Göztepe vs Galatasaray Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir) Wed, 8 Apr - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Göztepe GOZ
1 Winner 3
Galatasaray GAL
Full Time Wed, 8 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 27 Regular Season
Juan - 50'
Goal
|
Goal
Barış Alper Yılmaz - 5'
Allan Godói - 19' (Own Goal)
Mario Lemina - 75'

CONTEXT

This finished game saw Galatasaray overcome Göztepe with a final score of 3-1 in favor of the away team. The visitors took a commanding 2-0 lead into half-time, ensuring the match was not even at the break. Galatasaray added to their tally in the second half while the home side scored a single goal. As the stronger team, they converted their superiority into a victory. Possession statistics revealed a clear imbalance with Galatasaray holding 68 percent of the ball to Göztepe's 32 percent. The match proceeded without any red cards being issued to either team. Pre-match market odds gave Galatasaray a 51.8 percent chance of winning compared to 21.5 percent for Göztepe and 26.7 percent for the draw. This resulted in a significant deviation of 48.2 percent aligned with the Galatasaray victory, confirming that the market was in line with the eventual outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Significant structural deviation favored Galatasaray with dominant 68 percent possession.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing metrics.
  • Event impact: First-half scoring established an early lead that shaped the 3-1 result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued resulting in zero distortion to the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Akarsu
A. Akarsu
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.36
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.69
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.18
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.31
Göztepe S. Stoilov
S. Stoilov
VS
Galatasaray O. Buruk
O. Buruk
1.58
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.21
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 65 W
Alanyaspor Rank: 70 D
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 74 L
Eyüpspor Rank: 62 D
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 L
Kayserispor Rank: 63 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Trabzonspor Rank: 80 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 74 W
Beşiktaş Rank: 77 W
Alanyaspor Rank: 70 W
Konyaspor Rank: 68 L
Eyüpspor Rank: 62 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 12
12

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Göztepe
21.51%
Draw
26.72%
Away Galatasaray
51.77%

Movement

Changes since opening
Göztepe
+21.31%
Draw
+24.8%
Galatasaray
-46.12%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.76
88.4
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Göztepe
Galatasaray
Power Score
72.76
88.4
League Position
5
1
Global Rank
135
18

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Göztepe — Opponent-weighted form score
Galatasaray — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Göztepe Galatasaray

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Göztepe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Galatasaray

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Göztepe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Galatasaray
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
60.00
12.43
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
12.43
60.00
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Göztepe +5.02 Efficiency Index
vs
Galatasaray -5.02 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Göztepe
Galatasaray
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Göztepe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Galatasaray
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Göztepe Galatasaray
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Göztepe Galatasaray
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Göztepe
Galatasaray
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Göztepe
vs
Galatasaray
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Göztepe Galatasaray
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Göztepe 0.39
Galatasaray 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Göztepe Galatasaray
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Göztepe 0.10
Galatasaray 0.02
Göztepe
Galatasaray
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Göztepe GOZ Home
13 matches
Galatasaray GAL Away
Match Record
1
Wins
12
0
Draws
0
12
Losses
1
Goals
11
Goals Scored
28
28
Goals Conceded
11
-17
Goal Difference
+17
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-09T00:00:57+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Lis
Poland
1 M. Lis
A. Godói Santos
Brazil
3 A. Godói Santos
H. dos Santos
Brazil
5 H. dos Santos
T. Altıkardeş
Turkey
4 T. Altıkardeş
A. Kurtulan
Turkey
2 A. Kurtulan
A. Dennis
Substitution
Nigeria
30 A. Dennis
N. Dismas
Tanzania
20 N. Dismas
M. Cherni
France
15 M. Cherni
E. Bekiroglu
Substitution
Germany
11 E. Bekiroglu
J. de Carvalho Costa
Substitution
Brazil
39 J. de Carvalho Costa
Juan
Brazil
9 Juan
U. Çakır
Turkey
1 U. Çakır
E. Elmalı
Substitution
Turkey
17 E. Elmalı
W. Singo
Ivory Coast
90 W. Singo
D. Sánchez Mina
Colombia
6 D. Sánchez Mina
S. Boey
France
93 S. Boey
İ. Gündoğan
Substitution
Germany
20 İ. Gündoğan
M. Lemina
Gabon
99 M. Lemina
R. Sallai
Substitution
Hungary
7 R. Sallai
Y. Asprilla Martínez
Substitution
Colombia
22 Y. Asprilla Martínez
L. Sané
Substitution
Germany
10 L. Sané
B. Yılmaz
Turkey
53 B. Yılmaz

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 08, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium
Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir)
Capacity
20040
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ , Clear
Referees
Alper Akarsu

Statistics

Possession
GOZ
39%
GAL
61%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
4 Big Chances Created 4
6 Shots 0
44 Dangerous attacks 29
32 Possession 68
4 Corners 2
9 Free kicks 13
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Injuries 1
3 Substitutions 5
15 Goal Attempts 5
22 Throwins 16
66 Ball Safe 108
38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
5 Successful Dribbles 5
13 Dribble Attempts 10
5 Goal Kicks 13
1 Assists 2

Attacking

93 Attacks 65
3 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

12 Key Passes 6
230 Passes 506
67 Successful Passes Percentage 82
12 Successful Long Passes 23
154 Successful Passes 413
26 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37
46 Long Passes 63

Defensive

34 Duels Won 51
17 Interceptions 7
9 Tackles 14
2 Saves 5

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 10
4 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

13 Fouls 9
3 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Alper Akarsu

Starting XI ▼

1
Mateusz Lis
Mateusz Lis Goalkeeper
3
Allan Godói
Allan Godói Defender
4
Taha Altıkardeş
Taha Altıkardeş Defender
5
Héliton
Héliton Defender
2
Arda Okan Kurtulan
Arda Okan Kurtulan Midfielder
15
Amin Cherni
Amin Cherni Midfielder
20
Novatus Miroshi
Novatus Miroshi Midfielder
30
Anthony Dennis
Anthony Dennis Midfielder
10
Filip Krastev
Filip Krastev
Midfielder79'
9
Juan
Juan Attacker
11
Efkan Bekiroğlu
Efkan Bekiroğlu Attacker
8
Alexis Antunes
Alexis Antunes
Midfielder73'
39
Janderson
Janderson Attacker
19
Jeh
Jeh
Attacker79'
Referee : Alper Akarsu

Starting XI ▼

1
Uğurcan Çakır
Uğurcan Çakır Goalkeeper
6
Davinson Sánchez
Davinson Sánchez Defender
17
Eren Elmalı
Eren Elmalı Defender
4
Ismail Jakobs
Ismail Jakobs
Defender62'
90
Wilfried Singo
Wilfried Singo Defender
93
Sacha Boey
Sacha Boey Defender
7
Roland Sallai
Roland Sallai Midfielder
23
Kaan Ayhan
Kaan Ayhan
Defender85'
10
Leroy Sané
Leroy Sané Midfielder
9
Mauro Icardi
Mauro Icardi
Attacker85'
20
İlkay Gündoğan
İlkay Gündoğan Midfielder
34
Lucas Torreira
Lucas Torreira
Midfielder79'
22
Yáser Asprilla
Yáser Asprilla Midfielder
8
Gabriel Sara
Gabriel Sara
Midfielder63'
99
Mario Lemina
Mario Lemina Midfielder
53
Barış Alper Yılmaz
Barış Alper Yılmaz Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Barış Alper Yılmaz
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
85'
Event
Kaan Ayhan → Roland Sallai
7th Substitution
85'
Event
Mauro Icardi → Leroy Sané
8th Substitution
Event
Jeh → Janderson
4th Substitution
79'
Event
Filip Krastev → Anthony Dennis
5th Substitution
79'
79'
Event
Lucas Torreira → İlkay Gündoğan
6th Substitution
75'
Event
Mario Lemina
Header / 3rd Goal
Event
Alexis Antunes → Efkan Bekiroğlu
3rd Substitution
73'
63'
Event
Gabriel Sara → Yáser Asprilla
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Ismail Jakobs → Eren Elmalı
1st Substitution
Event
Juan
Header / 2nd Goal
50'
1ST-HALF
19'
Event
Allan Godói
Right foot shot / 1st Own Goal
5'
Event
Barış Alper Yılmaz
Header / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Galatasaray proved to be the stronger side in their away match against Göztepe, securing a 3-1 victory after leading 2-0 at half-time. With a substantial possession advantage, they controlled the flow of the game and fulfilled their role as favorites according to the pre-match probabilities. Although xG data was unavailable for further analysis, the efficiency shift was in line with expectations and the market proved aligned with the result. No red cards were issued during the contest. The significant deviation observed ultimately reflected Galatasaray's clear dominance without any disciplinary distortions affecting the outcome.

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