Granada vs Almería Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes Sun, 26 Apr - 2:15 PM

La Liga 2

Granada GRA

Almería ALM

KICKOFF : Sun, 26 Apr - 2:15 PM

Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Granada faces Almería at Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes in a La Liga 2 regular season matchup during the 2025/2026 campaign. The visitors hold stronger credentials, ranking 3rd in the league compared to the hosts' 13th position. Almería's power score of 28.29 outpaces Granada's 24.65, translating to a 3.6-point advantage that underscores their overall superiority. Form figures reinforce this gap, with Almería at 21.22 against Granada's 18.83. Detailed set piece analytics remain unavailable, relying on low-confidence proxies without xG data. Absent recent outing specifics, Granada must leverage home advantage to challenge Almería's promotion aspirations. This encounter pits mid-table stability against top-tier momentum, promising tactical intrigue.

TL;DR

Structural: Almería claims a 3.6-point power advantage and 3rd-place standing over Granada's 13th.
Form: Visitors edge form metrics at 21.22 versus hosts' 18.83 score.
Squad: Power ratings highlight Almería's squad strength at 28.29 against Granada's 24.65.
Efficiency: No efficiency data provided for either side.
Transition: Transition play metrics unavailable in current dataset.
Set pieces: Set piece stats use low-confidence proxies without xG availability.
xVariable: xG-related variables absent due to data limitations.
Market: Baseline split: Granada 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Almería 0% (Δ+0%).

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Jan 25 vs Team A

Feb 1 vs Team B

Feb 8 vs Team C

J. Rojo Martín

J. Ferrer Sicilia

1.4

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.77

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

3 - 4 - 6

No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Granada

Draw

Almería

Team Power Ranking

24.65

28.29

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Granada

Almería

Power Score

24.65

28.29

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Granada — Opponent-weighted form score

Almería — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Granada Almería

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Granada GRA Home

13 matches

Almería ALM Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-8

Goal Difference

Expected Goals

xGA

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T02:08:46+00:00

General Information

Date & Time

Apr 26, 2026, 02:15 PM

Competition

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium

Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes

Capacity

19189

Pitch Surface

Grass

Weather

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Manager ▼

J. Rojo Martín Coach

Squad ▼

Luca Zinedine Zidane Goalkeeper

Ander Astralaga Aranguren Goalkeeper

Álvaro Lemos Collazo Defender

Bambo Diaby Defender

Manuel Lama Maroto Defender

Baila Diallo Defender

Loic Williams Ntambue Kayumba Defender

Pau Casadesús Castro Defender

Diego Hormigo Iturralde Defender

Oscar Naasei Oppong Defender

Manuel Trigueros Muñoz Midfielder

Rubén Alcaraz Jiménez Midfielder

Sergio Ruiz Alonso Midfielder

Pedro Alemañ Serna Midfielder

Luka Gagnidze Midfielder

Izan González Muñoz Midfielder

José Manuel Arnáiz Díaz Attacker

Alex Sola López Ocaña Attacker

Mohamed Bouldini Attacker

Pablo Saenz Ezquerra Attacker

Jorge Pascual Medina Attacker

Sergio Rodelas Pintor Attacker

Gonzalo Petit Abad Attacker

Babacar Diocou Ndiaye Attacker

Manager ▼

J. Ferrer Sicilia Coach

Squad ▼

Andrés Eduardo Fernández Moreno Goalkeeper

Fernando Martínez Rubio Goalkeeper

Bruno Iribarne Aleman Goalkeeper

Rodrigo Ely Defender

Nélson Macedo Monte Defender

Alejandro José Muñoz Miguel Defender

Juan Brandariz Movilla Defender

Alejandro Centelles Plaza Defender

Federico Bonini Defender

Marcos Luna Marcos Ruiz Defender

D. Chirino Defender

Pedro Fidel Defender

André Filipe Luz Horta Midfielder

Iddrisu Baba Mohammed Midfielder

Arnau Puigmal Martínez Midfielder

Nicolás Melamed Ribaudo Midfielder

Dion Lopy Midfielder

Sergio Arribas Calvo Midfielder

Guilherme Borges Guedes Midfielder

Stefan Dzodic Midfielder

Leonardo Carrilho Baptistão Attacker

Adrián Embarba Blázquez Attacker

Miguel De la Fuente Escudero Attacker

Serge Patrick Njoh Soko Attacker

—

Ibrahima Koné Attacker

Jon Morcillo Conesa Attacker

Thalys Henrique Gomes de Araújo Attacker

CONCLUSION

Almería arrives as the form and power favorite, poised to exploit Granada's mid-table vulnerabilities at home. With superior league position and metrics across key areas, the visitors target vital points in their ascent. Granada's challenge lies in disrupting transitions and maximizing set opportunities despite data gaps. Expect a competitive affair where Almería's edge could prevail through structured play and efficiency. Home crowd support offers Granada a fighting chance, but Almería's momentum suggests control.

STANDINGS

CONTEXT