Málaga Rank: 68 L
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: 68 L
Ceuta Rank: 61 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Huesca
43.98%
Draw
29.83%
Away Cultural Leonesa
26.2%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.26
53.91
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Huesca
Cultural Leonesa
Power Score
58.26
53.91
League Position
20
22
Global Rank
515
541

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Huesca — Opponent-weighted form score
Cultural Leonesa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Huesca Cultural Leonesa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Huesca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Cultural Leonesa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Huesca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cultural Leonesa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.19
39.15
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
39.15
23.19
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Huesca -1.61 Efficiency Index
vs
Cultural Leonesa +1.61 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Huesca
Cultural Leonesa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Huesca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cultural Leonesa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Huesca Cultural Leonesa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Huesca Cultural Leonesa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Huesca
Cultural Leonesa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Huesca HUE Home
4 matches
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
6
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-02T00:01:05+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Jiménez López
Spain
13 D. Jiménez López
A. Carrillo Alacid
Spain
4 A. Carrillo Alacid
I. Sebastián Magaña
Spain
5 I. Sebastián Magaña
J. Pulido Mayoral
Spain
14 J. Pulido Mayoral
J. Martín Camuñas
Spain
8 J. Martín Camuñas
Ó. Sielva Moreno
Substitution
Spain
23 Ó. Sielva Moreno
J. Seoane Valenciano
Substitution
Spain
10 J. Seoane Valenciano
D. Ojeda Saranova
Substitution
Spain
21 D. Ojeda Saranova
F. Portillo Soler
Spain
20 F. Portillo Soler
L. Beltrán Martínez
Substitution
Spain
11 L. Beltrán Martínez
S. Enrich Ametller
Substitution
Spain
9 S. Enrich Ametller
E. Badía Guardiola
Spain
13 E. Badía Guardiola
R. Hinojo Estrada
Spain
21 R. Hinojo Estrada
E. Satrústegui Plano
Substitution
Spain
3 E. Satrústegui Plano
R. Suárez Marcos
Spain
4 R. Suárez Marcos
V. García Hernández
Venezuela
24 V. García Hernández
S. Maestre García
Spain
6 S. Maestre García
T. Ojeda
Substitution
Argentina
28 T. Ojeda
R. Tresaco Blasco
Substitution
Spain
20 R. Tresaco Blasco
L. Rodríguez Chacón
Spain
10 L. Rodríguez Chacón
I. Calero Ruiz
Substitution
Spain
17 I. Calero Ruiz
L. Ribeiro Costa
Substitution
Brazil
15 L. Ribeiro Costa

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 01, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Estadio El Alcoraz
Capacity
9100
Attendance
5592
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Lluís Bestard Servera
Víctor Jiménez Yustos
Vicente Javier Almarche González
Francisco José Ortega Herrera

Statistics

Possession
HUE
46%
Cultural Leonesa
54%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
0 Big Chances Created 2
4 Shots 8
38 Dangerous attacks 55
47 Possession 53
5 Corners 5
13 Free kicks 12
6 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

8 Goal Attempts 14
75 Ball Safe 77
1 Injuries 0
23 Throwins 21
5 Substitutions 5
8 Dribble Attempts 11
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 64
0 Assists 1
5 Successful Dribbles 7
10 Goal Kicks 8

Attacking

77 Attacks 88
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

3 Key Passes 15
74 Successful Passes Percentage 80
48 Long Passes 50
361 Passes 414
266 Successful Passes 333
14 Successful Long Passes 13
29 Successful Long Passes Percentage 26

Defensive

5 Saves 2
14 Tackles 14
9 Interceptions 6

Build-up

1 Accurate Crosses 3
19 Total Crosses 14

Discipline

5 Fouls 9
4 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Lluís Bestard Servera

Starting XI ▼

13
Dani Jiménez
Dani Jiménez Goalkeeper
4
Álvaro Carrillo
Álvaro Carrillo Defender
5
Piña
Piña Defender
8
Jordi Martín
Jordi Martín Defender
14
Jorge Pulido
Jorge Pulido Defender
10
Jaime Seoane
Jaime Seoane Midfielder
22
Michael Agbekpornu
Michael Agbekpornu
Midfielder79'
11
Liberto Beltrán
Liberto Beltrán Midfielder
7
Jordi Escobar
Jordi Escobar
Attacker79'
20
Francisco Portillo
Francisco Portillo Midfielder
21
Dani Ojeda
Dani Ojeda Midfielder
19
Ignacio Laquintana
Ignacio Laquintana
Midfielder17'
23
Óscar Sielva
Óscar Sielva Midfielder
6
Javi Mier
Javi Mier
Midfielder46'
9
Sergi Enrich
Sergi Enrich Attacker
18
Enol Rodríguez
Enol Rodríguez
Attacker62'
Referee : Lluís Bestard Servera

Starting XI ▼

13
Edgar Badia
Edgar Badia Goalkeeper
3
Eneko Satrústegui
Eneko Satrústegui Defender
16
Tomás Ribeiro
Tomás Ribeiro
Defender66'
4
Rodri Suárez
Rodri Suárez Defender
21
Roger Hinojo
Roger Hinojo Defender
24
Víctor García
Víctor García Defender
6
Sergi Maestre
Sergi Maestre Midfielder
10
Luis Chacón
Luis Chacón Midfielder
17
Iván Calero
Iván Calero Midfielder
19
Rubén Sobrino
Rubén Sobrino
Attacker78'
20
Rafa Tresaco
Rafa Tresaco Midfielder
12
Homam Al-Amin
Homam Al-Amin
Defender78'
28
Thiago Ojeda
Thiago Ojeda Midfielder
14
Bicho
Bicho
Midfielder63'
15
Lucas Ribeiro
Lucas Ribeiro Attacker
7
Diego Collado
Diego Collado
Attacker63'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jordi Escobar
Foul / 10th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Jordi Martín
Foul / 9th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Jordi Escobar → Liberto Beltrán
10th Substitution
79'
Event
Michael Agbekpornu → Jaime Seoane
9th Substitution
79'
78'
Event
Rubén Sobrino → Iván Calero
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Homam Al-Amin → Rafa Tresaco
7th Substitution
75'
Event
11th Yellowcard
75'
Event
Rafa Tresaco
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
Event
Álvaro Carrillo
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
72'
66'
Event
Tomás Ribeiro → Eneko Satrústegui
6th Substitution
Event
Javi Mier
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
64'
63'
Event
Bicho → Thiago Ojeda
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Diego Collado → Lucas Ribeiro
5th Substitution
Event
Enol Rodríguez → Sergi Enrich
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Javi Mier → Óscar Sielva
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Ignacio Laquintana
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
42'
42'
Event
Roger Hinojo
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
36'
Event
Eneko Satrústegui
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Eneko Satrústegui
Header / 1st Own Goal
30'
Event
Ignacio Laquintana → Dani Ojeda
1st Substitution
17'
Event
Jorge Pulido
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
13'
13'
Event
Thiago Ojeda
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
8'
Event
Rafa Tresaco
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Huesca exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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