FSV Mainz 05 vs Sigma Olomouc Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe
Mewa Arena Thu, 19 Mar - 5:45 PM
Europa Conference League
FSV Mainz 05 M05
2 Winner 0
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc
Full Time Thu, 19 Mar 5:45 PM
Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 0
Stefan Posch - 46'
Armindo Sieb - 82'
Goal
|
|
Second yellow card Péter Baráth 76'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Sigma Olomouc. The result saw FSV Mainz 05 take the points. FSV Mainz 05 showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 54%–46%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: FSV Mainz 05 showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
  • Market: FSV Mainz 05 72.5% | Draw 18.4% | Sigma Olomouc 9.1%.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
FSV Mainz 05 U. Fischer
U. Fischer
VS
Sigma Olomouc T. Janotka
T. Janotka
2.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Samsunspor Rank: 70 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 69 D
Universitatea Craiova Rank: 71 L
Fiorentina Rank: 76 W
Zrinjski Rank: 57 W
Omonia Nicosia Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
FSV Mainz 05 Rank: 79 D
Lausanne Sport Rank: 60 W
Lausanne Sport Rank: 57 D
Lech Poznań Rank: 69 L
Lincoln Red Imps Rank: L
Celje Rank: 70 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home FSV Mainz 05
72.52%
Draw
18.42%
Away Sigma Olomouc
9.06%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
79.08
59.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
Power Score
79.08
59.22
League Position
7
24
Global Rank
61
480

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
FSV Mainz 05 — Opponent-weighted form score
Sigma Olomouc — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) FSV Mainz 05 Sigma Olomouc

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

FSV Mainz 05

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sigma Olomouc

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

FSV Mainz 05 ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sigma Olomouc
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.35
15.54
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.54
39.35
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
FSV Mainz 05 +1.95 Efficiency Index
vs
Sigma Olomouc -1.95 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

FSV Mainz 05 ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sigma Olomouc
Created Set-piece attacking threat
FSV Mainz 05 Sigma Olomouc
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
FSV Mainz 05 Sigma Olomouc
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
FSV Mainz 05
Sigma Olomouc
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

FSV Mainz 05 M05 Home
1 matches
Sigma Olomouc Sigma Olomouc Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-20T00:07:43+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Batz
Germany
33 D. Batz
D. Vieira da Costa
Substitution
Germany
21 D. Vieira da Costa
S. Posch
Austria
4 S. Posch
D. Kohr
Germany
31 D. Kohr
S. Widmer
Substitution
Switzerland
30 S. Widmer
P. Nebel
Substitution
Germany
8 P. Nebel
K. Sano
Japan
6 K. Sano
J. Lee
Substitution
South Korea
7 J. Lee
P. Mwene
Austria
2 P. Mwene
P. Tietz
Germany
20 P. Tietz
N. Weiper
Substitution
Germany
44 N. Weiper
J. Koutný
91 J. Koutný
J. Sláma
Czech Republic
13 J. Sláma
M. Malý
Slovakia
33 M. Malý
J. Spáčil
Substitution
Czech Republic
8 J. Spáčil
M. Hadas
Czech Republic
22 M. Hadas
P. Baráth
Hungary
88 P. Baráth
M. Beran
Substitution
Czech Republic
47 M. Beran
D. Šturm
Slovenia
7 D. Šturm
A. Růsek
Substitution
Czech Republic
14 A. Růsek
A. Ghali
Substitution
Nigeria
70 A. Ghali
J. Kliment
Substitution
Czech Republic
9 J. Kliment

General Information

Date & Time
Mar 19, 2026, 05:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Europa Conference League, Europe · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 0
Stadium
Mewa Arena
Capacity
34000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Andris Treimanis

Statistics

Possession
M05
55%
Sigma Olomouc
45%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 1
65 Dangerous attacks 23
54 Possession 46
5 Corners 1
15 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 5
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29
5 Goal Kicks 9
26 Throwins 21
10 Dribble Attempts 14
5 Successful Dribbles 4
2 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
61 Ball Safe 68
15 Goal Attempts 3
1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 0
100 Attacks 58

Possession

381 Successful Passes 331
80 Successful Passes Percentage 81
24 Successful Long Passes 25
62 Long Passes 62
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40
10 Key Passes 3
477 Passes 410

Defensive

1 Saves 4
8 Interceptions 15
21 Tackles 12
59 Duels Won 47

Build-up

20 Total Crosses 9
6 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
14 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Andris Treimanis

Starting XI ▼

33
Daniel Batz
Daniel Batz Goalkeeper
4
Stefan Posch
Stefan Posch Defender
21
Danny da Costa
Danny da Costa Defender
48
Kacper Potulski
Kacper Potulski
Defender87'
31
Dominik Kohr
Dominik Kohr Defender
2
Phillipp Mwene
Phillipp Mwene Midfielder
6
Kaishu Sano
Kaishu Sano Midfielder
7
Jae-sung Lee
Jae-sung Lee Midfielder
15
Lennard Maloney
Lennard Maloney
Midfielder90+1'
8
Paul Nebel
Paul Nebel Midfielder
24
Sota Kawasaki
Sota Kawasaki
Midfielder88'
30
Silvan Widmer
Silvan Widmer Midfielder
22
Nikolas Veratschnig
Nikolas Veratschnig
Defender74'
20
Phillip Tietz
Phillip Tietz Attacker
44
Nelson Weiper
Nelson Weiper Attacker
11
Armindo Sieb
Armindo Sieb
Attacker74'
Referee : Andris Treimanis

Starting XI ▼

91
J. Koutný
J. Koutný Goalkeeper
8
Jiri Spacil
Jiri Spacil Defender
2
Abdoulaye Sylla
Abdoulaye Sylla
Midfielder84'
13
Jiri Slama
Jiri Slama Defender
22
Matej Hadas
Matej Hadas Defender
33
Matus Maly
Matus Maly Defender
7
Danijel Sturm
Danijel Sturm Midfielder
14
Antonin Rusek
Antonin Rusek Midfielder
77
Artūr Dolžnikov
Artūr Dolžnikov
Midfielder84'
47
Michal Beran
Michal Beran Midfielder
39
Dominik Janosek
Dominik Janosek
Midfielder71'
70
Ahmad Ghali
Ahmad Ghali Midfielder
6
Jachym Sip
Jachym Sip
Midfielder62'
88
Péter Baráth
Péter Baráth Midfielder
9
Jan Kliment
Jan Kliment Attacker
25
Matej Mikulenka
Matej Mikulenka
Attacker62'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+5'
Event
Jachym Sip
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Jiri Slama
Off the ball foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Lennard Maloney → Jae-sung Lee
10th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Sota Kawasaki → Paul Nebel
9th Substitution
88'
Event
Kacper Potulski → Danny da Costa
8th Substitution
87'
84'
Event
Artūr Dolžnikov → Antonin Rusek
6th Substitution
84'
Event
Abdoulaye Sylla → Jiri Spacil
7th Substitution
Event
Nelson Weiper
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 7th Yellowcard
83'
Event
Armindo Sieb
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
82'
76'
Event
Péter Baráth
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Armindo Sieb → Nelson Weiper
4th Substitution
74'
Event
Nikolas Veratschnig → Silvan Widmer
5th Substitution
74'
71'
Event
Dominik Janosek → Michal Beran
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Jachym Sip → Ahmad Ghali
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Matej Mikulenka → Jan Kliment
1st Substitution
Event
Dominik Kohr
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
61'
Event
Stefan Posch
Header / 1st Goal
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Phillip Tietz
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
38'
38'
Event
Péter Baráth
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
22'
Event
Jan Kliment
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Lennard Maloney comes on to take the place of Lee Jae-Sung.
90
Update Update
Matej Mikulenka from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Sota Kawasaki earns a free kick on the right side of the field.
90
Update Update
Matej Mikulenka from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Sota Kawasaki is awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jirí Sláma from Sigma Olomouc receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Jáchym Síp from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in their own half.
90
Update Update
Kacper Potulski from 1. FSV Mainz 05 is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 4 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Stefan Posch of 1. FSV Mainz 05 had a header from the left side of the six-yard box after a set piece, but it went wide.
90
Update Update
Jirí Sláma from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
90
Update Update
Jáchym Síp from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in their own half of the field.
90
Update Update
Jáchym Síp from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
90
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Kaishu Sano from 1. FSV Mainz 05 takes a left-footed shot from the middle of the box, but it goes just wide to the right.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: 1. FSV Mainz 05 2, Sigma Olomouc 0.
90
Update Update
Sota Kawasaki earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jáchym Síp from Sigma Olomouc receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
89
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal was thwarted. Kaishu Sano of 1. FSV Mainz 05 fired a left-footed attempt from the right side of the penalty area, but Jan Koutny from Sigma Olomouc made a save right in the middle of the goal.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Sota Kawasaki comes on to take the place of Paul Nebel.
88
Update Update
Stefan Posch commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
88
Update Update
Matej Mikulenka from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in the offensive half of the field.
87
Update Update
Jirí Sláma from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Kacper Potulski comes on to take the place of Danny da Costa.
87
Update Update
Paul Nebel from 1. FSV Mainz 05 is awarded a free kick on the right side of the pitch.
86
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal blocked. Matej Mikulenka from Sigma Olomouc heads the ball from the center of the area, but the goalkeeper makes the save.
85
Update Update
Paul Nebel from 1. FSV Mainz 05 commits a foul.
85
Update Update
Matej Mikulenka from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick on the left flank.
84
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Armindo Sieb of 1. FSV Mainz 05 took a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar. The chance was set up by Kaishu Sano during a quick counterattack.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Artur Dolznikov comes on to take the place of Antonín Rusek.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Abdoulaye Sylla comes on to take the place of Jirí Spácil.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! 1. FSV Mainz 05 takes a 2-0 lead against Sigma Olomouc. Armindo Sieb scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, finding the bottom left corner of the net. The assist comes from Danny da Costa.
78
Update Update
Paul Nebel from 1. FSV Mainz 05 strikes the crossbar with a right-footed attempt from outside the penalty area.
76
Update Update
Péter Baráth from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Péter Baráth of Sigma Olomouc receives his second yellow card for committing a serious foul.
76
Update Update
Lee Jae-Sung from 1. FSV Mainz 05 earns a free kick in the offensive half of the field.
75
Update Update
Paul Nebel of 1. FSV Mainz 05 earns a free kick in the opponent's half.
75
Update Update
Dominik Janosek from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Nikolas Veratschnig comes on to take the place of Silvan Widmer.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for 1. FSV Mainz 05: Armindo Sieb comes on to take the place of Nelson Weiper.
73
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Matej Hadas from Sigma Olomouc took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it didn't hit the target.
73
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Matej Hadas from Sigma Olomouc takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sails high and to the right of the goal.
72
Update Update
Jáchym Síp from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in their own half of the field.
72
Update Update
Jáchym Síp from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in their own half.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Dominik Janosek comes on to take the place of Michal Beran.
70
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Phillip Tietz has been flagged for being in an offside position.
69
Update Update
Matús Maly from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
69
Update Update
Nelson Weiper commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Matej Hadas allowed the ball to go out.
66
Attempt Attempt
A shot attempt is thwarted. Silvan Widmer from 1. FSV Mainz 05 takes a right-footed strike from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
66
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Phillip Tietz from 1. FSV Mainz 05 takes a right-footed attempt from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked.
63
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Sigma Olomouc after Dominik Kohr allowed the ball to go out.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Matej Mikulenka comes on to take the place of Jan Kliment.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Sigma Olomouc: Jáchym Síp comes on to take the place of Ahmad Ghali.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dominik Kohr of 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dominik Kohr of 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
61
Update Update
Dominik Kohr commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
60
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Jirí Sláma allowed the ball to go out.
58
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Phillip Tietz has been flagged for being in an offside position.
57
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Jirí Spácil allowed the ball to go out of play.
56
Update Update
Phillip Tietz commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
56
Update Update
Jan Koutny from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Péter Baráth allowed the ball to go out.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after a deflection off Péter Baráth.
49
Update Update
Phillip Tietz commits a foul for 1. FSV Mainz 05.
49
Update Update
Matej Hadas from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
48
Update Update
Matús Maly from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
48
Update Update
Phillip Tietz from 1. FSV Mainz 05 is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
46
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! 1. FSV Mainz 05 takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Sigma Olomouc. Stefan Posch scores with a header from the center of the penalty area.
45
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Nelson Weiper from 1. FSV Mainz 05 directed a header from the center of the box, but it went wide to the left. The cross was provided by Lee Jae-Sung.
45
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Phillipp Mwene from 1. FSV Mainz 05 took a left-footed shot from the middle of the box, but it sailed over the crossbar. The assist came from Lee Jae-Sung.
45
Update Update
The first half concludes with the score tied at 0-0 between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Sigma Olomouc.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be two minutes of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
Offside call against Sigma Olomouc. Jan Kliment has been flagged for being in an offside position.
45
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Nelson Weiper of 1. FSV Mainz 05 heads the ball from the center of the box, but it goes wide to the left. The cross was delivered by Lee Jae-Sung.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score still tied at 0-0 between 1. FSV Mainz 05 and Sigma Olomouc.
42
Update Update
Jan Kliment commits a foul for Sigma Olomouc.
42
Update Update
Stefan Posch from 1. FSV Mainz 05 is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
41
Update Update
Lee Jae-Sung of 1. FSV Mainz 05 commits a foul.
41
Update Update
Matej Hadas from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
40
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
40
Update Update
The game is currently on hold due to an injury to Jan Koutny from Sigma Olomouc.
38
Update Update
Jan Koutny from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
38
Update Update
Jan Koutny from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick in their own half of the field.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Phillip Tietz of 1. FSV Mainz 05 receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
38
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Péter Baráth from Sigma Olomouc receives a yellow card.
35
Update Update
Danijel Sturm from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
35
Update Update
Danny da Costa from 1. FSV Mainz 05 is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
35
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Phillipp Mwene from 1. FSV Mainz 05 takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it goes just wide to the right. He was assisted by Phillip Tietz.
34
Update Update
Nelson Weiper from 1. FSV Mainz 05 commits a foul.
34
Update Update
Matej Hadas from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
33
Update Update
Péter Baráth from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
33
Update Update
Kaishu Sano of 1. FSV Mainz 05 is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
27
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Michal Beran from Sigma Olomouc takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it veers just to the right of the goal after a set piece.
26
Update Update
Antonín Rusek from Sigma Olomouc is awarded a free kick on the right side of the pitch.
26
Update Update
Phillipp Mwene from 1. FSV Mainz 05 commits a foul.
22
Update Update
Stefan Posch from 1. FSV Mainz 05 earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jan Kliment from Sigma Olomouc receives a yellow card for committing a serious foul.
22
Update Update
Jan Kliment from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
21
Update Update
The game is currently paused due to an injury to Michal Beran from Sigma Olomouc.
21
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
20
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Danijel Sturm from Sigma Olomouc took a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it didn't hit the target.
20
Update Update
Lee Jae-Sung from 1. FSV Mainz 05 commits a foul.
20
Update Update
Michal Beran from Sigma Olomouc has been awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
18
Update Update
Lee Jae-Sung from 1. FSV Mainz 05 earns a free kick on the left side of the field.
18
Update Update
Jan Kliment commits a foul for Sigma Olomouc.
17
Update Update
Offside call against 1. FSV Mainz 05. Phillip Tietz has been flagged for being in an offside position.
14
Update Update
Phillipp Mwene from 1. FSV Mainz 05 is awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
14
Update Update
Phillipp Mwene of 1. FSV Mainz 05 earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
13
Update Update
Péter Baráth from Sigma Olomouc commits a foul.
13
Update Update
Kaishu Sano of 1. FSV Mainz 05 is awarded a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
10
Update Update
Paul Nebel from 1. FSV Mainz 05 commits a foul.
10
Update Update
Antonín Rusek from Sigma Olomouc earns a free kick in his team's defensive zone.
9
Attempt Attempt
A shot on goal has been thwarted. Nelson Weiper of 1. FSV Mainz 05 directed a header from the middle of the box, but Jan Koutny from Sigma Olomouc made a crucial save right in front of the goal, with the assist coming from Silvan Widmer.
7
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Dominik Kohr from 1. FSV Mainz 05 took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it didn't hit the target.
5
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after Jan Koutny allowed the ball to go out.
5
Attempt Attempt
The shot was blocked. Phillip Tietz from 1. FSV Mainz 05 took a left-footed attempt from the left side of the penalty area, but it was successfully saved.
4
Update Update
Offside call against Sigma Olomouc. Ahmad Ghali has been flagged for being in an offside position.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to 1. FSV Mainz 05 after a defensive play by Péter Baráth.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: FSV Mainz 05 exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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