Häcken vs Brommapojkarna Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Nordic Wellness Arena Mon, 6 Apr - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Häcken HAC
2 – 2
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna
Full Time Mon, 6 Apr 12:00 PM
Round 1 Regular Season
Adrian Svanbäck - 47'
Jordan Simpson - 71' (Own Goal)
Goal
|
Goal
Lukas Björklund - 8'
Andreas Troelsen - 89'

CONTEXT

The match has officially finished in a 2-2 draw between Häcken and Brommapojkarna. The visitors surprisingly held a 1-0 advantage at half-time, but a lively second half eventually saw the sides share the spoils. This full-time result represents a significant deviation for Häcken, who entered the fixture as the clear stronger team. Pre-match market expectations gave the home side a dominant 58.2% chance of victory, compared to just a 22.9% probability for a draw and 19% for an away win. Consequently, the final outcome completely failed to align with the pre-match market. On the pitch, Häcken controlled the tempo, commanding 61% of the possession while Brommapojkarna managed 39% of the ball. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to determine if the 2-2 outcome truly aligned with the underlying chances created. Nevertheless, the overall efficiency shift was deemed perfectly in line with standard expectations for both squads. Finally, the match was contested cleanly with no red cards issued, meaning disciplinary events did not artificially impact the flow of the game or the eventual draw.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Häcken showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
P. Lindh
P. Lindh
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.38
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
O. Johnson
O. Johnson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.38
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
A. Spahić
A. Spahić
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.38
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
A. Milovanovic
A. Milovanovic
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.38
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 1.81
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.06
Häcken J. Gustafsson
J. Gustafsson
VS
Brommapojkarna U. Kristiansson
U. Kristiansson
0.75
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
0.75 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mjällby Rank: 70 L
Malmö FF Rank: 62 D
AIK Rank: 58 D
Sirius Rank: 59 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Degerfors Rank: 45 L
Halmstad Rank: 48 D
GAIS Rank: 59 L
Värnamo Rank: 43 D
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 0 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Häcken
58.18%
Draw
22.88%
Away Brommapojkarna
18.95%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
56.72
48.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Häcken
Brommapojkarna
Power Score
56.72
48.33
League Position
8
7
Global Rank
570
792

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Häcken — Opponent-weighted form score
Brommapojkarna — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Häcken Brommapojkarna

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Häcken

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brommapojkarna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Häcken ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brommapojkarna
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
32.95
22.69
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.69
32.95
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Häcken +1.07 Efficiency Index
vs
Brommapojkarna -1.07 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Häcken
Brommapojkarna
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Häcken ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brommapojkarna
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Häcken Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Häcken Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Häcken
Brommapojkarna
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Häcken
vs
Brommapojkarna
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Häcken Brommapojkarna
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Häcken 0.27
Brommapojkarna 0.19
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Häcken Brommapojkarna
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Häcken 0.05
Brommapojkarna 0.03
Häcken
Brommapojkarna
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 18 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Häcken HAC Home
18 matches
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna Away
Match Record
11
Wins
7
0
Draws
0
7
Losses
11
Goals
44
Goals Scored
23
23
Goals Conceded
44
+21
Goal Difference
-21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-07T00:01:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
D. Andersson
Sweden
35 D. Andersson
B. Wembangomo
Norway
5 B. Wembangomo
J. Hammar
Sweden
3 J. Hammar
F. Helander
Sweden
22 F. Helander
A. Lundqvist
Sweden
21 A. Lundqvist
S. Andersen
Denmark
8 S. Andersen
A. Doumbia
Substitution
Ivory Coast
6 A. Doumbia
A. Layouni
Substitution
Tunisia
24 A. Layouni
J. Lindberg
Sweden
11 J. Lindberg
S. Ngabo
Substitution
Denmark
7 S. Ngabo
A. Svanbäck
Substitution
Sweden
20 A. Svanbäck
K. Cavallius
1 K. Cavallius
O. Zandén
Sweden
6 O. Zandén
A. Troelsen
Denmark
3 A. Troelsen
J. Simpson
Sweden
23 J. Simpson
A. Andersson
Sweden
21 A. Andersson
O. Okeke
Substitution
Norway
7 O. Okeke
K. Ackermann
Sweden
24 K. Ackermann
K. Barslund
Substitution
Denmark
27 K. Barslund
M. Hansen
Denmark
9 M. Hansen
L. Björklund
Substitution
Sweden
30 L. Björklund
O. Berg
Substitution
Norway
10 O. Berg

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 06, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Nordic Wellness Arena
Capacity
7000
Attendance
4104
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Philip Lindh
Oscar Johnson
Almira Spahić
Alexander Milovanovic

Statistics

Possession
HAC
60%
Brommapojkarna
40%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 3
8 Shots 1
62 Dangerous attacks 37
61 Possession 39
6 Corners 3
17 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

26 Ball Safe 33
8 Goal Attempts 3
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
2 Goal Kicks 12
26 Throwins 19
1 Assists 2
25 Dribble Attempts 17
11 Successful Dribbles 5
1 Hit Woodwork 0
4 Substitutions 4

Attacking

130 Attacks 56
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

32 Long Passes 49
606 Passes 379
534 Successful Passes 292
88 Successful Passes Percentage 77
11 Key Passes 5
41 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
13 Successful Long Passes 18

Defensive

15 Tackles 22
55 Duels Won 53
12 Interceptions 5
1 Saves 2

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 15
6 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

13 Fouls 17
0 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI ▼

35
David Andersson
David Andersson Goalkeeper
3
Johan Hammar
Johan Hammar Defender
5
Brice Wembangomo
Brice Wembangomo Defender
21
Adam Lundkvist
Adam Lundkvist Defender
22
Filip Helander
Filip Helander Defender
6
Abdoulaye Doumbia
Abdoulaye Doumbia Midfielder
10
Mikkel Rygaard
Mikkel Rygaard
Midfielder71'
7
Sanders Ngabo
Sanders Ngabo Midfielder
9
G. Lindgren
G. Lindgren
Attacker61'
8
Silas Andersen
Silas Andersen Midfielder
11
Julius Lindberg
Julius Lindberg Midfielder
24
Amor Layouni
Amor Layouni Midfielder
14
Jeremy Agbonifo
Jeremy Agbonifo
Attacker71'
20
Adrian Svanbäck
Adrian Svanbäck Attacker
19
David Seger
David Seger
Midfielder86'
Referee : Oscar Johnson

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Cavallius
Leo Cavallius Goalkeeper
3
Andreas Troelsen
Andreas Troelsen Defender
6
Oliver Zandén
Oliver Zandén Defender
21
Alex Timossi Andersson
Alex Timossi Andersson Defender
23
Jordan Simpson
Jordan Simpson Defender
7
Obilor Denzel Okeke
Obilor Denzel Okeke Midfielder
33
Sion Oppong
Sion Oppong
Attacker79'
9
Mads Hansen
Mads Hansen Midfielder
24
Kevin Ackermann
Kevin Ackermann Midfielder
27
Kaare Barslund
Kaare Barslund Midfielder
16
Simon Strand
Simon Strand
Defender79'
10
Oliver Berg
Oliver Berg Attacker
34
David Isso
David Isso
Attacker67'
30
Lukas Björklund
Lukas Björklund Attacker
5
Serge-Junior Ngouali
Serge-Junior Ngouali
Midfielder90+4'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Serge-Junior Ngouali → Lukas Björklund
8th Substitution
Event
Adam Lundkvist
3rd Yellowcard
90+1'
89'
Event
Andreas Troelsen
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
David Seger → Adrian Svanbäck
7th Substitution
86'
79'
Event
Sion Oppong → Obilor Denzel Okeke
5th Substitution
79'
Event
Simon Strand → Kaare Barslund
6th Substitution
Event
Filip Helander
2nd Yellowcard
78'
78'
Event
Lukas Björklund
1st Yellowcard
Event
Jordan Simpson
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
71'
Event
Mikkel Rygaard → Abdoulaye Doumbia
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Jeremy Agbonifo → Amor Layouni
3rd Substitution
71'
67'
Event
David Isso → Oliver Berg
2nd Substitution
Event
G. Lindgren → Sanders Ngabo
1st Substitution
61'
Event
Adrian Svanbäck
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
47'
1ST-HALF
8'
Event
Lukas Björklund
Header / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Häcken exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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