Genk vs SC Freiburg Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Europa League, Europe
Europa League
SC Freiburg
SCF
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
The match between Genk and SC Freiburg has finished, resulting in a 0-0 full-time draw. SC Freiburg entered the contest as the stronger team, carrying a 37.6% pre-match win probability compared to Genk's 33%, alongside a 29.4% likelihood of a draw. Because the favorites failed to secure a victory, the final result did not align with the pre-match market. This unexpected outcome represented a significant 70.6% deviation against SC Freiburg. Play on the pitch was exceptionally balanced, perfectly reflected by an even 50-50 possession split between the home and away sides. Expected goals (xG) metrics were unavailable for this fixture, making it impossible to determine if the scoreless outcome was strictly consistent with the quality of scoring opportunities created. However, the teams' post-match efficiency shifts remained entirely in line with expectations. The game proceeded without any major disciplinary disruptions, as no red cards were issued to alter the tactical landscape or give either
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: SC Freiburg showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
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xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
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Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
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xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
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Event impact: No major event distortion.
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Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Genk
SC Freiburg
Team Power Ranking
i
75.87
80.59
Genk
SC Freiburg
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Genk
SC Freiburg
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Genk
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Genk
⚠ Proxy
Genk
SC Freiburg
Genk
SC Freiburg
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-03-13T01:00:50+00:00
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General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
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Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼








Manager ▼
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Match Commentary