Hellas Verona vs Lecce Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Sat, 25 Apr - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Hellas Verona VER
Versus
Lecce LEC
KICKOFF : Sat, 25 Apr - 6:45 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Hellas Verona host Lecce in Serie A (Regular Season) at Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi. Domestically, Hellas Verona sit 19th in the table while Lecce are 18th. Power ranking favours Hellas Verona by 2.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hellas Verona enjoys a 2.2-point power advantage over Lecce with scores of 14.44 to 12.22.
  • Form: Verona's form score stands at 12, superior to Lecce's 6.67.
  • Squad: No specific squad updates available for either team.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data not provided.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and missing xG.
  • xVariable: xG variables absent for both teams.
  • Market: Hellas Verona 42.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 30.6% (Δ+0%) | Lecce 26.7% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hellas Verona P. Sammarco
P. Sammarco
VS
Lecce E. Di Francesco
E. Di Francesco
0.58
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.85
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
AC Milan Rank: D
Torino Rank: L
Fiorentina Rank: L
Atalanta Rank: L
Genoa Rank: L
Bologna Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fiorentina Rank: D
Bologna Rank: L
Atalanta Rank: L
Roma Rank: L
Napoli Rank: L
Cremonese Rank: W
5
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
5 - 4 - 4
4
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hellas Verona
42.71%
Draw
30.6%
Away Lecce
26.69%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
14.44
12.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hellas Verona
Lecce
Power Score
14.44
12.22
League Position
19
18
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hellas Verona — Opponent-weighted form score
Lecce — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hellas Verona Lecce

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hellas Verona VER Home
13 matches
Lecce LEC Away
Match Record
5
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
5
Goals
13
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
13
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T03:02:28+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 25, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Capacity
39045
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Lorenzo Montipò
Lorenzo Montipò Goalkeeper
34
Simone Perilli
Simone Perilli Goalkeeper
94
Giacomo Toniolo
Giacomo Toniolo Goalkeeper
15
Victor Nelsson
Victor Nelsson Defender
3
Martin Frese
Martin Frese Defender
14
Pol Mikel Lirola Kosok
Pol Mikel Lirola Kosok Defender
5
Andrias Edmundsson
Andrias Edmundsson Defender
12
Domagoj Bradarić
Domagoj Bradarić Defender
37
Armel Bella-Kotchap
Armel Bella-Kotchap Defender
2
Daniel Oyegoke
Daniel Oyegoke Defender
7
Rafik Belghali
Rafik Belghali Defender
6
Nicolás Valentini
Nicolás Valentini Defender
19
Tobias Slotsager
Tobias Slotsager Defender
70
Fallou Cham
Fallou Cham Defender
21
Abdoulrahmane Harroui
Abdoulrahmane Harroui Midfielder
8
Suat Serdar
Suat Serdar Midfielder
4
Sandi Lovric
Sandi Lovric Midfielder
11
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro
Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro Midfielder
63
Roberto Gagliardini
Roberto Gagliardini Midfielder
73
Almoatasembellah Ali Mohamed Elmusrati
Almoatasembellah Ali Mohamed Elmusrati Midfielder
24
Antoine Joseph Emmanuel Bernede
Antoine Joseph Emmanuel Bernede Midfielder
36
Cheikh Ahmet Tidian Niasse
Cheikh Ahmet Tidian Niasse Midfielder
10
Tomáš Suslov
Tomáš Suslov Midfielder
25
Daniel Fernando Mosquera Bonilla
Daniel Fernando Mosquera Bonilla Attacker
18
Kieran Bowie
Kieran Bowie Attacker
9
Amin Sarr
Amin Sarr Attacker
16
Gift Emmanuel Orban
Gift Emmanuel Orban Attacker
72
Junior Ajayi
Junior Ajayi Attacker
41
Isaac Aguiar Tomich
Isaac Aguiar Tomich Attacker

Squad ▼

30
Wladimiro Falcone
Wladimiro Falcone Goalkeeper
1
Christian Früchtl
Christian Früchtl Goalkeeper
32
Jasper Samooja
Jasper Samooja Goalkeeper
25
Antonino Gallo
Antonino Gallo Defender
18
Gaby Jean
Gaby Jean Defender
3
Corrie Ndaba
Corrie Ndaba Defender
5
Jamil Siebert
Jamil Siebert Defender
17
Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga
Danilo Filipe Melo Veiga Defender
4
K. Gaspar
K. Gaspar Defender
44
Tiago Gabriel Coelho Oliveira
Tiago Gabriel Coelho Oliveira Defender
13
Matías Rodrigo Pérez Sepúlveda
Matías Rodrigo Pérez Sepúlveda Defender
20
Ylber Ramadani
Ylber Ramadani Midfielder
29
Lassana Coulibaly
Lassana Coulibaly Midfielder
14
Thórir Jóhann Helgason
Thórir Jóhann Helgason Midfielder
36
Filip Marchwiński
Filip Marchwiński Midfielder
6
Álex Sala Herrero
Álex Sala Herrero Midfielder
16
Omri Gandelman
Omri Gandelman Midfielder
8
Sadik Fofana
Sadik Fofana Midfielder
79
Oumar Ngom
Oumar Ngom Midfielder
10
Medon Berisha
Medon Berisha Midfielder
23
Riccardo Sottil
Riccardo Sottil Attacker
19
Lameck Banda
Lameck Banda Attacker
11
Konan Ignace Jocelyn N’dri
Konan Ignace Jocelyn N’dri Attacker
50
Santiago Pierotti
Santiago Pierotti Attacker
99
Walid Cheddira
Walid Cheddira Attacker
9
Nikola Štulić
Nikola Štulić Attacker
22
Francesco Camarda
Francesco Camarda Attacker

CONCLUSION

Hellas Verona enter as marginal favourites, leveraging their power and form edges at home against a faltering Lecce. In a battle of the bottom-dwellers, the hosts' 2.2-point superiority and superior recent showings tilt the scales, though both sides' defensive frailties could spark goals. Absent set-piece insights leave room for surprises, but Verona's projected 42.6% win share captures the narrow contest. Expect a gritty encounter where home resolve shines, potentially easing Verona's relegation woes while piling pressure on Lecce.

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