Göztepe vs Alanyaspor Prediction, Preview and Stats

Turkey flag 2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir) Sat, 14 Mar - 5:00 PM
Super Lig
Göztepe GOZ
2 – 2
Alanyaspor ANY
Full Time Sat, 14 Mar 5:00 PM
Juan - 7'
Janderson - 59'
Goal
|
Goal
Ianis Hagi - 15'
İbrahim Kaya - 90+9'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Göztepe 2–2 Alanyaspor. The match ended in a draw. Göztepe showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 32%–68%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Göztepe showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Çiçek
S. Çiçek
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
M. Şener
M. Şener
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
A. Albayrak
A. Albayrak
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
E. Mertoğlu
E. Mertoğlu
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 13.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.89
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.11
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.26
Göztepe S. Stoilov
S. Stoilov
VS
Alanyaspor N. Pereira Costa
N. Pereira Costa
1.62
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.95
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 74 L
Eyüpspor Rank: 66 D
Beşiktaş Rank: 76 L
Kayserispor Rank: 64 D
Konyaspor Rank: 67 D
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 60 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 65 D
Galatasaray Rank: 88 L
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 75 L
Konyaspor Rank: 67 W
Beşiktaş Rank: 76 D
Eyüpspor Rank: 65 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 6 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Göztepe
44.38%
Draw
29.04%
Away Alanyaspor
26.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.26
68.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Göztepe
Alanyaspor
Power Score
72.26
68.46
League Position
5
11
Global Rank
139
207

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Göztepe — Opponent-weighted form score
Alanyaspor — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Göztepe Alanyaspor

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Göztepe

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Alanyaspor

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Göztepe ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Alanyaspor
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
46.25
29.34
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.34
46.25
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Göztepe +1.84 Efficiency Index
vs
Alanyaspor -1.84 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Göztepe
Alanyaspor
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Göztepe
vs
Alanyaspor
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Göztepe Alanyaspor
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Göztepe Alanyaspor
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Göztepe
Alanyaspor
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Göztepe GOZ Home
7 matches
Alanyaspor ANY Away
Match Record
1
Wins
3
3
Draws
3
3
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
8
8
Goals Conceded
5
-3
Goal Difference
+3
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:24:48+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
M. Lis
Poland
1 (C) M. Lis
A. Godói Santos
Brazil
3 A. Godói Santos
H. dos Santos
Brazil
5 H. dos Santos
M. Mputu
Cameroon
26 M. Mputu
O. Bayrak
Substitution
Turkey
77 O. Bayrak
A. Dennis
Nigeria
30 A. Dennis
N. Dismas
Tanzania
20 N. Dismas
M. Cherni
Substitution
France
15 M. Cherni
A. Antunes
Substitution
Switzerland
8 A. Antunes
J. Marinho dos Santos
Substitution
Brazil
19 J. Marinho dos Santos
Juan
Substitution
Brazil
9 Juan
P. de Mileo Vidotti
Brazil
48 P. de Mileo Vidotti
?. Akdağ
Romania
50 ?. Akdağ
F. Aliti
Kosovo
5 (C) F. Aliti
N. Reis Lima
Substitution
Portugal
3 N. Reis Lima
R. Pereira Duarte
Substitution
Brazil
11 R. Pereira Duarte
N. Janvier
France
17 N. Janvier
G. Makouta
Substitution
France
42 G. Makouta
F. Hadërgjonaj
Kosovo
94 F. Hadërgjonaj
U. Hwang
South Korea
16 U. Hwang
I. Hagi
Substitution
Romania
14 I. Hagi
S. Mounié
Substitution
Benin
9 S. Mounié

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 14, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Super Lig, Turkey
Stadium
Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadı (İzmir)
Capacity
20040
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Samet Çiçek
Murat Şener
Asen Albayrak
E. Mertoğlu

Statistics

Possession
GOZ
38%
ANY
62%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 3
36 Dangerous attacks 59
32 Possession 68
5 Corners 8
6 Free kicks 19
3 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

9 Dribble Attempts 11
8 Goal Kicks 7
12 Goal Attempts 8
2 Injuries 0
89 Ball Safe 110
18 Successful Headers 11
4 Throwins 25
1 Penalties 0
5 Successful Dribbles 4
56 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36
5 Substitutions 5
1 Assists 1

Attacking

80 Attacks 108
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

50 Long Passes 61
71 Successful Passes Percentage 84
234 Passes 500
166 Successful Passes 418
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 56
10 Key Passes 13
17 Successful Long Passes 34

Defensive

15 Tackles 13
15 Interceptions 8
1 Saves 3

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 5
15 Total Crosses 21

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
19 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Asen Albayrak

Starting XI ▼

1
Mateusz Lis
Mateusz Lis (C) Goalkeeper
6.14
3
Allan Godói
Allan Godói Defender
6.61
5
Héliton
Héliton Defender
6.88
26
Malcom Bokele
Malcom Bokele Defender
6.28
15
Amin Cherni
Amin Cherni Midfielder
6.99
6
M. Mohammed
M. Mohammed
Midfielder86'
20
Novatus Miroshi
Novatus Miroshi Midfielder
6.76
30
Anthony Dennis
Anthony Dennis Midfielder
6.74
77
Ogün Bayrak
Ogün Bayrak Midfielder
6.26
2
Arda Okan Kurtulan
Arda Okan Kurtulan
Attacker57'
6.76
8
Alexis Antunes
Alexis Antunes Attacker
7.17
10
Filip Krastev
Filip Krastev
Midfielder57'
7.52
9
Juan
Juan Attacker
7.13
11
Efkan Bekiroğlu
Efkan Bekiroğlu
Midfielder89'
6.05
19
Jeh
Jeh Attacker
6.43
39
Janderson
Janderson
Attacker58'
7.65
Referee : Asen Albayrak

Starting XI ▼

48
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor Goalkeeper
6.96
3
Nuno Lima
Nuno Lima Defender
6.61
27
İbrahim Kaya
İbrahim Kaya
Attacker90+4'
7.21
5
Fidan Aliti
Fidan Aliti (C) Defender
7.73
50
Ümit Akdağ
Ümit Akdağ Defender
6.59
11
Ruan
Ruan Midfielder
6.69
12
Meschack Elia
Meschack Elia
Attacker89'
17
Nicolas Janvier
Nicolas Janvier Midfielder
7.07
42
Gaius Makouta
Gaius Makouta Midfielder
5.79
8
Enes Keskin
Enes Keskin
Midfielder69'
6.68
94
Florent Hadergjonaj
Florent Hadergjonaj Midfielder
6.83
9
Steve Mounié
Steve Mounié Attacker
6.8
10
Güven Yalçın
Güven Yalçın
Attacker69'
6.41
14
Ianis Hagi
Ianis Hagi Attacker
7.99
7
Efecan Karaca
Efecan Karaca
Midfielder89'
16
Ui-jo Hwang
Ui-jo Hwang Attacker
6.74

Events

2ND-HALF
90+9'
Event
İbrahim Kaya
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
90+4'
Event
İbrahim Kaya → Nuno Lima
10th Substitution
Event
Efkan Bekiroğlu → Juan
7th Substitution
89'
89'
Event
Efecan Karaca → Ianis Hagi
9th Substitution
89'
Event
Meschack Elia → Ruan
8th Substitution
Event
M. Mohammed → Amin Cherni
6th Substitution
86'
Event
Novatus Miroshi
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
73'
69'
Event
Enes Keskin → Gaius Makouta
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Güven Yalçın → Steve Mounié
5th Substitution
Event
Janderson
Goal confirmed
62'
61'
Event
Paulo Victor
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Janderson
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
59'
Event
Janderson → Jeh
3rd Substitution
58'
Event
Filip Krastev → Alexis Antunes
1st Substitution
57'
Event
Arda Okan Kurtulan → Ogün Bayrak
2nd Substitution
57'
1ST-HALF
Event
Jeh
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
45+2'
Event
Malcom Bokele
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
39'
39'
Event
Nuno Lima
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
38'
Event
Fidan Aliti
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
15'
Event
Ianis Hagi
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Juan
GoalkeeperSave
7'
Event
Juan
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
7'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Göztepe exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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